PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nagasaki vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 78-85
22-23 19-17 16-27 21-18
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#18
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game64.0
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Shimane
25 Sep 2026
NAGA78
SHIM85
23 Sep 2026
NAGA64
SHIM89
22 Apr 2026
NAGA106
SHIM74
02 Feb 2025
NAGA96
SHIM74
01 Feb 2025
NAGA69
SHIM78
18 Dec 2024
NAGA77
SHIM73
31 Mar 2024
NAGA81
SHIM85
30 Mar 2024
NAGA74
SHIM67
25 Oct 2023
NAGA77
SHIM73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
105-94
105
94
+11
H02/05
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H03/05
B League
Alvark
#8
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H07/05
B League
Alvark
#8
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H08/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#18
L
64-89
64
89
-25
H23/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
34-31
17-29
29-15
20-19
9-22
18-26
16-17
22-20
14-22
30-15
27-21
23-15
22-12
25-17
26-12
23-22
18-27
24-11
17-14
36-24
20-22
24-20
22-27
9-20
21-16
21-18
18-17
20-14
11-15
21-9
14-22
17-10
19-13
19-22
17-19
16-17
22-28
12-22
14-22
157.5Avg total
81.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
Season at home (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.276.3157.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)74.675.4150.0-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)70.580.5151.0-10.050%
vs Weaker (28)86.680.2166.9+6.471%
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A12/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H15/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
A18/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-106
74
106
-32
A22/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H25/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H26/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
H02/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
68-90
68
90
-22
H03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A23/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
21-13
14-17
15-14
15-18
26-21
15-22
20-14
26-12
27-30
16-21
14-20
24-28
22-18
16-12
11-14
19-23
12-32
21-29
22-22
17-24
30-23
13-23
19-18
19-15
24-18
22-13
16-23
22-24
25-16
10-26
34-19
14-30
16-19
22-19
16-22
17-16
28-22
22-12
22-14
162.4Avg total
80.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.064.0153.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.382.1162.4-1.860%
Last 5 (5)81.679.2160.8+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.678.7148.3-9.110%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.882.2163.0-1.450%
vs Weaker (4)73.577.2150.8-3.875%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.9+0.9
NagasakiShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#20
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H02/05
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H03/05
B League
Alvark
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H07/05
B League
Alvark
#8
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H08/05
B League
Chiba
#6
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H15/05
B League
Chiba
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H16/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H24/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H26/05
B League
Shimane
#18
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/09
B League
78.9Avg total
40.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.884.0+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (19)43.541.685.1+1.953%-
Last 30 away (11)42.639.582.2+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)40.138.878.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.235.874.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)36.044.580.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (28)43.740.684.3+3.161%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A12/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A18/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A19/04
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A22/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A23/09
B League
85.0Avg total
42.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.580.5-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.440.280.5+0.259%-
Last 30 away (13)39.540.980.5-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.885.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.139.774.8-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.541.684.1+0.956%-
vs Weaker (4)42.238.280.5+4.075%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.5
55.1%
53.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.0
30.2%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.717.0
78.3%
73.7%17.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.9
53.2%
53.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.8
31.7%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.111.6
76.8%
73.7%11.6
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LWWLWWWWLW
Shimane
WLWWLLWWWL
#16
League position
#18
+5.4
Net rating
-2.2
93.5
Offensive rating
91.5
88.1
Defensive rating
93.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
30.2%
3-point %
31.7%
64.0%
Assist %
72.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 91.5Defence88.1 · 93.7Shooting50.5% · 50.8%3-point %30.2% · 31.7%Ball care14.0% · 13.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
5
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
23/09/26Nagasaki v Shimane64-89
22/04/26Nagasaki v Shimane106-74
24/12/25Shimane v Nagasaki101-93
09/04/25Shimane v Nagasaki72-63
02/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane96-74
01/02/25Nagasaki v Shimane69-78
18/12/24Nagasaki v Shimane77-73
31/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane81-85 OT
30/03/24Nagasaki v Shimane74-67
07/02/24Shimane v Nagasaki92-99
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26HShimane64-89
26/05/26HRyukyu72-64
24/05/26HRyukyu66-60
23/05/26HRyukyu69-71
16/05/26HChiba102-93
15/05/26HChiba82-74
08/05/26HAlvark96-56
07/05/26HAlvark93-78
03/05/26HKyoto63-84
02/05/26HKyoto105-94
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/26ANagasaki89-64
03/05/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles68-90
02/05/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles91-85
26/04/26HIbaraki Robots81-69
25/04/26HIbaraki Robots79-88
22/04/26ANagasaki74-106
19/04/26AHiroshima D.73-72
18/04/26AHiroshima D.104-102 OT
15/04/26HKyoto76-75
12/04/26AAlvark68-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game64.064.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential-25.0-25.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+25.0-+25.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Shimane110100%89.064.0+25.0
2 Hiroshima D.110100%100.087.0+13.0
3 Gunma110100%76.074.0+2.0
4 Kyoto110100%95.094.0+1.0
5 Alvark21150%79.079.0+0.0
6 Ryukyu21150%79.079.0+0.0
7 Shiga1010%94.095.0-1.0
8 Altiri Chiba1010%74.076.0-2.0
9 Saga1010%87.0100.0-13.0
10 Nagasaki1010%64.089.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nagasaki2219162178
Shimane2317271885
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.