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Senegal W vs Mali W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-65
20-16 16-22 24-11 15-16
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game73.5
Senegal W 🏆
vs
Mali W
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game51.7
EuropeAfroBasket WomenAfroBasket Women - Semi-finals· BK Arena
Women2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Senegal W v Mali W
03 Aug 2023
SENE75
MALI65
30 Jul 2023
SENE49
MALI72
29 Sep 2010
SENE67
MALI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Senegal W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mali W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Senegal WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
no box
H14/08
Olympic Games Women
Guinea W
#12
W
100-31
100
31
+69
no box
H18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#7
W
74-46
74
46
+28
no box
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Nigeria W
#1
L
63-73
63
73
-10
no box
A24/09
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#3
L
49-53
49
53
-4
no box
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
70avg 65
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
L
49-72
49
72
-23
35avg 65
H30/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
74avg 65
A01/08
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#4
W
80-77
80
77
+3
80avg 65
A02/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
28-28
23-21
22-19
25-10
23-9
23-8
29-4
21-15
18-10
18-19
21-19
20-13
17-9
24-16
13-8
11-22
20-23
13-15
19-13
19-12
8-10
11-14
11-17
21-17
17-18
18-22
27-28
16-11
12-15
8-26
13-20
18-24
20-11
13-17
20-8
11-19
18-13
28-20
23-25
139.0Avg total
73.5Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.873.5144.2-2.850%
Season at home (1)49.072.0121.0-23.00%
Season away (3)78.074.0152.0+4.067%
Last 10 (10)73.565.5139.0+8.050%
Last 5 (5)66.469.4135.8-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)63.286.9150.2-23.78%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)72.554.3126.8+18.267%
This opponent (Mali W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mali WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#2
L
64-84
64
84
-20
no box
H11/02
World Cup Women
Nigeria W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
A13/02
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
L
56-89
56
89
-33
no box
A22/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
58-118
58
118
-60
no box
H23/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
59-74
59
74
-15
no box
H25/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
A26/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
65-88
65
88
-23
no box
H27/09
World Cup Women
Uganda W
#5
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
72-49
72
49
+23
68avg 79
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Guinea W
#11
W
96-40
96
40
+56
90avg 79
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-22
24-21
13-27
17-14
22-20
13-22
9-22
25-9
18-21
11-26
15-19
12-23
12-23
10-33
23-36
13-26
21-17
11-25
14-15
13-17
25-25
14-18
11-19
18-19
16-33
13-20
17-17
19-18
16-19
21-14
21-16
22-17
11-16
15-12
26-8
20-13
24-8
23-12
22-11
27-9
144.9Avg total
68.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.751.7134.3+31.0100%
Season at home (2)88.053.0141.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)72.049.0121.0+23.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.776.2144.9-7.530%
Last 5 (5)76.264.8141.0+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)55.885.0140.8-29.20%
vs Similar (2)64.072.0136.0-8.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)76.255.1131.3+21.189%
This opponent (Senegal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +2.1+2.1
Senegal WMali W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Senegal WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#7
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H14/08
Olympic Games Women
Guinea W
#12
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H18/09
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#5
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A20/09
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#7
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H23/09
AfroBasket Women
Nigeria W
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A24/09
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#3
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A26/09
AfroBasket Women
Uganda W
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A29/07
AfroBasket Women
Mali W
#2
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H30/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A01/08
AfroBasket Women
Cameroon W
#4
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A02/08
AfroBasket Women
67.4Avg total
35.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)30.737.768.4-6.937%-
Last 30 at home (9)31.935.967.8-4.033%-
Last 30 away (10)29.739.369.0-9.640%-
Last 10 (10)35.831.667.4+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.062.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.042.270.2-14.215%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (6)36.728.064.7+8.783%-
This opponent (Mali W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mali WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/02
World Cup Women
Nigeria W
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A13/02
World Cup Women
Japan W
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A22/09
World Cup Women
Australia W
#3
L
22-56
22
56
-34
H23/09
World Cup Women
France W
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H25/09
World Cup Women
Serbia W
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A26/09
World Cup Women
Canada W
#6
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H27/09
World Cup Women
Uganda W
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Guinea W
#11
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
73.7Avg total
33.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)31.537.268.7-5.722%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.037.369.3-5.331%-
Last 30 away (10)30.837.067.8-6.210%-
Last 10 (10)33.040.773.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)35.635.471.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.244.771.8-17.50%-
vs Similar (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.227.364.6+9.956%-
This opponent (Senegal W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Senegal Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Senegal W: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.213.8
41.4%
38.5%27.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.27.7
27.4%
25.6%23.2
🏀 Free throws25.519.0
74.5%
64.7%19.0
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mali Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mali W: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.3 points a game
52%
25%
23%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.721.3
45.7%
38.5%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.36.3
21.6%
25.6%19.0
🏀 Free throws33.320.3
61.0%
64.7%20.3
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 03 Aug 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Senegal W
WWLLLLWWWL
Mali W
WWWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#2
-4.6
Net rating
+36.7
86.3
Offensive rating
97.0
91.0
Defensive rating
60.3
41.3%
Effective FG%
40.6%
41.8%
Opp. effective FG%
32.3%
24.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
39.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.44
27.4%
3-point %
21.6%
84.9%
Assist %
86.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 97.0Defence91.0 · 60.3Shooting41.3% · 40.6%3-point %27.4% · 21.6%Ball care24.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds26.3% · 39.4%Free throws0.41 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Senegal W   ■ Mali W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Senegal W wins
2
Mali W wins
DateGameScore
30/07/23Senegal W v Mali W49-72
29/09/10Senegal W v Mali W67-69 OT
Senegal Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/23ACameroon W80-77
01/08/23AEgypt W71-60
30/07/23HMali W49-72
29/07/23AUganda W83-85
26/09/21ACameroon W49-53
24/09/21ANigeria W63-73
23/09/21HMozambique W74-46
20/09/21AEgypt W78-63
18/09/21HGuinea W100-31
14/08/16HSerbia W88-95
Mali Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/23HGuinea W96-40
30/07/23ASenegal W72-49
28/07/23HUganda W80-66
27/09/22HCanada W65-88
26/09/22ASerbia W68-81
25/09/22HFrance W59-74
23/09/22HAustralia W58-118
22/09/22AJapan W56-89
13/02/22ANigeria W69-73
11/02/22HChina W64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Senegal W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeL0%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game70.849.078.0
Allowed / game73.572.074.0
Point differential-2.8-23.0+4.0
Avg total144.2121.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mali W
AfroBasket Women 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.788.072.0
Allowed / game51.753.049.0
Point differential+31.0+35.0+23.0
Avg total134.3141.0121.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mali W330100%82.751.7+31.0
2 Nigeria W440100%72.550.0+22.5
3 Cameroon W43175%69.055.0+14.0
4 Mozambique W53260%72.452.8+19.6
5 Rwanda W42250%61.562.2-0.8
6 Senegal W42250%70.873.5-2.8
7 Uganda W52340%70.475.8-5.4
8 Angola W31233%70.770.3+0.3
9 Egypt W31233%71.377.3-6.0
10 Ivory Coast W31233%51.767.7-16.0
11 Guinea W51420%47.681.6-34.0
12 DR Congo W3030%58.378.7-20.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Senegal W2016241575
Mali W1622111665
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