Sencur vs Perspektiva Ilirija Result & Analysis

Sencur host Perspektiva Ilirija on 11 November 2026 in the Liga Nova KBM, with the model favouring the home side at 64% versus 36% for the visitors, projecting a 83-79 win and a total of 162.4 points. Sencur enter the game 5-1 across all six league fixtures, averaging 85.7 points scored and 76.3 allowed, and sit second in the standings; at home they are undefeated 2-0, posting 84.5 points and 70.5 allowed, and have won three of their last five, including a 73-60 victory over Zlatorog Lasko and an 81-71 win over Mornar Bar, but suffered a 78-98 loss to KK Krka Novo mesto on the road. Perspektiva Ilirija are 5-2 from seven games, scoring 81.9 and conceding 71.7, and occupy third place; on the road they are 2-1, with 82.7 points and 75.0 allowed, and have won two of five recent outings, notably a 84-82 win over Studentski Centar away, but lost to Vienna Basket and Rogaska. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Perspektiva Ilirija winning seven, the most recent being a 102-99 triumph on 30 April 2026. The spread is -2.5 with a 57% chance of Sencur covering, the total line is 159.5 with a 56% probability of the over, and there is a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winLost

64.4%fair 1.55

Best odds1.81

Implied51.6%

Edge+12.8pp

Perspektiva Ilirija winWon

35.6%fair 2.81

Best odds2.10

Implied48.4%

Edge-12.8pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 18:25 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sencur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSencur

Date

Competition

Cedevita Olimpija

79-86

-7

72avg 80

H20/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

65-94

-29

59avg 80

A23/05

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

92-75

+17

91avg 80

A26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

99-74

+25

103avg 80

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

96-81

+15

90avg 80

H09/10

Liga Nova KBM

Vojvodina Novi Sad

76-79

-3

74avg 80

A14/10

ABA League 2

Gorica

76-70

73avg 80

A17/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

78-98

-20

69avg 80

A27/10

Liga Nova KBM

Mornar Bar

81-71

+10

80avg 80

H30/10

ABA League 2

Zlatorog Lasko

73-60

+13

no box

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

26-24

14-24

15-22

24-16

16-25

21-22

11-27

17-20

27-20

26-29

21-24

18-2

25-15

21-19

30-24

23-16

29-25

22-20

20-14

25-22

21-23

16-19

23-14

16-23

18-12

22-18

18-10

18-30

18-29

21-20

22-28

17-21

19-21

25-20

21-13

16-17

23-21

19-17

16-8

15-14

160.3Avg total

81.5Scored

78.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	85.7	76.3	162.0	+9.3	83%
Season at home (2)	84.5	70.5	155.0	+14.0	100%
Season away (4)	86.2	79.2	165.5	+7.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	78.8	160.3	+2.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	75.6	152.4	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	73.1	88.9	162.0	-15.7	14%
vs Similar (5)	90.4	95.0	185.4	-4.6	40%
vs Weaker (18)	85.5	73.4	158.9	+12.1	94%

This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perspektiva Ilirija Slovenia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormIlirija

Date

Competition

KK Krka Novo mesto

82-83

-1

72avg 77

H07/10

Liga Nova KBM

Spartak Subotica

76-82

-6

62avg 77

H10/10

ABA League

Zlatorog Lasko

93-69

+24

93avg 77

A14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Mega Basket

#17

96-62

+34

95avg 77

H18/10

ABA League

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

78-62

+16

69avg 77

H21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zadar

#14

70-95

-25

59avg 77

A25/10

ABA League

Helios Domzale

79-73

48avg 77

H28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Studentski Centar

#20

84-82

79avg 77

A01/11

ABA League

Rogaska

66-77

-11

no box

A04/11

Liga Nova KBM

Vienna Basket

#15

60-74

-14

no box

H07/11

ABA League

13-26

21-13

27-21

21-23

23-17

16-21

18-27

19-17

20-14

30-12

22-17

21-26

24-16

19-21

30-12

23-13

21-27

21-7

25-13

11-15

16-26

19-14

12-27

23-28

19-25

23-20

26-13

11-15

20-25

16-21

19-23

29-13

20-20

9-14

20-21

17-22

13-21

18-16

12-22

17-15

154.3Avg total

78.4Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	81.9	71.7	153.6	+10.1	71%
Season at home (4)	81.2	69.2	150.5	+12.0	75%
Season away (3)	82.7	75.0	157.7	+7.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	75.9	154.3	+2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	71.8	80.2	152.0	-8.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	79.3	87.6	166.9	-8.3	14%
vs Similar (6)	80.5	86.5	167.0	-6.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	86.8	73.2	159.9	+13.6	88%

