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Rogaska vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-92
20-27 29-26 24-21 2-18
Position#7
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
Position#4
Record-
FormWWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 1· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rogaska v Sencur
26 Sep 2026
ROGA75
SENC92
22 Nov 2025
ROGA62
SENC88
26 Oct 2024
ROGA79
SENC67
28 Oct 2023
ROGA84
SENC67
21 Jan 2023
ROGA76
SENC80
07 May 2022
ROGA87
SENC72
29 Jan 2022
ROGA86
SENC78
13 Mar 2021
ROGA76
SENC68
30 Dec 2020
ROGA89
SENC85
26 Oct 2019
ROGA66
SENC57
05 Jan 2019
ROGA85
SENC81
03 Mar 2018
ROGA73
SENC55
18 Jan 2018
ROGA72
SENC77
18 Nov 2017
ROGA70
SENC58
11 Mar 2017
ROGA82
SENC84
17 Jan 2017
ROGA87
SENC72
13 Feb 2016
ROGA72
SENC62
03 Jan 2015
ROGA69
SENC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
61-82
61
82
-21
no box
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
72avg 77
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
80avg 77
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 77
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
84avg 77
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
106-73
106
73
+33
105avg 77
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
97avg 77
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
75-92
75
92
-17
70avg 77
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 77
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 77
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
16-28
12-23
24-13
15-22
19-26
25-16
19-15
24-25
21-21
15-16
23-22
19-26
18-18
18-13
32-25
15-28
20-21
23-24
26-11
17-24
31-17
27-17
31-15
24-20
20-21
22-22
16-19
12-15
19-29
21-27
23-21
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
169.7Avg total
85.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.384.4169.7+0.940%
Last 5 (5)90.083.6173.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.287.2162.4-12.115%
vs Similar (8)84.286.5170.8-2.238%
vs Weaker (9)92.181.7173.8+10.467%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
72-62
72
62
+10
61avg 81
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
69avg 81
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
103-98
103
98
+5
99avg 81
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
W
74-68
74
68
+6
72avg 81
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
94avg 81
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
72avg 81
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 81
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
76avg 81
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 81
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
59avg 81
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
13-20
21-13
23-11
19-22
18-17
15-22
14-25
25-23
24-24
27-26
27-25
23-27
15-11
18-19
18-11
20-19
15-19
26-27
28-24
28-24
18-14
14-18
16-14
19-19
12-16
26-16
18-14
18-21
21-19
24-19
19-16
26-24
14-24
15-22
24-16
16-25
21-22
11-27
17-20
159.7Avg total
79.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.180.6159.7-1.560%
Last 5 (5)75.478.0153.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.086.7157.7-15.717%
vs Similar (5)90.495.0185.4-4.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.974.9162.8+13.089%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
RogaskaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A14/02
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A28/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
84.2Avg total
39.4Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.983.9-6.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.742.983.6-2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.147.084.1-9.913%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.884.2-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.086.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.546.581.0-11.98%-
vs Similar (8)39.142.681.8-3.550%-
vs Weaker (9)45.144.889.9+0.356%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A04/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#8
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H18/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A28/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A12/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H20/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Liga Nova KBM
78.8Avg total
38.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.584.1+3.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.738.082.7+6.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.443.085.4-0.633%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.878.8-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.680.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.744.281.8-6.517%-
vs Similar (5)43.047.090.0-4.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.637.683.2+7.963%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.5
54.7%
53.4%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
30.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws28.019.0
67.9%
70.0%19.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.522.7
52.2%
53.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.0
29.0%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
70.0%15.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LWLWWLWLLL
Sencur
LLWWWLWWLW
#7
League position
#4
+8.6
Net rating
-1.5
97.6
Offensive rating
90.8
88.9
Defensive rating
92.2
54.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.2%
3-point %
29.0%
72.2%
Assist %
69.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 90.8Defence88.9 · 92.2Shooting54.0% · 49.4%3-point %35.2% · 29.0%Ball care16.8% · 16.9%Free throws0.44 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rogaska wins
8
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
09/03/26Sencur v Rogaska79-78
14/02/26Sencur v Rogaska82-61
22/11/25Rogaska v Sencur62-88
10/01/25Sencur v Rogaska92-68
26/10/24Rogaska v Sencur79-67
02/03/24Sencur v Rogaska69-61
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79
21/04/26AKK Krka Novo mesto75-92
18/04/26HKK Triglav Kranj96-94 OT
13/04/26HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek106-73
06/04/26APolzela94-99 OT
28/03/26ATajfun Sentjur87-82
16/03/26HPerspektiva Ilirija83-84
09/03/26ASencur78-79
14/02/26ASencur61-82
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/05/26ACedevita Olimpija65-94
20/05/26HCedevita Olimpija79-86
12/05/26AHelios Domzale82-75
09/05/26HHelios Domzale75-65
04/05/26AHelios Domzale76-70
30/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija99-102 OT
28/04/26ATajfun Sentjur74-68
18/04/26HPolzela103-98
08/04/26HKK Krka Novo mesto66-86
04/04/26AKK Triglav Kranj72-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto110100%87.055.0+32.0
2 Perspektiva Ilirija110100%86.059.0+27.0
3 Polzela110100%74.059.0+15.0
4 Zlatorog Lasko110100%72.069.0+3.0
5 KK Triglav Kranj1010%69.072.0-3.0
6 Helios Domzale1010%59.074.0-15.0
7 Gorica1010%59.086.0-27.0
8 Tajfun Sentjur1010%55.087.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska202924275
Sencur2726211892
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