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Shandong vs Liaoning Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 28 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#3
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game87.8
ChinaCBARound 19· Shandong Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shandong v Liaoning
28 Dec 2026
SHAN v LIAO
upcoming
18 Oct 2026
SHAN84
LIAO95
03 May 2026
SHAN98
LIAO82
28 Apr 2026
SHAN67
LIAO77
13 Apr 2026
SHAN75
LIAO80
26 Oct 2024
SHAN102
LIAO116
03 Dec 2023
SHAN108
LIAO111
01 Mar 2023
SHAN119
LIAO114
07 Oct 2022
SHAN86
LIAO73
19 Oct 2021
SHAN87
LIAO98
29 Dec 2020
SHAN109
LIAO122
06 Nov 2020
SHAN128
LIAO127
19 Dec 2019
SHAN114
LIAO94
25 Dec 2018
SHAN84
LIAO102
11 Jan 2018
SHAN103
LIAO98
04 Dec 2016
SHAN95
LIAO93
27 Nov 2015
SHAN94
LIAO106
28 Jan 2015
SHAN89
LIAO93
27 Nov 2013
SHAN97
LIAO103
05 Dec 2012
SHAN117
LIAO101
08 Jan 2012
SHAN102
LIAO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Liaoning win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 85
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 85
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
no box
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
19-27
21-12
20-21
25-16
29-21
25-21
16-26
17-19
181.5Avg total
88.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.894.2186.0-2.538%
Season at home (5)92.693.2185.8-0.640%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)88.193.4181.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)93.894.6188.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)85.697.2182.8-11.50%
vs Similar (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)104.790.9195.6+13.986%
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiaoning
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
86-102
86
102
-16
73avg 81
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
82-98
82
98
-16
72avg 81
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
no box
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
104-93
104
93
+11
no box
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
107-91
107
91
+16
no box
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
91-71
91
71
+20
no box
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
28-29
13-20
24-24
22-28
22-27
6-26
32-17
27-13
26-31
21-23
21-17
27-21
25-27
29-29
16-16
30-23
29-29
25-22
20-19
30-25
25-25
22-22
21-15
27-20
15-32
23-19
19-19
26-22
31-21
31-22
19-26
24-24
21-10
19-17
27-20
24-21
35-24
18-26
23-22
184.6Avg total
94.4Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)97.087.8184.8+9.288%
Season at home (4)98.286.0184.2+12.2100%
Season away (4)95.889.5185.2+6.275%
Last 10 (10)94.490.2184.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)96.086.4182.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.591.0168.5-13.50%
vs Similar (13)90.287.4177.6+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.986.2183.2+10.785%
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
ShandongLiaoning
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
44.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.649.095.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.647.993.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.392.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.294.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)43.851.995.7-8.118%-
vs Similar (12)46.548.394.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker (7)51.145.696.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Liaoning) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiaoningLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/05
CBA
Shandong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/05
CBA
Shandong
#14
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A18/10
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A21/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A27/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A30/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H01/11
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H03/11
CBA
99.6Avg total
51.5Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.345.393.6+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.944.093.9+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)46.846.593.3+0.356%-
Last 10 (10)51.548.199.6+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)51.644.896.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.045.588.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (13)47.545.292.6+2.362%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.745.596.2+5.277%-
This opponent (Shandong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liaoningtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liaoning: 92.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.7
55.4%
53.8%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.515.0
76.9%
74.8%15.0
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWLLWWLLLL
Liaoning
WWWLWWWWLL
#14
League position
#3
-2.8
Net rating
-0.1
96.8
Offensive rating
101.5
99.6
Defensive rating
101.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.9%
3-point %
33.8%
58.8%
Assist %
62.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 101.5Defence99.6 · 101.6Shooting52.1% · 53.6%3-point %33.9% · 33.8%Ball care14.8% · 13.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Shandong   ■ Liaoning
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Shandong wins
7
Liaoning wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Shandong v Liaoning84-95
03/05/26Shandong v Liaoning98-82
01/05/26Liaoning v Shandong86-102
28/04/26Shandong v Liaoning67-77
13/04/26Shandong v Liaoning75-80
23/01/26Liaoning v Shandong79-84
31/03/25Liaoning v Shandong116-90
26/10/24Shandong v Liaoning102-116
31/01/24Liaoning v Shandong103-86
03/12/23Shandong v Liaoning108-111
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HBeijing Royal Fighters97-99 OT
31/10/26HGuangdong85-76
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
Liaoninglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HGuangzhou100-93
01/11/26HShenzhen91-71
30/10/26ANingbo Rockets107-91
27/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha84-90
25/10/26HXinjiang98-87
23/10/26HSichuan104-93
21/10/26AQingdao97-93
18/10/26AShandong95-84
03/05/26AShandong82-98
01/05/26HShandong86-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game91.892.690.3
Allowed / game94.293.296.0
Point differential-2.5-0.6-5.7
Avg total186.0185.8186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Liaoning
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game97.098.295.8
Allowed / game87.886.089.5
Point differential+9.2+12.2+6.2
Avg total184.8184.2185.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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