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Serbia U20 vs Italy U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jul 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 64-71
19-23 16-9 14-13 15-26
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#5
Record3-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Semi-finals
Other2024
Meetings · Serbia U20 v Italy U20
20 Jul 2024
SERB64
ITAL71
12 Jul 2023
SERB75
ITAL72
15 Jul 2019
SERB73
ITAL69
15 Jul 2018
SERB79
ITAL78
20 Jul 2016
SERB65
ITAL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Serbia U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro U20
#13
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#10
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#9
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#9
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
97-67
97
67
+30
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#13
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#11
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-13
20-17
17-17
16-15
21-14
22-25
16-18
19-19
22-18
14-21
18-24
23-12
20-17
7-14
26-12
21-14
13-27
29-20
19-17
15-15
15-23
17-17
26-20
26-16
13-18
19-21
18-17
24-10
20-17
23-17
30-23
22-15
18-19
18-20
9-18
22-26
29-20
26-17
24-16
151.6Avg total
79.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.873.0155.8+9.860%
Season at home (3)81.374.3155.7+7.067%
Season away (2)85.071.0156.0+14.050%
Last 10 (10)79.572.1151.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)82.873.0155.8+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.977.7149.6-5.943%
vs Similar ◀ (2)78.575.0153.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker (21)82.366.6148.9+15.871%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#10
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#15
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#2
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#10
W
87-67
87
67
+20
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#7
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#13
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
North Macedonia U20
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-8
13-14
16-14
15-19
15-16
14-21
25-22
18-16
15-22
27-5
12-18
18-15
25-22
25-28
33-15
15-21
13-10
24-6
21-29
17-24
21-20
21-19
18-14
27-14
15-17
18-26
18-22
21-25
30-14
14-17
13-13
14-15
22-17
11-14
19-28
11-15
25-14
25-17
25-23
17-16
145.9Avg total
75.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.072.0149.0+5.060%
Season at home (3)75.778.0153.7-2.333%
Season away (2)79.063.0142.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.470.5145.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)77.072.0149.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.581.0155.5-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.475.8149.2-2.442%
vs Weaker (14)75.666.9142.5+8.671%
This opponent (Serbia U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
Serbia U20Italy U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Serbia U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro U20
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Italy U20
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#10
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
74.7Avg total
39.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.134.475.5+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.835.876.6+5.075%-
Last 30 away (14)41.432.974.3+8.664%-
Last 10 (10)39.735.074.7+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.876.6+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.137.675.7+0.671%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)35.535.070.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker (21)42.633.376.0+9.371%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey U20
#10
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H13/07
EuroBasket U20
Iceland U20
#14
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#2
W
37-16
37
16
+21
H16/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#13
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A15/07
EuroBasket U20
Poland U20
#14
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
North Macedonia U20
#15
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
70.8Avg total
38.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.373.4+2.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.134.872.8+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)38.135.974.0+2.343%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.770.8+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.037.075.0+1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.137.873.8-1.742%-
vs Weaker (14)39.932.672.5+7.264%-
This opponent (Serbia U20) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Serbia U20 wins
2
Italy U20 wins
DateGameScore
12/07/23Serbia U20 v Italy U2075-72
20/07/19Italy U20 v Serbia U2086-63
15/07/19Serbia U20 v Italy U2073-69
15/07/18Serbia U20 v Italy U2079-78
15/07/17Italy U20 v Serbia U2069-77
20/07/16Serbia U20 v Italy U2065-70
13/07/15Italy U20 v Serbia U2061-67
Serbia U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/24HIceland U20101-79
17/07/24HCzech Republic U2067-72
15/07/24APoland U2097-67
14/07/24HFrance U2076-72
13/07/24AGreece U2073-75
16/07/23HGermany U2082-78
15/07/23ATurkey U2076-55
13/07/23HFrance U2073-82
12/07/23HItaly U2075-72
10/07/23AMontenegro U2075-69
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/24HNorth Macedonia U2092-70
17/07/24HPoland U2063-74
15/07/24ACzech Republic U2071-59
14/07/24HIsrael U2072-90
13/07/24AGermany U2087-67
16/07/23HSpain U2075-69
15/07/23AIceland U2098-86
13/07/23HPoland U2072-60
12/07/23ASerbia U2072-75
10/07/23ATurkey U2052-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia U20
EuroBasket U20 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game82.881.385.0
Allowed / game73.074.371.0
Point differential+9.8+7.0+14.0
Avg total155.8155.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game77.075.779.0
Allowed / game72.078.063.0
Point differential+5.0-2.3+16.0
Avg total149.0153.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia U20550100%80.666.8+13.8
2 France U2054180%85.468.8+16.6
3 Belgium U2054180%69.468.6+0.8
4 Spain U2064267%80.059.5+20.5
5 Lithuania U2064267%82.367.2+15.2
6 Serbia U2053260%82.873.0+9.8
7 Israel U2053260%82.273.6+8.6
8 Italy U2053260%77.072.0+5.0
9 Germany U2053260%78.276.2+2.0
10 Greece U2053260%72.072.6-0.6
11 Turkey U2062433%75.774.8+0.8
12 Iceland U2062433%78.384.3-6.0
13 Czech Republic U2062433%70.777.2-6.5
14 Poland U2062433%70.381.7-11.3
15 Montenegro U206060%53.783.2-29.5
16 North Macedonia U206060%63.393.2-29.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia U201916141564
Italy U20239132671
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