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Sencur vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2019
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 73-70
15-15 26-17 18-15 14-23
Position#6
Record14-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game78.6
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#2
Record18-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game75.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMLiga Nova KBM - Quarter-finals
Other2018-19
Meetings · Sencur v Petrol Olimpija
04 May 2019
SENC73
POL70
11 Nov 2018
SENC85
POL62
11 Apr 2018
SENC65
POL59
10 Nov 2017
SENC76
POL74
11 Nov 2016
SENC57
POL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
92-82
92
82
+10
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
96-85
96
85
+11
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Petrol Olimpija
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
17-17
25-17
18-16
16-24
28-11
15-15
25-25
15-17
22-21
25-17
7-16
20-18
17-16
21-15
16-20
21-20
13-25
21-7
16-27
24-20
23-18
21-19
24-25
22-16
11-10
16-26
30-12
23-28
19-21
30-15
24-21
25-23
27-26
18-19
24-13
20-23
17-19
19-19
21-18
157.3Avg total
81.7Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.878.6158.4+1.150%
Season at home (13)83.680.2163.8+3.562%
Season away (15)76.477.3153.7-0.940%
Last 10 (10)81.775.6157.3+6.170%
Last 5 (5)87.678.2165.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.089.0178.0+0.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.579.2158.7+0.360%
vs Weaker (17)82.978.6161.5+4.359%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A17/03
ABA League
Polzela
#5
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H31/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A14/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
18-15
16-16
12-14
9-21
22-10
15-13
13-21
16-20
14-11
14-6
22-21
29-13
14-15
22-11
14-21
25-24
7-14
15-29
25-18
26-19
16-25
14-18
13-11
21-22
12-4
15-9
21-28
27-21
26-22
21-10
19-19
17-19
13-21
28-14
17-16
23-20
19-17
19-19
18-21
140.5Avg total
72.0Scored
68.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.875.2152.0+1.662%
Season at home (15)80.174.2154.3+5.973%
Season away (14)73.376.2149.5-2.950%
Last 10 (10)72.068.5140.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.071.0148.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.982.5153.4-11.60%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.472.6150.0+4.858%
vs Weaker (8)69.467.9137.2+1.562%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
SencurPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#4
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Petrol Olimpija
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
79.5Avg total
40.1Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.139.780.8+1.459%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.539.783.3+3.873%-
Last 30 away (14)38.539.778.2-1.243%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.479.5+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.883.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.046.093.0+1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.837.075.8+1.870%-
vs Weaker (16)41.440.281.7+1.256%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A17/03
ABA League
Polzela
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H31/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H05/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H11/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#7
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
71.7Avg total
36.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.074.8-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.837.976.6+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.438.272.6-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.071.7+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.745.383.0-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.534.673.1+3.958%-
vs Weaker (8)32.934.167.0-1.238%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.1
51.1%
54.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.9
30.8%
32.8%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
72.4%14.2
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sencur wins
7
Petrol Olimpija wins
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/19APetrol Olimpija77-79
23/04/19HPerspektiva Ilirija94-81
20/04/19ATajfun Sentjur96-85
17/04/19AZlatorog Lasko79-64
05/04/19HTajfun Sentjur92-82
30/03/19APerspektiva Ilirija71-79
23/03/19HZlatorog Lasko74-69
16/03/19ATajfun Sentjur69-71
09/03/19HPerspektiva Ilirija84-75
01/03/19AZlatorog Lasko81-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/19HSencur79-77
23/04/19ARogaska75-70
20/04/19HPolzela93-72
17/04/19AHelios Domzale69-63
14/04/19AKK Primorska69-73
11/04/19HKK Primorska72-85
05/04/19HKK Krka Novo mesto79-60
31/03/19HRogaska66-58
23/03/19APolzela59-65
17/03/19AKK Krka Novo mesto59-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLWWWW62%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%62%40%
Points / game79.883.676.4
Allowed / game78.680.277.3
Point differential+1.1+3.5-0.9
Avg total158.4163.8153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%31%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Petrol Olimpija
Liga Nova KBM 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%73%50%
Points / game76.880.173.3
Allowed / game75.274.276.2
Point differential+1.6+5.9-2.9
Avg total152.0154.3149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Primorska3025583%84.370.7+13.6
2 Petrol Olimpija29181162%76.875.2+1.6
3 KK Krka Novo mesto29171259%79.675.8+3.8
4 Polzela29151452%78.477.5+0.9
5 Zlatorog Lasko29151452%77.978.9-1.0
6 Sencur28141450%79.878.6+1.1
7 Rogaska29141548%78.282.0-3.8
8 Tajfun Sentjur27111641%75.979.4-3.5
9 Helios Domzale29111838%73.476.5-3.1
10 Perspektiva Ilirija2732411%76.587.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur1526181473
Petrol Olimpija1517152370
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