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Shumen vs Academic Plovdiv Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-76
23-21 17-22 20-15 14-18
Position#9
Record1-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game94.8
Shumen
Bulgaria
vs
Academic Plovdiv 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.9
BulgariaNBLRound 15· Arena Shumen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shumen v Academic Plovdiv
17 Jan 2026
SHUM78
ACAD90
18 Jan 2025
SHUM74
ACAD76
10 Apr 2024
SHUM88
ACAD80
27 Oct 2023
SHUM78
ACAD80
18 Jan 2023
SHUM72
ACAD78
13 Nov 2021
SHUM66
ACAD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Academic Plovdiv winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
69avg 75
A25/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
67-68
67
68
-1
61avg 75
H02/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
65avg 75
A11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
73-103
73
103
-30
55avg 75
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
93-97
93
97
-4
84avg 75
A07/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
76-101
76
101
-25
64avg 75
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 75
H21/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 75
A28/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
108-118 OT
108
118
-10
99avg 75
H04/01
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
63avg 75
A11/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
18-25
19-24
25-25
16-18
13-23
19-15
19-12
24-18
15-29
20-25
18-19
14-25
17-28
19-22
23-28
20-23
28-28
20-21
25-25
22-27
18-21
21-21
15-32
23-23
21-17
17-19
18-19
27-27
30-15
23-29
18-34
25-28
26-24
22-27
29-23
22-25
18-29
21-28
15-21
178.1Avg total
82.8Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.494.8178.2-11.48%
Season at home (6)82.091.7173.7-9.717%
Season away (7)84.697.4182.0-12.90%
Last 10 (10)82.895.3178.1-12.510%
Last 5 (5)87.4101.0188.4-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.796.1176.7-15.40%
vs Similar (7)85.380.0165.3+5.371%
vs Weaker (8)94.680.9175.5+13.862%
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
64avg 80
H18/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
83-104
83
104
-21
79avg 80
A27/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 80
H11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
44avg 80
A16/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
W
82-80
82
80
+2
76avg 80
H01/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
107-83
107
83
+24
105avg 80
H08/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
90-75
90
75
+15
91avg 80
A16/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
78avg 80
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
90-91
90
91
-1
84avg 80
A30/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 80
H06/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
16-5
20-17
13-19
20-23
22-31
27-25
14-25
18-24
29-15
25-20
19-18
15-22
17-24
18-16
6-25
22-21
16-20
19-25
25-14
30-17
33-25
28-19
16-22
22-20
23-23
16-13
29-19
24-19
14-17
20-17
21-24
31-17
13-17
19-28
27-29
25-27
17-24
23-31
26-19
167.5Avg total
83.6Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.883.9166.7-1.258%
Season at home (7)85.980.7166.6+5.186%
Season away (5)78.488.4166.8-10.020%
Last 10 (10)83.683.9167.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)91.485.4176.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.088.4166.4-10.422%
vs Similar (13)81.281.0162.2+0.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)99.683.9183.4+15.7100%
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
ShumenAcademic Plovdiv
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H02/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#5
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
31-53
31
53
-22
H29/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A07/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H21/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A28/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H04/01
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A11/01
NBL
88.4Avg total
41.6Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.587.4+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.641.984.5+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)45.144.990.0+0.156%-
Last 10 (10)41.646.888.4-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.293.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.547.187.6-6.527%-
vs Similar (7)45.039.984.9+5.186%-
vs Weaker (8)49.440.089.4+9.488%-
This opponent (Academic Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Academic PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H18/10
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A27/10
NBL
Shumen
#9
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H11/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/11
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/12
NBL
Minyor
#7
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H08/12
NBL
Levski
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A16/12
NBL
Beroe
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H23/12
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A30/12
NBL
Balkan
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H06/01
NBL
83.9Avg total
42.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.285.8+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.140.887.9+6.380%-
Last 30 away (15)40.143.683.7-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.483.9+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.287.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.944.183.0-5.222%-
vs Similar (13)42.240.282.5+2.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)53.943.197.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Shumen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.021.3
46.3%
53.9%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.8
31.2%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.015.7
74.8%
71.3%15.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Academic Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Academic Plovdiv: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.9 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.7
57.4%
53.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.414.5
67.8%
71.3%14.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
LLLWLLLLLL
Academic Plovdiv
LLWWWWLWLW
#9
League position
#5
-16.0
Net rating
-0.1
101.9
Offensive rating
111.0
117.8
Defensive rating
111.2
46.5%
Effective FG%
54.9%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.2%
3-point %
34.0%
57.7%
Assist %
69.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 111.0Defence117.8 · 111.2Shooting46.5% · 54.9%3-point %31.2% · 34.0%Ball care16.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Shumen   ■ Academic Plovdiv
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Shumen wins
9
Academic Plovdiv wins
DateGameScore
11/11/24Academic Plovdiv v Shumen91-77
10/04/24Shumen v Academic Plovdiv88-80
06/03/24Academic Plovdiv v Shumen89-85
06/01/24Academic Plovdiv v Shumen84-76
27/10/23Shumen v Academic Plovdiv78-80
01/04/23Academic Plovdiv v Shumen79-72
18/01/23Shumen v Academic Plovdiv72-78
03/11/22Academic Plovdiv v Shumen91-66
19/03/22Academic Plovdiv v Shumen79-66
09/01/22Academic Plovdiv v Shumen83-78
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25ABalkan76-103
04/01/25HCherno More108-118 OT
28/12/24ABeroe98-105
21/12/24HLevski79-78
14/12/24AMinyor76-101
07/12/24ASpartak Pleven93-97
29/11/24HRilski Sportist73-103
11/11/24AAcademic Plovdiv77-91
02/11/24HBalkan67-68
25/10/24ACherno More81-89
Academic Plovdivlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/25HBalkan91-101
30/12/24ACherno More90-91
23/12/24HBeroe79-77
16/12/24ALevski90-75
08/12/24HMinyor107-83
01/12/24HSpartak Pleven82-80
16/11/24ARilski Sportist56-87
11/11/24HShumen91-77
27/10/24ABalkan83-104
18/10/24HCherno More67-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL8%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game83.482.084.6
Allowed / game94.891.797.4
Point differential-11.4-9.7-12.9
Avg total178.2173.7182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Academic Plovdiv
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%86%20%
Points / game82.885.978.4
Allowed / game83.980.788.4
Point differential-1.2+5.1-10.0
Avg total166.7166.6166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rilski Sportist1311285%90.072.6+17.4
2 Balkan1210283%90.180.8+9.3
3 Academic Plovdiv127558%82.883.9-1.2
4 Beroe137654%84.888.7-3.9
5 Spartak Pleven126650%85.984.7+1.2
6 Cherno More126650%84.683.8+0.8
7 Minyor126650%84.284.9-0.8
8 Levski1321115%74.885.6-10.8
9 Shumen131128%83.494.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shumen2317201474
Academic Plovdiv2122151876
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