This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 155Actual: Over 155

Over 155

66.9%

Under 155

33.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 160.25 · main lineActual: Over 160.25

Over 160.25

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 160.25

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 165Actual: Over 165

Over 165

42.7%

Under 165

57.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sencur total 76.5Actual: Sencur over 76.5

Over 76.5

74.5%

@ 1.42+9.8pp

Under 76.5

25.5%

@ 2.60-9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.36

Under

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.49

Sencur total 80.5 · main lineActual: Sencur over 80.5

Over 80.5

60.6%

@ 1.83+9.5pp

Under 80.5

39.4%

@ 1.88-9.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.76

1xBet

1.67

Under

Marathon Be

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.78

Sencur total 84.5Actual: Sencur over 84.5

Over 84.5

45.1%

@ 2.47+7.5pp

Under 84.5

54.9%

@ 1.45-7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.47

1xBet

2.28

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.41

Perspektiva Ilirija total 75.5Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija over 75.5

Over 75.5

63.2%

@ 1.50+0.2pp

Under 75.5

36.8%

@ 2.57-0.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.57

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.36

Perspektiva Ilirija total 79.5 · main lineActual: Perspektiva Ilirija over 79.5

Over 79.5

47.9%

@ 1.84-2.1pp

Under 79.5

52.1%

@ 1.85+2.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.84

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.73

Under

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.71

Perspektiva Ilirija total 83.5Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija over 83.5

Over 83.5

33.2%

@ 2.70-2.9pp

Under 83.5

66.8%

@ 1.44+2.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.39

Under

Betano

1.44

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Sencur -4.5Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija +4.5

SENC -4.5

50.0%

@ 2.26+9.8pp

PIL +4.5

50.0%

@ 1.60-9.8pp

Best 5 market prices

SENC

Pinnacle

2.26

Betano

2.25

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.16

PIL

Bet365

1.60

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.55

Pinnacle

1.52

1xBet

1.50

Spread Sencur -1.5 · main lineActual: Perspektiva Ilirija +1.5

SENC -1.5

61.6%

@ 1.86+11.4pp

PIL +1.5

38.4%

@ 1.91-11.4pp

Best 5 market prices

SENC

Pinnacle

1.86

SBO

1.84

Betano

1.82

Bet365

1.80

Betfair

1.80

PIL

Betfair

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.88

BetVictor

1.88

Bet365

1.86

Spread Sencur +1.5Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija -1.5

SENC +1.5

66.9%

@ 1.67+11.4pp

PIL -1.5

33.1%

@ 2.20-11.4pp

Best 5 market prices

SENC

Pinnacle

1.67

Betano

1.62

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.56

1xBet

1.50

PIL

Bet365

2.20

1xBet

2.15

Marathon Be

2.15

Betano

2.10

Pinnacle

2.09

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SencurPerspektiva Ilirija

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.9	43.1	+1.3	57%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.6	41.8	+2.5	71%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	21.9	44.2	+0.3	44%	75%
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	60%	90%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.0	25.1	46.1	-4.1	29%	100%
vs Similar (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	60%	60%
vs Weaker (18)	22.6	19.0	41.6	+3.6	67%	56%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	47%	57%
Last 30 at home (18)	21.2	20.4	41.7	+0.8	61%	61%
Last 30 away (12)	18.7	20.7	39.3	-2.0	25%	50%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	17.6	23.4	41.0	-5.8	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.9	24.0	42.9	-5.1	14%	71%
vs Similar (6)	16.8	22.3	39.2	-5.5	17%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.5	71%	59%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	57%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	20.2	40.1	-0.2	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	20.7	38.7	-2.7	43%	43%
vs Similar (5)	20.4	25.4	45.8	-5.0	20%	60%
vs Weaker (18)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	61%	61%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	56%	61%
Last 30 away (12)	21.3	19.2	40.6	+2.1	58%	58%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	15.9	35.1	+3.3	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	20.9	41.7	+0.0	43%	43%
vs Similar (6)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	83%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.1	19.2	40.4	+1.9	53%	76%

SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita Olimpija

40-48

-8

H20/05

Liga Nova KBM

Cedevita Olimpija

37-47

-10

A23/05

Liga Nova KBM

Rogaska

53-49

A26/09

Liga Nova KBM

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

46-34

+12

A03/10

Liga Nova KBM

Polzela

51-45

H09/10

Liga Nova KBM

Vojvodina Novi Sad

37-42

-5

A14/10

ABA League 2

Gorica

40-30

+10

A17/10

Liga Nova KBM

KK Krka Novo mesto

39-49

-10

A27/10

Liga Nova KBM

Mornar Bar

44-41

H30/10

ABA League 2

Zlatorog Lasko

42-38

H07/11

Liga Nova KBM

85.2Avg total

42.9Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.4	84.1	+1.2	47%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	40.6	83.8	+2.5	57%	71%
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	42.1	84.3	+0.1	38%	62%
Last 10 (10)	42.9	42.3	85.2	+0.6	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.0	80.4	+0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	39.0	45.9	84.9	-6.9	14%	71%
vs Similar (5)	43.0	47.0	90.0	-4.0	20%	80%
vs Weaker (18)	43.9	38.2	82.1	+5.8	67%	61%

This opponent (Perspektiva Ilirija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perspektiva IlirijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

KK Krka Novo mesto

34-39

-5

H07/10

Liga Nova KBM

Spartak Subotica

39-38

H10/10

ABA League

Zlatorog Lasko

50-26

+24

A14/10

Liga Nova KBM

Mega Basket

#17

43-37

H18/10

ABA League

Tajfun Sentjur

#10

42-34

H21/10

Liga Nova KBM

Zadar

#14

35-40

-5

A25/10

ABA League

Helios Domzale

42-45

-3

H28/10

Liga Nova KBM

Studentski Centar

#20

36-46

-10

A01/11

ABA League

Rogaska

29-34

-5

A04/11

Liga Nova KBM

Vienna Basket

#15

31-37

-6

H07/11

ABA League

75.7Avg total

38.1Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.0	81.2	+1.2	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (18)	42.0	40.1	82.1	+1.9	56%	44%
Last 30 away (12)	40.0	39.9	79.9	+0.1	42%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.1	37.6	75.7	+0.5	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	34.6	40.4	75.0	-5.8	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.7	44.9	84.6	-5.1	29%	43%
vs Similar (6)	37.7	40.8	78.5	-3.2	17%	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.1	37.7	80.8	+5.4	71%	53%

This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Sencur win

SENC win

no forecast

@ 1.78

PIL win

no forecast

@ 2.00

1st half Spread Sencur -0.5 · main lineActual: Sencur -0.5

SENC -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

PIL +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 79.5 · main lineActual: Over 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.85

Under

no forecast

@ 2.02

Sencur 1st half total 40 · main lineActual: Sencur over 40

Over

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under

no forecast

@ 1.87

Perspektiva Ilirija 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Perspektiva Ilirija over 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

1st half: SENC + total 78.5

SENC & over

no forecast

@ 3.35

SENC & under

no forecast

@ 3.60

1st half: Draw + total 78.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PIL + total 78.5

PIL & over

no forecast

@ 3.80

PIL & under

no forecast

@ 4.10

1st half Spread Sencur -1.5Actual: Sencur -1.5

SENC -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.02

PIL +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.00

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.58

Under

no forecast

@ 2.22

1st half Spread Sencur -2.5Actual: Sencur -2.5

SENC -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

PIL +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.66

1st half Spread Sencur +1.5Actual: Sencur +1.5

SENC +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.60

PIL -1.5

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Sencur -3.5Actual: Sencur -3.5

SENC -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.40

PIL +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.53

1st half Spread Sencur +2.5Actual: Sencur +2.5

SENC +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.50

PIL -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.45

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Perspektiva Ilirija (regulation)

