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Shumen vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 78-80
17-20 22-22 18-24 21-14
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game85.0
Shumen
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#8
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game93.3
BulgariaNBLRound 4· Arena Shumen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Shumen v Academic Plovdiv
17 Jan 2026
SHUM78
ACAD90
18 Jan 2025
SHUM74
ACAD76
10 Apr 2024
SHUM88
ACAD80
27 Oct 2023
SHUM78
ACAD80
18 Jan 2023
SHUM72
ACAD78
13 Nov 2021
SHUM66
ACAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Beroe
#7
W
103-98
103
98
+5
no box
A18/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A01/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
83-80
83
80
+3
no box
A05/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
81-104
81
104
-23
no box
A08/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-105
89
105
-16
no box
H19/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
no box
H24/04
NBL
Levski
#6
L
62-86
62
86
-24
no box
H26/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 70
A07/10
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
76-92
76
92
-16
60avg 70
H14/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
86-75
86
75
+11
75avg 70
A21/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
24-31
34-19
18-17
16-11
23-22
17-26
16-20
25-22
23-19
20-21
15-18
23-24
16-28
20-30
22-22
21-30
25-22
25-29
18-24
21-25
21-20
17-34
12-20
18-29
18-19
17-20
9-18
16-18
23-22
26-27
18-21
19-20
17-19
19-30
21-23
28-17
17-26
18-19
23-13
171.2Avg total
80.6Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.785.0166.7-3.333%
Season at home (1)76.092.0168.0-16.00%
Season away (2)84.581.5166.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)80.690.6171.2-10.030%
Last 5 (5)75.688.0163.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)75.889.3165.1-13.525%
vs Similar ◀ (1)83.088.0171.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (1)76.092.0168.0-16.00%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
69-92
69
92
-23
no box
A14/04
NBL
Levski
#6
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
A19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
no box
H22/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
99-74
99
74
+25
no box
H26/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
66-85
66
85
-19
no box
H05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A08/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
71-97
71
97
-26
61avg 69
A08/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
66avg 69
H14/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 69
H20/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
25-23
15-36
14-15
19-16
24-24
16-26
29-30
20-17
17-21
22-21
8-15
29-18
24-15
18-17
28-24
19-24
27-22
15-17
18-13
14-20
19-24
19-24
14-17
15-18
20-23
22-31
19-25
12-29
20-21
18-19
21-28
17-18
13-35
19-15
21-19
23-24
23-20
19-26
24-26
164.8Avg total
77.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.793.3170.0-16.70%
Season at home (2)79.591.5171.0-12.00%
Season away (1)71.097.0168.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.487.4164.8-10.020%
Last 5 (5)74.492.4166.8-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.385.8161.1-10.520%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.083.5167.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (4)87.278.8166.0+8.5100%
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
ShumenAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#7
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A18/03
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A01/04
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A05/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H19/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H24/04
NBL
Levski
#6
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H26/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/10
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A21/10
NBL
87.6Avg total
42.1Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.444.784.1-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.342.779.9-5.433%-
Last 30 away (15)41.546.888.3-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.587.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.082.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)39.545.184.6-5.632%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)39.040.079.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (1)36.039.075.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/04
NBL
Levski
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A19/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H22/04
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#3
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H26/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/05
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A08/05
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/10
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H14/10
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/10
NBL
82.5Avg total
39.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.780.1-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.240.680.8-0.447%-
Last 30 away (13)36.143.279.2-7.115%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.082.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.481.6-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.141.179.2-3.030%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.244.083.2-4.833%-
vs Weaker (4)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.7
49.6%
54.3%43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.3
29.3%
31.3%22.0
🏀 Free throws21.315.0
70.3%
71.1%15.0
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.3
59.3%
54.3%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.36.0
25.7%
31.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.315.3
79.3%
71.1%15.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WLLLLLLWLW
Academic Plovdiv
LLLLLWWLLL
#6
League position
#8
-5.8
Net rating
-21.0
99.1
Offensive rating
99.7
104.8
Defensive rating
120.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
51.1%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
63.9%
21.2%
Turnover %
26.0%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.3%
3-point %
25.7%
47.1%
Assist %
52.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 99.7Defence104.8 · 120.7Shooting47.6% · 51.1%3-point %29.3% · 25.7%Ball care21.2% · 26.0%Off. rebounds32.8% · 36.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Shumen   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Shumen wins
6
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23Academic Plovdiv v Shumen79-72
18/01/23Shumen v Academic Plovdiv72-78
03/11/22Academic Plovdiv v Shumen91-66
19/03/22Academic Plovdiv v Shumen79-66
09/01/22Academic Plovdiv v Shumen83-78
13/11/21Shumen v Academic Plovdiv66-83
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23ARilski Sportist86-75
14/10/23HBeroe76-92
07/10/23ABalkan83-88
26/04/23HLevski62-86
24/04/23HRilski Sportist71-99
19/04/23HBalkan89-105
08/04/23ASpartak Pleven81-104
05/04/23AYambol83-80
01/04/23AAcademic Plovdiv72-79
18/03/23ABeroe103-98
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HYambol89-96
14/10/23HCSKA Sofia70-87
08/10/23ASpartak Pleven71-97
08/05/23ARilski Sportist76-97
05/05/23HRilski Sportist66-85
02/05/23ARilski Sportist79-76
26/04/23HCSKA Sofia99-74
22/04/23HBalkan67-74
19/04/23ALevski88-96
14/04/23ASpartak Pleven69-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game81.776.084.5
Allowed / game85.092.081.5
Point differential-3.3-16.0+3.0
Avg total166.7168.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.779.571.0
Allowed / game93.391.597.0
Point differential-16.7-12.0-26.0
Avg total170.0171.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets440100%84.870.0+14.8
2 Levski330100%83.068.7+14.3
3 Spartak Pleven32167%88.068.7+19.3
4 CSKA Sofia32167%81.772.3+9.3
5 Balkan32167%79.377.3+2.0
6 Yambol32167%82.383.3-1.0
7 Rilski Sportist31233%78.369.7+8.7
8 Beroe31233%80.782.7-2.0
9 Shumen31233%81.785.0-3.3
10 Minyor41325%64.291.5-27.2
11 Cherno More3030%75.789.7-14.0
12 Academic Plovdiv3030%76.793.3-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen1722182178
Academic Plovdiv2022241480
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