PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Shandong vs Sichuan Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#14
Record3-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#19
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game93.9
ChinaCBARound 27· Shandong Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shandong v Sichuan
16 Jan 2027
SHAN v SICH
upcoming
17 Dec 2025
SHAN94
SICH87
30 Dec 2024
SHAN111
SICH80
29 Oct 2023
SHAN114
SICH101
05 Mar 2023
SHAN115
SICH86
28 Dec 2021
SHAN101
SICH102
13 Mar 2021
SHAN118
SICH89
29 Jun 2020
SHAN95
SICH77
21 Nov 2019
SHAN97
SICH101
09 Jan 2019
SHAN104
SICH90
23 Jan 2018
SHAN126
SICH100
14 Dec 2016
SHAN94
SICH96
08 Nov 2015
SHAN114
SICH116
14 Jan 2015
SHAN100
SICH78
22 Jan 2014
SHAN114
SICH81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shandong win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sichuan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShandongChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShandong
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 83
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
51avg 83
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
106-97
106
97
+9
no box
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
105-93
105
93
+12
no box
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
90-102
90
102
-12
no box
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
20-19
17-17
17-18
12-29
20-29
17-20
19-18
13-27
31-26
23-21
17-21
20-28
13-16
12-26
30-19
22-25
26-23
26-17
32-32
31-25
22-19
20-25
32-24
15-25
22-30
34-26
21-22
26-22
29-29
19-26
16-25
19-27
21-12
20-21
25-16
29-21
25-21
16-26
17-19
181.5Avg total
88.1Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.894.2186.0-2.538%
Season at home (5)92.693.2185.8-0.640%
Season away (3)90.396.0186.3-5.733%
Last 10 (10)88.193.4181.5-5.330%
Last 5 (5)93.894.6188.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.697.2182.8-11.50%
vs Similar (12)87.488.5175.9-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)104.790.9195.6+13.986%
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSichuan
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
85-101
85
101
-16
69avg 59
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
63avg 59
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
no box
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
91-88
91
88
+3
no box
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-104
93
104
-11
no box
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
49-91
49
91
-42
no box
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
81-91
81
91
-10
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
64-115
64
115
-51
no box
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
74-82
74
82
-8
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
28-30
17-17
20-24
9-30
23-31
25-28
24-15
28-22
25-26
25-15
19-22
24-22
24-20
22-26
21-20
23-30
29-29
22-25
19-20
14-28
10-21
14-19
11-23
15-19
21-34
18-19
27-19
14-33
12-26
18-29
20-27
19-29
25-25
23-23
22-18
19-14
23-20
23-32
9-16
176.0Avg total
80.4Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.893.9173.6-14.125%
Season at home (4)75.287.2162.5-12.025%
Season away (4)84.2100.5184.8-16.225%
Last 10 (10)80.495.6176.0-15.220%
Last 5 (5)71.494.8166.2-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.699.9175.4-24.37%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -7.2-7.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.2-1.2
ShandongSichuan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShandongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanghai
#1
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/05
CBA
Shanghai
#1
L
32-58
32
58
-26
H09/05
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H18/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A23/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H25/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H27/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A29/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H31/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H02/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
44.1Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.649.095.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.647.993.5-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)47.850.298.0-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)44.148.392.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)47.846.294.0+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.851.995.7-8.118%-
vs Similar (12)46.548.394.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)51.145.696.7+5.671%-
This opponent (Sichuan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SichuanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#19
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A20/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
H24/04
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H17/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A23/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H25/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A29/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
CBA
Fujian
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/11
CBA
92.4Avg total
40.5Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.951.388.2-14.419%-
Last 30 away (14)38.550.388.8-11.814%-
Last 10 (10)40.551.992.4-11.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.449.884.2-15.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.650.888.5-13.217%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Shandong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shandongtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shandong: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.422.9
52.8%
53.8%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.2
33.9%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
74.8%16.5
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sichuantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sichuan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.4
51.5%
53.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.0
34.2%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.4%
74.8%14.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shandong
LWLLWWLLLL
Sichuan
LLLLLLWWLL
#14
League position
#19
-2.8
Net rating
-18.7
96.8
Offensive rating
90.8
99.6
Defensive rating
109.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
34.2%
58.8%
Assist %
53.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.8 · 90.8Defence99.6 · 109.5Shooting52.1% · 51.4%3-point %33.9% · 34.2%Ball care14.8% · 15.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Shandong   ■ Sichuan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Shandong wins
2
Sichuan wins
DateGameScore
23/03/26Sichuan v Shandong83-116
17/12/25Shandong v Sichuan94-87
24/03/25Sichuan v Shandong80-105
30/12/24Shandong v Sichuan111-80
15/11/24Sichuan v Shandong72-97
15/01/24Sichuan v Shandong105-95
29/10/23Shandong v Sichuan114-101
17/03/23Sichuan v Shandong99-93
05/03/23Shandong v Sichuan115-86
06/10/22Sichuan v Shandong76-78
Shandonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HBeijing Royal Fighters97-99 OT
31/10/26HGuangdong85-76
29/10/26AFujian90-102
27/10/26HBeijing92-103
25/10/26HTianjin105-93
23/10/26ANanjing Tongxi106-97
21/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou75-89
18/10/26HLiaoning84-95
09/05/26HShanghai68-96
06/05/26AShanghai79-84
Sichuanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HFujian74-82
01/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu89-95
29/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters64-115
27/10/26HNanjing Tongxi81-91
25/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou49-91
23/10/26ALiaoning93-104
20/10/26AJilin91-88
17/10/26HTianjin97-85
24/04/26HZhejiang Chouzhou81-104
20/04/26AJiangsu Dragons85-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shandong
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game91.892.690.3
Allowed / game94.293.296.0
Point differential-2.5-0.6-5.7
Avg total186.0185.8186.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
Sichuan
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game79.875.284.2
Allowed / game93.987.2100.5
Point differential-14.1-12.0-16.2
Avg total173.6162.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.