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SCM Craiova vs Kolossos Rhodes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 82-86
Projected total 168.3
Final 82-104
14-24 13-25 26-26 29-29
Position#34
Record2-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game94.8
SCM Craiova
Vs
37%
63%
■ SCM 37%■ KRH 63%
Pythia win probability
Kolossos Rhodes 🏆
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game67.8
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 6· Sala Polivalenta din Craiova
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

SCM Craiova will host Kolossos Rhodes in the FIBA Europe Cup on 11 November 2026, with Kolossos Rhodes the model favourite as the Pythia model gives them a 63% chance of victory against SCM Craiova's 37% win probability; the projected score is 82-86 and the projected total 168.3 points. SCM Craiova have a 2-3 record in all five games this season, averaging 89.2 points scored and 94.8 points allowed, and sit 33rd in the league; at home they are 2-1, averaging 95.0 points and 93.0 allowed, and have won three of their last five games, including a 105-96 home win over Gence, a 107-105 away win over CSU Sibiu, and a 103-86 home win over Rilski Sportist. Kolossos Rhodes are 3-2 overall, averaging 77.4 points scored and 67.8 points allowed, and are 14th in the standings; on the road they are 2-1, averaging 80.3 points and 67.7 allowed, and have also won three of their last five games, with a 92-70 away win over Rilski Sportist, a 81-78 home win over Peristeri, and a 65-81 away loss to AS Karditsas. The teams have met once before, with Kolossos Rhodes winning 77-65 on 7 October 2026. The Pythia model assigns a 4% probability of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SCM Craiova winLost
37.2%fair 2.69
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kolossos Rhodes winWon
62.8%fair 1.59
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SCM CraiovaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCraiova
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
92avg 82
A01/06
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#8
W
113-98
113
98
+15
118avg 82
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
65-77
65
77
-12
50avg 82
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#13
W
108-99
108
99
+9
108avg 82
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#28
L
77-97
77
97
-20
67avg 82
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#9
L
84-95
84
95
-11
73avg 82
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
96-118
96
118
-22
89avg 82
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
103-86
103
86
+17
99avg 82
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
107-105
107
105
+2
95avg 82
A01/11
Divizia A
Gence
#43
W
105-96
105
96
+9
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-31
21-20
22-15
26-20
26-19
31-18
29-19
27-42
19-12
16-20
11-20
19-25
30-22
17-31
28-26
33-20
20-23
23-25
14-25
20-24
28-20
22-26
22-23
12-26
14-34
22-34
29-27
31-23
16-16
21-17
37-22
29-31
23-26
33-26
26-24
25-29
20-23
32-27
22-25
31-21
193.5Avg total
96.3Scored
97.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.294.8184.0-5.640%
Season at home (3)95.093.0188.0+2.067%
Season away (2)80.597.5178.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)96.397.2193.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)99.0100.0199.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.994.9174.8-15.00%
vs Similar (13)95.087.5182.5+7.569%
vs Weaker (9)102.189.4191.6+12.778%
This opponent (Kolossos Rhodes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kolossos RhodesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRhodes
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
W
77-65
77
65
+12
71avg 72
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
83-99
83
99
-16
79avg 72
A11/10
Basket League
Gence
#43
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 72
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
77avg 72
H17/10
Basket League
Sporting CP
#28
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
56avg 72
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vikos
#13
W
80-70
80
70
+10
66avg 72
H25/10
Basket League
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 72
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
49avg 72
A31/10
Basket League
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
92-70
92
70
+22
no box
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
20-16
20-11
25-19
22-27
19-27
26-23
16-22
20-16
20-11
18-19
22-16
21-19
26-28
19-15
18-26
21-15
20-22
10-15
15-14
24-20
16-16
25-16
15-18
17-14
12-15
23-26
17-16
18-24
13-22
13-17
21-18
24-17
20-22
28-12
20-19
15-23
25-19
17-17
24-19
153.5Avg total
78.0Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.467.8145.2+9.660%
Season at home (2)73.068.0141.0+5.050%
Season away (3)80.367.7148.0+12.767%
Last 10 (10)78.075.5153.5+2.550%
Last 5 (5)77.474.0151.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.692.8172.4-13.27%
vs Similar (9)87.881.9169.7+5.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.869.3149.2+10.583%
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1251%1302%1353%1405%1458%15010%15511%16012%16512%17010%1758%1806%1854%1902%1952%2001%2050%2100%215
1%1252%1355%14510%15512%16510%1756%1852%1951%2050%215
Pythia expects about 168 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 160Actual: Over 160
Over 160
69.3%
Under 160
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165Actual: Over 165
Over 165
57.4%
Under 165
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170Actual: Over 170
Over 170
44.9%
Under 170
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

