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Shumen vs Spartak Pleven Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 80-89
Projected total 169.1
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game90.2
Vs
21%
79%
■ SHUM 21%■ SPAR 79%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#8
Record3-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game76.8
BulgariaNBLRound 6· Arena Shumen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shumen v Spartak Pleven
15 Nov 2026
SHUM v SPAR
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
SHUM84
SPAR64
19 Nov 2025
SHUM88
SPAR90
26 Apr 2025
SHUM88
SPAR105
09 Feb 2025
SHUM93
SPAR89
25 Nov 2023
SHUM95
SPAR101
26 Nov 2022
SHUM86
SPAR79
04 Dec 2021
SHUM71
SPAR84
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Shumen will host Spartak Pleven on 15 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names Spartak Pleven the favourite, assigning it a 79% chance of victory, a figure that reflects their 3-2 record and 82.4 points per game compared with Shumen's 4-1 record and 94.0 points per game. Shumen has been strong at home, going 2-0 with 92.0 points per game and 77.0 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 95-89 win over CSKA Sofia away on 7 November and a 97-70 home win over Yambol on 4 November. Spartak Pleven, meanwhile, has gone 2-0 on the road, scoring 91.0 points per game and allowing 72.5, and they have also won four of their last five games, most recently beating Tal Tech 76-72 away on 11 November. In their ten previous meetings Spartak Pleven has won eight, the most recent being a 102-55 victory on 9 April 2026. The Pythia projection is a 80-89 score, with a total of 169.1 points; the home team line is 9.0 and the model gives a 49% chance that Shumen will cover, while the over/under line is 170.0 with a 47% probability of the over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shumen win
20.8%fair 4.81
Best odds4.20
Implied25.5%
Edge-4.7pp
Spartak Pleven win
79.2%fair 1.26
Best odds1.24
Implied74.5%
Edge+4.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShumenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShumen
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
L
74-81
74
81
-7
64avg 72
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
55-102
55
102
-47
34avg 72
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-84
65
84
-19
58avg 72
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
96-113
96
113
-17
87avg 72
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
78avg 72
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
101-123
101
123
-22
77avg 72
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 72
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 72
A24/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H04/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
27-18
11-22
20-22
16-25
12-19
18-34
9-24
19-15
20-19
14-22
12-28
19-31
28-24
27-27
22-31
26-17
18-13
10-39
33-35
18-36
28-23
28-33
27-31
27-15
17-23
21-25
22-21
24-15
22-28
26-26
18-16
25-12
26-20
28-19
18-19
23-21
26-25
26-20
20-23
178.2Avg total
84.7Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.090.2184.2+3.880%
Season at home (2)92.077.0169.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)95.399.0194.3-3.767%
Last 10 (10)84.793.5178.2-8.840%
Last 5 (5)94.090.2184.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)82.395.4177.7-13.29%
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.082.0159.0-5.033%
vs Weaker (4)92.282.0174.2+10.2100%
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPleven
Date
Competition
Fyllingen
#16
W
79-54
79
54
+25
76avg 75
A30/09
ENBL
AEL
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
44avg 75
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
70avg 75
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#13
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 75
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
102-71
102
71
+31
104avg 75
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 75
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
86-70
86
70
+16
58avg 75
H25/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
68avg 75
A31/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Tal Tech
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
A11/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
27-16
23-13
11-12
9-22
15-19
21-18
16-20
15-21
19-23
18-29
21-19
22-20
32-26
16-16
23-20
28-21
25-16
25-21
24-13
25-19
15-16
21-20
16-19
26-22
16-20
22-15
22-13
16-20
24-20
16-17
24-17
19-22
25-12
12-22
15-21
14-17
20-11
16-16
26-28
154.3Avg total
79.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.476.8159.2+5.660%
Season at home (3)76.779.7156.3-3.033%
Season away (2)91.072.5163.5+18.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.874.5154.3+5.370%
Last 5 (5)78.073.4151.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.683.5162.1-4.938%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.085.0159.0-11.00%
vs Weaker (12)86.073.2159.2+12.883%
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
59.5%
Under 165
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.25 · main line
Over 170.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 170.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 175
Over 175
35.1%
Under 175
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Shumen total 76.5
Over 76.5
62.6%
@ 1.40-0.0pp
Under 76.5
37.4%
@ 2.34+0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.34
Shumen total 80.5 · main line
Over 80.5
47.1%
@ 1.88-2.5pp
Under 80.5
52.9%
@ 1.85+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
Betano
1.80
Shumen total 84.5
Over 84.5
32.3%
@ 2.43-3.7pp
Under 84.5
67.7%
@ 1.37+3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.43
Under
1xBet
1.37
Spartak Pleven total 86.5
Over 86.5
60.5%
@ 1.52-0.3pp
Under 86.5
39.5%
@ 2.40+0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
1xBet
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.20
Spartak Pleven total 90.5 · main line
Over 90.5
44.7%
@ 1.91-3.0pp
Under 90.5
55.3%
@ 1.85+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.74
1xBet
1.63
Spartak Pleven total 94.5
Over 94.5
29.7%
@ 2.65-5.3pp
Under 94.5
70.3%
@ 1.43+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Under
Bet365
1.43

