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Italy U20 vs Poland U20 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-60
15-22 27-5 12-18 18-15
Position#6
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game63.0
vs
Position#15
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game60.8
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeEuroBasket U20EuroBasket U20 - Quarter-finals
Other2023
Meetings · Italy U20 v Poland U20
17 Jul 2024
ITAL63
POLA74
13 Jul 2023
ITAL72
POLA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy U20 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland U20 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Italy U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U20
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#6
L
82-83 OT
82
83
-1
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#10
L
72-88
72
88
-16
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#14
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#8
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A23/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H24/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#7
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A08/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#8
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#10
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
23-20
25-19
26-18
18-15
25-26
13-15
17-17
20-32
12-14
15-25
25-17
16-18
19-17
18-15
18-20
21-19
23-6
11-24
12-10
15-18
19-19
25-22
22-19
22-15
15-18
17-21
10-18
14-15
21-17
15-8
16-10
8-8
13-14
16-14
15-19
15-16
14-21
25-22
18-16
142.4Avg total
71.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.563.0126.5+0.525%
Season at home (1)66.050.0116.0+16.0100%
Season away (3)62.767.3130.0-4.70%
Last 10 (10)71.670.8142.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)67.066.0133.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.482.6157.0-8.20%
vs Similar (15)72.873.4146.2-0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.163.0134.1+8.170%
This opponent (Poland U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland U20Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany U20
#8
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#7
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#1
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#13
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#16
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H23/07
EuroBasket U20
Portugal U20
#15
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A24/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#4
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H08/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#12
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H10/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#1
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
14-17
23-13
15-24
16-16
13-18
14-11
10-9
21-23
11-21
8-19
20-20
15-25
17-20
19-12
16-25
13-18
28-12
26-9
28-20
16-14
20-8
19-27
12-8
19-21
17-14
12-18
19-19
16-15
13-16
16-20
8-13
14-20
21-14
15-26
18-13
11-30
8-16
21-18
15-25
136.3Avg total
65.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)60.874.5135.2-13.80%
Season at home (2)67.572.5140.0-5.00%
Season away (2)54.076.5130.5-22.50%
Last 10 (10)65.470.9136.3-5.520%
Last 5 (5)62.071.0133.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.978.9144.8-13.025%
vs Similar (6)74.070.0144.0+4.050%
vs Weaker (12)73.259.2132.5+14.075%
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.5-1.5
Italy U20Poland U20
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Italy U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece U20
#13
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H18/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H20/07
EuroBasket U20
Czech Republic U20
#14
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H21/07
EuroBasket U20
Germany U20
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A23/07
EuroBasket U20
Slovenia U20
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H24/07
EuroBasket U20
Belgium U20
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A08/07
EuroBasket U20
Israel U20
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#10
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A10/07
EuroBasket U20
Serbia U20
#3
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
69.7Avg total
34.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.372.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.236.673.8+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)36.734.270.9+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.969.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)31.232.263.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.641.479.0-3.820%-
vs Similar (15)36.636.973.5-0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.130.067.1+7.160%-
This opponent (Poland U20) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poland U20Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany U20
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A17/07
EuroBasket U20
Turkey U20
#7
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A18/07
EuroBasket U20
Spain U20
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A20/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#13
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A21/07
EuroBasket U20
Ukraine U20
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/07
EuroBasket U20
Portugal U20
#15
W
36-22
36
22
+14
A24/07
EuroBasket U20
Greece U20
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/07
EuroBasket U20
Croatia U20
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A09/07
EuroBasket U20
Lithuania U20
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H10/07
EuroBasket U20
France U20
#1
L
19-46
19
46
-27
A12/07
EuroBasket U20
68.0Avg total
32.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.869.3-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.533.371.9+5.280%-
Last 30 away (15)30.536.366.8-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)32.036.068.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.033.664.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.739.268.8-9.542%-
vs Similar (6)38.835.874.7+3.050%-
vs Weaker (12)37.230.067.2+7.267%-
This opponent (Italy U20) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Italy U20 wins
1
Poland U20 wins
DateGameScore
21/07/19Poland U20 v Italy U2061-77
20/07/14Poland U20 v Italy U2079-75
15/07/14Poland U20 v Italy U2052-61
Italy U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/23ASerbia U2072-75
10/07/23ATurkey U2052-55
09/07/23HIsrael U2066-50
08/07/23ABelgium U2064-72
24/07/22HSlovenia U2081-78
23/07/22AGermany U2067-59
21/07/22HCzech Republic U2071-70
20/07/22HCroatia U2072-88
18/07/22HIsrael U2082-83 OT
17/07/22HGreece U2089-78
Poland U20last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/23AFrance U2055-89
10/07/23HLithuania U2068-73
09/07/23ACroatia U2053-64
08/07/23HGreece U2067-72
24/07/22APortugal U2067-57
23/07/22HUkraine U2095-59
21/07/22AGreece U2067-82
20/07/22ASpain U2060-83
18/07/22ATurkey U2053-54
17/07/22AGermany U2069-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy U20
EuroBasket U20 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game63.566.062.7
Allowed / game63.050.067.3
Point differential+0.5+16.0-4.7
Avg total126.5116.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland U20
EuroBasket U20 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.867.554.0
Allowed / game74.572.576.5
Point differential-13.8-5.0-22.5
Avg total135.2140.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France U20550100%88.459.4+29.0
2 Spain U2054180%78.659.4+19.2
3 Lithuania U2054180%76.065.0+11.0
4 Belgium U2054180%73.264.8+8.4
5 Greece U2043175%73.871.5+2.2
6 Turkey U2043175%67.068.2-1.2
7 Israel U2053260%64.864.4+0.4
8 Germany U2053260%72.272.2+0.0
9 Serbia U2053260%71.872.0-0.2
10 Iceland U2052340%74.083.4-9.4
11 Italy U2041325%63.563.0+0.5
12 Slovenia U2051420%64.269.4-5.2
13 Croatia U2051420%64.477.6-13.2
14 Estonia U2051420%65.079.4-14.4
15 Poland U204040%60.874.5-13.8
16 Montenegro U205050%70.486.2-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy U201527121872
Poland U20225181560
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