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Chiba vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 97-78
23-16 23-30 22-15 29-17
Position#16
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game97.0
Allowed / game103.7
Chiba 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#17
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game81.7
JapanB League· LaLa arena TOKYO-BAY
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chiba v Shimane
17 Oct 2026
CHIB97
SHIM78
09 Nov 2025
CHIB96
SHIM82
08 Nov 2025
CHIB78
SHIM64
29 Dec 2024
CHIB78
SHIM86
28 Dec 2024
CHIB81
SHIM85
06 Dec 2020
CHIB92
SHIM70
05 Dec 2020
CHIB92
SHIM83
27 Oct 2019
CHIB101
SHIM63
26 Oct 2019
CHIB79
SHIM67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chiba winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChibaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChiba
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
74avg 80
H11/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
64avg 80
A15/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
93-102
93
102
-9
89avg 80
A16/05
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 80
A25/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
79-95
79
95
-16
67avg 80
A26/09
B League
Alvark
#4
L
131-138 OT
131
138
-7
108avg 80
H02/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
71-96
71
96
-25
62avg 80
H04/10
B League
Kobe
#22
L
86-94
86
94
-8
76avg 80
A08/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
109-103
109
103
+6
104avg 80
A10/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
106-108 OT
106
108
-2
96avg 80
A12/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-23
15-6
20-21
22-23
27-18
11-24
14-17
24-36
22-20
20-24
27-22
21-30
29-22
29-19
18-21
22-24
19-19
20-23
18-29
26-26
29-21
18-24
24-26
18-22
21-25
14-27
18-22
22-19
29-24
18-18
17-33
32-23
30-32
27-24
20-24
25-22
18-22
25-18
27-33
189.6Avg total
91.8Scored
97.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)97.0103.7200.7-6.729%
Season at home (2)101.0117.0218.0-16.00%
Season away (5)95.498.4193.8-3.040%
Last 10 (10)91.897.8189.6-6.030%
Last 5 (5)100.6107.8208.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)93.4101.1194.6-7.729%
vs Similar (6)82.087.5169.5-5.533%
vs Weaker (17)88.279.2167.4+8.971%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 74
H25/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
81-69
81
69
+12
80avg 74
H26/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
91-85
91
85
+6
90avg 74
H02/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
68-90
68
90
-22
62avg 74
H03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
89-64
89
64
+25
76avg 74
A23/09
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 74
A25/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 74
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 74
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 74
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
69-90
69
90
-21
55avg 74
A10/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
30-23
13-23
19-18
19-15
24-18
22-13
16-23
22-24
25-16
10-26
34-19
14-30
16-19
22-19
16-22
17-16
28-22
22-12
22-14
23-22
17-19
27-16
18-21
21-20
10-27
20-23
22-15
10-26
17-21
30-23
23-20
28-16
12-25
29-24
26-18
15-18
17-30
16-27
21-15
163.2Avg total
81.0Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.881.7163.5+0.250%
Season at home (3)82.786.0168.7-3.333%
Season away (3)81.077.3158.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)81.082.2163.2-1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.485.2165.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.179.9150.0-9.89%
vs Similar (15)81.382.9164.1-1.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.578.8158.2+0.875%
This opponent (Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +3.2+3.2
ChibaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChibaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H11/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A15/05
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A16/05
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A25/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/09
B League
Alvark
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H02/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H04/10
B League
Kobe
#22
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A08/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A10/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A12/10
B League
94.2Avg total
47.3Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.288.0+5.667%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.639.786.4+6.971%-
Last 30 away (16)47.042.589.5+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.994.2+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.047.297.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)48.948.797.6+0.143%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.287.2-3.233%-
vs Weaker (17)47.736.784.4+11.088%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#21
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H02/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/05
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A23/09
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H03/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H04/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A10/10
B League
81.3Avg total
38.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.580.5-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.341.180.4-1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)38.442.280.6-3.833%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.181.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.044.878.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.741.475.1-7.627%-
vs Similar (15)41.741.683.3+0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.841.884.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Chiba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chibatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chiba: 91.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.222.7
52.5%
53.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.3
31.4%
32.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.518.3
77.9%
73.8%18.3
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.1
54.0%
53.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.4
34.4%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.611.1
71.2%
73.8%11.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chiba
LWLLLLWLLW
Shimane
LWLLWWLWWL
#16
League position
#17
-6.3
Net rating
-0.9
92.5
Offensive rating
93.2
98.8
Defensive rating
94.1
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
34.4%
62.5%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 93.2Defence98.8 · 94.1Shooting50.3% · 52.9%3-point %31.4% · 34.4%Ball care13.3% · 15.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Chiba   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Chiba wins
5
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
09/11/25Chiba v Shimane96-82
08/11/25Chiba v Shimane78-64
29/12/24Chiba v Shimane78-86
28/12/24Chiba v Shimane81-85 OT
01/12/23Shimane v Chiba90-59
30/11/23Shimane v Chiba83-87
11/12/22Shimane v Chiba81-79
10/12/22Shimane v Chiba87-96
03/10/21Shimane v Chiba74-81
02/10/21Shimane v Chiba100-94
Chibalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/26AYokohama106-108 OT
10/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido109-103
08/10/26AKobe86-94
04/10/26HAlvark71-96
02/10/26HAlvark131-138 OT
26/09/26ATokyo Sunrockers79-95
25/09/26ATokyo Sunrockers97-92
16/05/26ANagasaki93-102
15/05/26ANagasaki74-82
11/05/26HGunma72-68
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ARyukyu69-90
07/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido95-83
04/10/26HDiamond Dolphins80-90
03/10/26HDiamond Dolphins73-85
25/09/26ANagasaki85-78
23/09/26ANagasaki89-64
03/05/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles68-90
02/05/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles91-85
26/04/26HIbaraki Robots81-69
25/04/26HIbaraki Robots79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chiba
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game97.0101.095.4
Allowed / game103.7117.098.4
Point differential-6.7-16.0-3.0
Avg total200.7218.0193.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %29%50%20%
Shimane
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game81.882.781.0
Allowed / game81.786.077.3
Point differential+0.2-3.3+3.7
Avg total163.5168.7158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins550100%89.674.4+15.2
2 Hiroshima D.660100%94.880.7+14.2
3 NeoPhoenix550100%88.877.6+11.2
4 Alvark76186%97.084.9+12.1
5 Gunma76186%76.068.1+7.9
6 Kyoto75271%83.179.3+3.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa64267%88.580.5+8.0
8 Yokohama85362%81.981.0+0.9
9 Tokyo Sunrockers74357%87.680.9+6.7
10 Sendai74357%86.381.4+4.9
11 Levanga Hokkaido74357%98.094.7+3.3
12 Toyama74357%85.985.0+0.9
13 Utsunomiya Brex63350%81.077.8+3.2
14 Shimane63350%81.881.7+0.2
15 Shiga73443%92.188.1+4.0
16 Ryukyu73443%80.682.1-1.6
17 Nagasaki73443%73.178.1-5.0
18 Akita62433%72.081.3-9.3
19 Shinshu72529%82.785.9-3.1
20 Chiba72529%97.0103.7-6.7
21 Altiri Chiba72529%78.786.3-7.6
22 Kobe72529%76.984.4-7.6
23 Brave Thunders72529%79.487.6-8.1
24 Osaka71614%70.985.1-14.3
25 Ibaraki Robots81712%78.884.1-5.4
26 Saga81712%75.990.9-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chiba2323222997
Shimane1630151778
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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