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Shandong vs Jiangsu Dragons Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 18 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game86.9
ChinaCBARound 28· Shandong Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shandong v Jiangsu Dragons
18 Jan 2027
SHAN v JIAN
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
SHAN113
JIAN104
21 Mar 2025
SHAN102
JIAN83
19 Jan 2025
SHAN102
JIAN86
29 Jan 2024
SHAN104
JIAN100
07 Dec 2023
SHAN116
JIAN95
23 Dec 2022
SHAN90
JIAN94
07 Jan 2022
SHAN105
JIAN100
24 Dec 2020
SHAN91
JIAN83
05 Dec 2020
SHAN100
JIAN96
22 Jul 2020
SHAN90
JIAN85
10 Dec 2019
SHAN107
JIAN92
17 Mar 2019
SHAN101
JIAN103
03 Mar 2019
SHAN122
JIAN83
08 Nov 2018
SHAN100
JIAN82
18 Mar 2018
SHAN127
JIAN104
16 Mar 2018
SHAN111
JIAN91
01 Feb 2018
SHAN127
JIAN103
20 Nov 2016
SHAN103
JIAN88
29 Jan 2016
SHAN113
JIAN115
02 Nov 2014
SHAN104
JIAN94
27 Dec 2013
SHAN86
JIAN75
01 Feb 2013
SHAN130
JIAN80
05 Feb 2012
SHAN102
JIAN99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 83
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 83
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
no box
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
19-27
21-12
20-21
25-16
29-21
25-21
16-26
17-19
181.5Avg total
88.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.894.2186.0-2.538%
Season at home (5)92.693.2185.8-0.640%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)88.193.4181.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)93.894.6188.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.697.2182.8-11.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)104.790.9195.6+13.986%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
101-85
101
85
+16
98avg 76
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
89-108
89
108
-19
86avg 76
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A29/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
62-70
62
70
-8
no box
A01/11
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
95-93
95
93
+2
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
30-28
17-17
24-20
27-26
18-24
25-31
19-27
21-19
15-28
22-20
27-22
31-25
19-14
14-29
17-21
16-27
20-24
32-18
14-24
19-30
23-20
13-29
24-22
23-18
22-24
21-24
22-12
20-21
25-24
18-18
17-19
17-16
18-15
11-20
16-19
30-24
17-18
21-27
27-24
173.0Avg total
84.2Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.586.9168.4-5.425%
Season at home (3)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
Season away (5)79.687.8167.4-8.220%
Last 10 (10)84.288.8173.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)80.884.8165.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)81.291.0172.2-9.923%
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.687.8174.4-1.240%
vs Weaker (3)91.086.7177.7+4.367%
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.3-0.3
ShandongJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
44.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.649.095.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.647.993.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.392.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.294.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.851.995.7-8.118%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.548.394.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker (7)51.145.696.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#20
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A01/11
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/11
CBA
88.6Avg total
44.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.246.989.1-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.345.388.6-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.148.589.6-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)44.144.588.6-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.084.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)40.448.488.7-8.018%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.444.488.8+0.040%-
vs Weaker (3)52.040.392.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.624.9
57.1%
53.8%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.6
28.6%
35.0%16.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
74.8%18.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWLLWWLLLL
Jiangsu Dragons
WLLWLLLLLW
#14
League position
#17
-2.8
Net rating
-5.4
96.8
Offensive rating
97.7
99.6
Defensive rating
103.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.9%
3-point %
28.6%
58.8%
Assist %
58.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 97.7Defence99.6 · 103.1Shooting52.1% · 52.7%3-point %33.9% · 28.6%Ball care14.8% · 14.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Shandong   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Shandong wins
2
Jiangsu Dragons wins
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HBeijing Royal Fighters97-99 OT
31/10/26HGuangdong85-76
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ANanjing Tongxi95-93
01/11/26AZhejiang Chouzhou62-70
29/10/26AGuangdong80-82
27/10/26HFujian88-78
25/10/26AShanxi Zhongyu79-101
23/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters82-93
19/10/26HShenzhen81-89
17/10/26HFujian85-89
24/04/26HLiaoning89-108
20/04/26HSichuan101-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game91.892.690.3
Allowed / game94.293.296.0
Point differential-2.5-0.6-5.7
Avg total186.0185.8186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.584.779.6
Allowed / game86.985.387.8
Point differential-5.4-0.7-8.2
Avg total168.4170.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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