SENC

no forecast

@ 1.85

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

PIL

no forecast

@ 2.05

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.5	41.6	+0.6	50%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	19.4	40.8	+1.9	56%	44%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.4	38.1	+1.3	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.6	34.6	+5.4	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	16.4	21.6	38.0	-5.1	29%	14%
vs Similar (5)	24.4	26.0	50.4	-1.6	20%	100%
vs Weaker (18)	22.2	17.6	39.8	+4.6	72%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.7	57%	57%
Last 30 at home (18)	22.1	17.8	39.9	+4.3	67%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	22.7	43.2	-2.2	42%	67%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.1	25.9	46.0	-5.7	14%	86%
vs Similar (6)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	67%	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.9	16.8	39.7	+6.2	71%	47%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.1	+0.5	53%	33%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-0.9	50%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	17.7	37.1	+1.7	56%	25%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.1	37.0	+0.8	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.0	37.4	-4.6	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	29%	29%
vs Similar (5)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.6	60%	60%
vs Weaker (18)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	61%	28%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.5	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (18)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.3	61%	50%
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	19.8	39.8	+0.3	42%	50%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.6	71%	29%
vs Similar (6)	21.8	23.0	44.8	-1.2	33%	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	53%	47%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	40.5	38.7	79.2	+1.7	60%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	57%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	37.1	77.8	+3.6	62%	38%
Last 10 (10)	38.6	36.5	75.1	+2.1	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	36.4	35.6	72.0	+0.8	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	34.1	43.0	77.1	-8.9	43%	29%
vs Similar (5)	45.4	45.4	90.8	+0.0	40%	80%
vs Weaker (18)	41.6	35.2	76.8	+6.3	72%	33%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	42.1	38.9	81.0	+3.3	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (18)	43.2	36.5	79.7	+6.7	67%	56%
Last 30 away (12)	40.6	42.4	83.0	-1.8	42%	67%
Last 10 (10)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.6	42.7	82.3	-3.1	43%	71%
vs Similar (6)	40.7	44.0	84.7	-3.3	33%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.7	35.5	79.2	+8.2	71%	53%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SENC win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

PIL win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SENC leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PIL leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SENC:PIL): SENC wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Sencur +2.5	70.7%	1.51	Pinnacle 1.58	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.52	Marathon Bet 1.47	1xBet 1.42	+12.2pp	Lost
Sencur +5.5	79.2%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Lost
Sencur +6.5	81.7%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
Sencur over 75.5	77.6%	1.34	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Sencur over 77.5	71.3%	1.48	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+10.0pp	Won
Sencur over 73.5	83.0%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.9pp	Won
Sencur over 76.5	74.5%	1.39	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Sencur over 70.5	89.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Sencur over 71.5	87.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Sencur +3.5	73.4%	1.41	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Sencur +7.5	83.9%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Sencur +4.5	76.4%	1.34	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Lost
Sencur over 69.5	91.0%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Sencur +12.5	92.1%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Sencur over 67.5	93.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Sencur +17.5	96.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Sencur +22.5	98.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 152.5	71.9%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Over 149.5	77.8%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Over 144.5	85.8%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Over 134.5	95.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Over 139.5	91.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 63.5	93.5%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija +22.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.9%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija under 84.5	70.2%	1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija under 89.5	84.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 65.5	90.6%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 69.5	82.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 68.5	84.7%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+3.2pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 67.5	86.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija under 87.5	79.2%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija under 85.5	73.4%	1.29	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija under 88.5	81.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija under 91.5	88.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Lost
Perspektiva Ilirija over 71.5	76.7%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija +17.5	87.7%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija over 73.5	70.3%	1.32	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Under 184.5	90.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Lost
Sencur under 95.5	88.4%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Perspektiva Ilirija +12.5	76.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Won
Sencur under 93.5	84.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.3pp	Won
Under 179.5	84.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Lost
Under 174.5	77.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-2.3pp	Lost
Sencur under 91.5	79.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Sencur under 90.5	76.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.3pp	Won
Sencur under 89.5	73.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-4.7pp	Won
Sencur +3	72.7%	1.42	Marathon Bet 1.42	-	-	-	-	-	Lost

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.2	22.9	54.3%	53.4%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.3	6.8	33.5%	30.3%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.7%	70.0%	16.2

They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Perspektiva Ilirijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perspektiva Ilirija: 78.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game

52%

29%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	21.7	53.2%	53.4%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.7	6.8	34.5%	30.3%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	20.7	14.9	72.0%	70.0%	14.9