SCM Craiova total 80.5Actual: SCM Craiova over 80.5
Over 80.5
55.1%
Under 80.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 84.5Actual: SCM Craiova under 84.5
Over 84.5
40.7%
Under 84.5
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SCM Craiova total 88.5Actual: SCM Craiova under 88.5
Over 88.5
27.6%
Under 88.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolossos Rhodes total 76.5Actual: Kolossos Rhodes over 76.5
Over 76.5
82.4%
Under 76.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolossos Rhodes total 80.5Actual: Kolossos Rhodes over 80.5
Over 80.5
70.9%
Under 80.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolossos Rhodes total 84.5Actual: Kolossos Rhodes over 84.5
Over 84.5
56.6%
Under 84.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-390%-361%-331%-302%-273%-244%-215%-187%-158%-129%-910%-69%-36%+09%+37%+65%+94%+123%+152%+181%+211%+240%+27
0%-361%-303%-245%-188%-1210%-66%+07%+64%+122%+181%+24
Margin from SCM Craiova's side (positive = SCM Craiova win). Pythia's expected margin is -4.2; SCM Craiova win by 1+ in 32% of simulations.
Spread SCM Craiova -3Actual: Kolossos Rhodes +3
SCM -3
29.7%
KRH +3
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
SCM
No market prices yet.
KRH
No market prices yet.
Spread SCM Craiova 0Actual: Kolossos Rhodes 0
SCM 0
37.2%
KRH 0
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
SCM
No market prices yet.
KRH
No market prices yet.
Spread SCM Craiova +3Actual: Kolossos Rhodes -3
SCM +3
44.7%
KRH -3
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
SCM
No market prices yet.
KRH
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
SCM CraiovaKolossos Rhodes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SCM CraiovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A01/06
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#8
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A03/10
Divizia A
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Municipal Galati
#13
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H11/10
Divizia A
Sporting CP
#28
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Arges Pitesti
#9
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A17/10
Divizia A
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
36-68
36
68
-32
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSU Sibiu
#7
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A01/11
Divizia A
Gence
#43
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
92.1Avg total
45.1Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.244.389.5+0.857%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.843.289.1+2.646%-
Last 30 away (17)44.645.289.8-0.565%-
Last 10 (10)45.147.092.1-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.249.896.0-3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.249.989.1-10.612%-
vs Similar (13)46.641.588.2+5.169%-
vs Weaker (9)48.343.491.8+4.978%-
This opponent (Kolossos Rhodes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kolossos RhodesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SCM Craiova
#34
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A11/10
Basket League
Gence
#43
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H17/10
Basket League
Sporting CP
#28
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vikos
#13
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H25/10
Basket League
Esenler Erokspor
#2
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A31/10
Basket League
Rilski Sportist
#41
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H07/11
Basket League
77.7Avg total
38.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.784.5-2.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.442.282.6-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)41.145.086.1-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.277.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.475.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.348.088.3-7.721%-
vs Similar (9)42.442.284.7+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.536.075.5+3.567%-
This opponent (SCM Craiova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
SCM Craiovatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

SCM Craiova: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.7
60.2%
53.4%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.6
36.3%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.516.7
74.2%
72.8%16.7
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kolossos Rhodestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kolossos Rhodes: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.316.3
50.5%
53.4%32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.8
36.2%
32.5%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
72.8%12.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
SCM Craiova
WWWLLLWLWW
Kolossos Rhodes
WWLLWLLWLW
#34
League position
#10
+2.3
Net rating
+1.6
105.0
Offensive rating
95.3
102.7
Defensive rating
93.7
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.3%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
36.2%
60.1%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 95.3Defence102.7 · 93.7Shooting57.7% · 52.3%3-point %36.3% · 36.2%Ball care14.3% · 13.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ SCM Craiova   ■ Kolossos Rhodes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SCM Craiova wins
1
Kolossos Rhodes wins
DateGameScore
07/10/26Kolossos Rhodes v SCM Craiova77-65
SCM Craiovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HGence105-96
01/11/26ACSU Sibiu107-105
28/10/26HRilski Sportist103-86
21/10/26AEsenler Erokspor96-118
17/10/26AArges Pitesti84-95
14/10/26HSporting CP77-97
11/10/26HMunicipal Galati108-99
07/10/26AKolossos Rhodes65-77
03/10/26ACorona Brasov113-98
01/06/26ADinamo Bucharest105-101 OT
Kolossos Rhodeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HPeristeri81-78
03/11/26ARilski Sportist92-70
31/10/26AAS Karditsas65-81
28/10/26HEsenler Erokspor69-71
25/10/26HVikos80-70
21/10/26ASporting CP69-71 OT
17/10/26HPAOK84-88
13/10/26AGence80-62
11/10/26AOlympiacos83-99
07/10/26HSCM Craiova77-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SCM Craiova
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.295.080.5
Allowed / game94.893.097.5
Point differential-5.6+2.0-17.0
Avg total184.0188.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kolossos Rhodes
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.473.080.3
Allowed / game67.868.067.7
Point differential+9.6+5.0+12.7
Avg total145.2141.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
3 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
4 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
5 Basquet Girona54180%91.273.2+18.0
6 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
7 Benfica54180%94.484.8+9.6
8 Dziki Warszawa54180%86.879.6+7.2
9 Szczecin54180%86.279.6+6.6
10 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
11 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
12 VEF Riga53260%97.085.0+12.0
13 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
14 Kolossos Rhodes53260%77.467.8+9.6
15 Promitheas53260%91.884.0+7.8
16 Iraklis53260%84.076.6+7.4
17 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
18 Geneva Lions53260%88.885.4+3.4
19 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
20 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
21 Oostende53260%79.879.4+0.4
22 Lok. Plovdiv53260%83.483.2+0.2
23 AEK Larnaca53260%80.280.4-0.2
24 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
25 Trepca53260%78.881.2-2.4
26 Zielona Gora53260%80.886.6-5.8
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Dinamo Bucharest73443%88.380.1+8.1
29 BC Prievidza73443%90.784.7+6.0
30 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
31 Vienna Basket52340%79.482.0-2.6
32 Valmiera Glass Via52340%80.284.6-4.4
33 SCM Craiova52340%89.294.8-5.6
34 Szolnoki Olaj52340%79.885.4-5.6
35 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
36 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
37 Parnu72529%72.378.0-5.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Bashkimi41325%72.882.8-10.0
40 Gence41325%72.586.0-13.5
41 Opava51420%84.488.0-3.6
42 Nitra Blue Wings51420%76.287.8-11.6
43 Absheron Lions51420%85.097.4-12.4
44 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
45 Fribourg Olympic51420%71.687.6-16.0
46 MZT Skopje5050%71.884.0-12.2
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
SCM Craiova1413262982
Kolossos Rhodes24252629104
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