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Serbia W vs Spain W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 62-70
13-16 15-21 10-18 24-15
Position#9
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.4
Serbia W
vs
Spain W 🏆
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game72.8
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Meetings · Serbia W v Spain W
03 Aug 2024
SERB62
SPAI70
23 Jun 2021
SERB71
SPAI64
07 Aug 2016
SERB59
SPAI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Serbia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#3
L
53-93
53
93
-40
no box
A22/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
63-58
63
58
+5
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
78-62
78
62
+16
no box
A25/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
82-40
82
40
+42
83avg 60
H09/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
103-60
103
60
+43
102avg 60
A12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#5
L
66-73
66
73
-7
45avg 60
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
72-65
72
65
+7
63avg 60
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
60avg 60
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
58-55
58
55
+3
45avg 60
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
81-59
81
59
+22
24avg 60
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-28
23-21
14-22
8-22
19-16
19-15
15-12
10-15
25-15
22-19
15-9
16-19
26-8
23-10
17-8
16-14
30-12
21-16
28-18
24-14
12-19
9-17
25-17
20-20
23-20
16-18
17-16
16-11
22-12
12-23
14-16
25-24
23-15
20-11
12-10
3-19
23-17
22-22
17-11
19-9
136.9Avg total
72.9Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.065.4135.4+4.660%
Season at home (3)67.765.0132.7+2.767%
Season away (2)73.566.0139.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)72.964.0136.9+8.970%
Last 5 (5)70.065.4135.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.075.0142.0-8.036%
vs Similar ◀ (4)69.570.0139.5-0.550%
vs Weaker (15)78.960.1139.1+18.8100%
This opponent (Spain W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Germany W
#13
W
67-42
67
42
+25
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 68
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 68
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 68
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
60-55
60
55
+5
47avg 68
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
73-72
73
72
+1
65avg 68
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
78avg 68
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
63-62
63
62
+1
62avg 68
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-7
13-9
20-13
14-13
18-14
20-14
12-18
19-14
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
16-12
20-13
9-23
15-7
19-24
8-22
23-18
23-8
13-22
20-15
20-22
23-17
18-9
21-16
5-19
19-18
132.9Avg total
70.0Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.272.8145.0-0.680%
Season at home (3)79.382.3161.7-3.067%
Season away (2)61.558.5120.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)70.062.9132.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)72.272.8145.0-0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.271.4140.6-2.240%
vs Similar ◀ (4)66.064.5130.5+1.550%
vs Weaker (21)78.757.5136.2+21.290%
This opponent (Serbia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
Serbia WSpain W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Serbia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A22/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H24/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A25/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#24
W
49-18
49
18
+31
H09/11
European Championship Women
North Macedonia W
#34
W
51-28
51
28
+23
A12/11
European Championship Women
Germany W
#5
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Brazil W
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
73.2Avg total
39.8Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.573.7+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.331.773.0+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.374.5-0.260%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.473.2+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.871.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.839.773.5-5.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.035.270.2-0.275%-
vs Weaker (15)44.330.574.8+13.7100%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#13
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A09/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
China W
#6
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H28/07
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A31/07
Olympic Games Women
64.8Avg total
34.9Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.228.765.9+8.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.029.468.4+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)34.527.662.1+6.975%-
Last 10 (10)34.929.964.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.870.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.228.060.2+4.280%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)29.834.264.0-4.550%-
vs Weaker (21)39.827.867.6+12.076%-
This opponent (Serbia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia W: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.424.0
46.7%
45.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.1
26.7%
30.1%15.4
🏀 Free throws17.112.1
70.8%
74.5%12.1
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.1 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.322.6
46.7%
45.1%45.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.14.4
24.4%
30.1%13.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.0
76.5%
74.5%13.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 03 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia W
WWLWLWWWWL
Spain W
WWWWLWWLWW
#9
League position
#4
+20.7
Net rating
+7.5
99.4
Offensive rating
95.8
78.7
Defensive rating
88.4
44.8%
Effective FG%
44.0%
39.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.9%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
26.7%
3-point %
24.4%
64.2%
Assist %
76.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 95.8Defence78.7 · 88.4Shooting44.8% · 44.0%3-point %26.7% · 24.4%Ball care17.3% · 15.9%Off. rebounds35.5% · 27.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Serbia W   ■ Spain W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Serbia W wins
3
Spain W wins
DateGameScore
29/07/21Spain W v Serbia W85-70
23/06/21Serbia W v Spain W71-64 OT
18/08/16Spain W v Serbia W68-54
07/08/16Serbia W v Spain W59-65
Serbia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/24AChina W81-59
28/07/24HPuerto Rico W58-55
11/02/24HAustralia W73-75
10/02/24HBrazil W72-65
08/02/24AGermany W66-73
12/11/23ANorth Macedonia W103-60
09/11/23HUkraine W82-40
25/06/23AGermany W78-62
24/06/23HMontenegro W63-58
22/06/23ABelgium W53-93
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/24APuerto Rico W63-62
28/07/24HChina W90-89 OT
11/02/24HHungary W73-72
09/02/24ACanada W60-55
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
24/06/23HHungary W69-60
22/06/23HGermany W67-42

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game70.067.773.5
Allowed / game65.465.066.0
Point differential+4.6+2.7+7.5
Avg total135.4132.7139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game72.279.361.5
Allowed / game72.882.358.5
Point differential-0.6-3.0+3.0
Avg total145.0161.7120.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%82.847.4+35.4
2 USA W550100%94.262.8+31.4
3 Australia W54180%70.464.0+6.4
4 Germany W54180%71.271.0+0.2
5 Spain W54180%72.272.8-0.6
6 Serbia W53260%70.065.4+4.6
7 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
8 Canada W84450%68.963.2+5.6
9 Belgium W52340%79.475.6+3.8
10 Japan W52340%77.483.0-5.6
11 Nigeria W52340%61.676.0-14.4
12 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
13 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia W1315102462
Spain W1621181570
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