They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	19.0	54.0%	53.4%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.1	9.3	35.6%	30.3%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	20.5	14.4	70.2%	70.0%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	18.9	51.4%	53.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	8.7	33.0%	30.3%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.3	71.9%	70.0%	13.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.4	25.0	56.2%	53.4%	49.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.9	6.4	32.0%	30.3%	19.1
🏀 Free throws	21.2	15.2	71.5%	70.0%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.9	23.0	54.8%	53.4%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.5	7.4	34.3%	30.3%	22.1
🏀 Free throws	21.4	16.2	75.9%	70.0%	16.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.8	51.9%	53.4%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	8.6	32.7%	30.3%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.7	74.8%	70.0%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.9	18.9	50.0%	53.4%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	9.2	33.9%	30.3%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.0	73.8%	70.0%	14.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sencur

WWLWLWWWLL

Perspektiva Ilirija

LLWWLWWWLL

League position

+2.4

Net rating

+1.8

95.3

Offensive rating

93.8

92.9

Defensive rating

92.0

53.0%

Effective FG%

52.7%

53.8%

Opp. effective FG%

50.6%

17.6%

Turnover %

16.0%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.34

33.5%

3-point %

34.5%

65.3%

Assist %

51.2%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Sencur ■ Perspektiva Ilirija

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sencur wins

Perspektiva Ilirija wins

Date	Game	Score
30/04/26	Sencur v Perspektiva Ilirija	99-102 OT
21/01/26	Sencur v Perspektiva Ilirija	84-104
28/10/25	Perspektiva Ilirija v Sencur	103-98 OT
14/12/24	Perspektiva Ilirija v Sencur	92-73
07/10/24	Sencur v Perspektiva Ilirija	91-100 OT
08/05/24	Sencur v Perspektiva Ilirija	93-81
02/05/24	Perspektiva Ilirija v Sencur	67-75
16/03/24	Perspektiva Ilirija v Sencur	100-92
09/12/23	Perspektiva Ilirija v Sencur	84-70
07/10/23	Sencur v Perspektiva Ilirija	95-68

Sencurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Zlatorog Lasko	73-60
30/10/26	H	Mornar Bar	81-71
27/10/26	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	78-98
17/10/26	A	Gorica	76-70
14/10/26	A	Vojvodina Novi Sad	76-79
09/10/26	H	Polzela	96-81
03/10/26	A	Tajfun Sentjur	99-74
26/09/26	A	Rogaska	92-75
23/05/26	A	Cedevita Olimpija	65-94
20/05/26	H	Cedevita Olimpija	79-86

Perspektiva Ilirijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Vienna Basket	60-74
04/11/26	A	Rogaska	66-77
01/11/26	A	Studentski Centar	84-82
28/10/26	H	Helios Domzale	79-73
25/10/26	A	Zadar	70-95
21/10/26	H	Tajfun Sentjur	78-62
18/10/26	H	Mega Basket	96-62
14/10/26	A	Zlatorog Lasko	93-69
10/10/26	H	Spartak Subotica	76-82
07/10/26	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	82-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	83%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	83%	100%	75%
Points / game	85.7	84.5	86.2
Allowed / game	76.3	70.5	79.2
Point differential	+9.3	+14.0	+7.0
Avg total	162.0	155.0	165.5
Over 160.25	67%	50%	75%
Win by 10+	67%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perspektiva Ilirija

Liga Nova KBM 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	81.9	81.2	82.7
Allowed / game	71.7	69.2	75.0
Point differential	+10.1	+12.0	+7.7
Avg total	153.6	150.5	157.7
Over 160.25	43%	25%	67%
Win by 10+	57%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	KK Krka Novo mesto	8	8	0	100%	90.4	68.8	+21.6
2	Sencur	6	5	1	83%	85.7	76.3	+9.3
3	Perspektiva Ilirija	7	5	2	71%	81.9	71.7	+10.1
4	Polzela	7	5	2	71%	82.4	73.3	+9.1
5	Gorica	8	4	4	50%	75.8	77.4	-1.6
6	Zlatorog Lasko	7	3	4	43%	69.0	75.3	-6.3
7	Rogaska	7	3	4	43%	67.6	79.1	-11.6
8	KK Triglav Kranj	6	1	5	17%	76.8	82.5	-5.7
9	Helios Domzale	7	1	6	14%	71.6	80.6	-9.0
10	Tajfun Sentjur	7	0	7	0%	68.4	86.9	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sencur	20	25	17	25	87
Perspektiva Ilirija	27	14	27	31	99

← all games of the day

Sencur vs Perspektiva Ilirija Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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