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Shenzhen vs Qingdao Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Position#13
Record3-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game93.2
ChinaCBARound 24· Shenzhen Dayun Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shenzhen v Qingdao
09 Jan 2027
SHEN v QING
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
SHEN77
QING89
08 Jan 2025
SHEN95
QING107
09 Dec 2023
SHEN104
QING84
13 Dec 2022
SHEN86
QING82
08 Oct 2022
SHEN77
QING83
05 Nov 2021
SHEN98
QING97
17 Dec 2020
SHEN95
QING118
11 Jul 2020
SHEN74
QING81
01 Jan 2019
SHEN121
QING105
08 Dec 2018
SHEN111
QING101
19 Jan 2018
SHEN121
QING103
18 Jan 2017
SHEN112
QING97
06 Dec 2015
SHEN116
QING104
07 Nov 2014
SHEN109
QING117
11 Dec 2013
SHEN101
QING93
15 Feb 2013
SHEN127
QING109
11 Jan 2012
SHEN103
QING93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shenzhen win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShenzhenChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShenzhen
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
73avg 95
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
88-97
88
97
-9
74avg 95
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
68-102
68
102
-34
no box
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
62-120
62
120
-58
no box
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
70-103
70
103
-33
no box
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
no box
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
H03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-18
15-28
26-19
20-15
21-14
29-31
22-36
16-16
19-16
13-29
21-30
15-27
25-31
14-19
29-14
21-17
18-32
11-30
12-29
21-29
19-29
14-31
19-24
18-19
32-27
17-27
24-19
22-10
19-22
26-22
18-16
19-21
24-24
10-21
17-19
20-27
14-25
22-3
15-19
17-21
173.7Avg total
80.9Scored
92.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
Season at home (3)86.092.0178.0-6.067%
Season away (5)74.495.0169.4-20.640%
Last 10 (10)80.992.8173.7-11.950%
Last 5 (5)82.289.6171.8-7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.893.9172.6-15.150%
vs Similar (10)98.295.7193.9+2.560%
vs Weaker (12)105.892.0197.8+13.8100%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
76avg 78
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
84avg 78
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
112-109
112
109
+3
no box
A02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-25
12-23
27-9
13-25
20-26
30-21
31-25
24-29
23-21
24-19
9-13
21-27
27-25
29-29
16-16
21-29
22-19
25-13
12-27
32-18
28-21
25-19
16-22
17-22
39-12
21-28
17-28
18-26
31-25
17-27
20-27
26-23
19-26
24-23
17-23
27-35
27-21
24-25
34-28
184.5Avg total
91.2Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.593.2184.8-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season away (4)89.593.5183.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)91.293.3184.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)95.895.8191.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar (13)90.793.5184.2-2.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.585.8182.2+10.883%
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -7.0-7.0Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.9-1.9
ShenzhenQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShenzhenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H21/05
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H23/05
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/10
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#17
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A19/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
29-62
29
62
-33
A22/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H25/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H28/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A30/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H03/11
CBA
87.1Avg total
39.2Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.048.298.2+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.546.398.8+6.277%-
Last 30 away (17)48.149.697.8-1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.247.987.1-8.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.285.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.148.585.6-11.425%-
vs Similar (10)52.850.4103.2+2.470%-
vs Weaker (12)56.346.2102.5+10.292%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A31/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A02/11
CBA
94.8Avg total
47.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.945.994.8+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.343.894.1+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)47.348.395.6-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)47.347.594.8-0.220%-
Last 5 (5)52.845.898.6+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.848.895.6-2.020%-
vs Similar (13)46.647.293.8-0.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)52.243.295.4+9.175%-
This opponent (Shenzhen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shenzhentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shenzhen: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.7
52.1%
53.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
35.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
74.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shenzhen
WLWWLLWLLW
Qingdao
WLLWWLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-14.8
Net rating
-1.1
88.7
Offensive rating
99.7
103.5
Defensive rating
100.8
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.5%
3-point %
32.5%
65.1%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 99.7Defence103.5 · 100.8Shooting51.4% · 51.8%3-point %33.5% · 32.5%Ball care15.4% · 11.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Shenzhen   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Shenzhen wins
6
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
05/01/26Qingdao v Shenzhen83-92
13/12/25Shenzhen v Qingdao77-89
08/01/25Shenzhen v Qingdao95-107
31/10/24Qingdao v Shenzhen121-109
08/01/24Qingdao v Shenzhen110-105
31/12/23Qingdao v Shenzhen104-92
09/12/23Shenzhen v Qingdao104-84
15/01/23Qingdao v Shenzhen99-106
13/12/22Shenzhen v Qingdao86-82
08/10/22Shenzhen v Qingdao77-83
Shenzhenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HZhejiang Chouzhou93-90 OT
01/11/26ALiaoning71-91
30/10/26AJilin82-81
28/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu95-83
25/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters70-103
22/10/26ABeijing62-120
19/10/26AJiangsu Dragons89-81
16/10/26AShanghai68-102
23/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha88-97
21/05/26HZhejiang Guangsha91-80
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AGuangdong112-109
31/10/26AFujian86-95
29/10/26HBeijing86-105
27/10/26HTianjin94-90
25/10/26HNanjing Tongxi101-80
23/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou80-88
21/10/26HLiaoning93-97
17/10/26AXinjiang80-82
02/05/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-97
29/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu86-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shenzhen
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game78.886.074.4
Allowed / game93.992.095.0
Point differential-15.1-6.0-20.6
Avg total172.6178.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game91.593.589.5
Allowed / game93.293.093.5
Point differential-1.8+0.5-4.0
Avg total184.8186.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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