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Shumen +6
SHUM +6
37.6%
SPAR -6
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
SHUM
No market prices yet.
SPAR
No market prices yet.
Spread Shumen +9 · main line
SHUM +9
49.1%
@ 1.87-0.2pp
SPAR -9
50.9%
@ 1.81+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
SHUM
SBO
1.87
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathon Be
1.85
SPAR
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.80
Spread Shumen +12
SHUM +12
60.3%
@ 1.56-0.2pp
SPAR -12
39.7%
@ 2.30+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
SHUM
Marathon Be
1.56
Pinnacle
1.50
SPAR
Pinnacle
2.30

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +1.6+1.6
ShumenSpartak Pleven
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShumenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Levski
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A04/04
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/04
NBL
Minyor
#7
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A20/04
NBL
Cherno More
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A10/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/10
NBL
Levski
#12
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A24/10
NBL
Yambol
#13
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H04/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A07/11
NBL
85.5Avg total
43.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)41.344.886.1-3.637%57%
Last 30 at home (17)42.243.585.7-1.441%59%
Last 30 away (13)40.146.586.6-6.531%54%
Last 10 (10)43.741.885.5+1.970%40%
Last 5 (5)47.243.690.8+3.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.146.686.7-6.522%65%
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.038.080.0+4.067%0%
vs Weaker (4)47.539.887.2+7.8100%50%
This opponent (Spartak Pleven) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spartak PlevenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fyllingen
#16
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A30/09
ENBL
AEL
#4
L
24-41
24
41
-17
H06/10
ENBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H11/10
NBL
Alkar
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H14/10
ENBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A17/10
NBL
Zrinjski Mostar
#17
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H21/10
ENBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H25/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A31/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H07/11
NBL
Tal Tech
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/11
ENBL
78.6Avg total
41.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)41.039.380.3+1.653%27%
Last 30 at home (14)42.538.380.8+4.264%29%
Last 30 away (16)39.640.279.9-0.644%25%
Last 10 (10)41.037.678.6+3.460%20%
Last 5 (5)40.035.875.8+4.260%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.441.882.2-1.431%25%
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.540.077.5-2.550%0%
vs Weaker (12)42.335.978.2+6.483%33%
This opponent (Shumen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
SHUM win
no forecast
@ 2.95
SPAR win
no forecast
@ 1.38
1st half Spread Shumen +4.5 · main line
SHUM +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
SPAR -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Shumen 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
Spartak Pleven 1st half total 44.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half: SHUM + total 84.5
SHUM & over
no forecast
@ 5.50
SHUM & under
no forecast
@ 5.50
1st half: Draw + total 84.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 31.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: SPAR + total 84.5
SPAR & over
no forecast
@ 2.75
SPAR & under
no forecast
@ 2.75
1st half Over/Under 83.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Spread Shumen +3.5
SHUM +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
SPAR -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Shumen +5.5
SHUM +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
SPAR -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half Over/Under 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Shumen +2.5
SHUM +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
SPAR -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.58
1st half Spread Shumen +6.5
SHUM +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
SPAR -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.45
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
SHUM
no forecast
@ 3.08
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
SPAR
no forecast
@ 1.41

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
SHUM win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
SPAR win + total 170.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SHUM leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: SPAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (SHUM:SPAR): SHUM wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Spartak Pleven under 98.582.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23
----+7.1pp
Shumen under 87.577.1%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+5.2pp
Spartak Pleven win79.2%1.22
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
WilliamHill
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
+4.7pp
Spartak Pleven (regulation)77.0%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.23
---+4.6pp
Under 180.575.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30
----+4.5pp
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■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 39 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shumentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shumen: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.4
52.8%
55.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.6
27.7%
29.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.717.0
68.8%
71.2%17.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spartak Pleventheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spartak Pleven: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.721.6
57.3%
55.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.5
32.1%
29.8%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.014.7
73.5%
71.2%14.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shumen
WWWWLLLLLL
Spartak Pleven
WLWWWWWLLW
#6
League position
#8
-16.5
Net rating
+5.2
88.3
Offensive rating
96.7
104.8
Defensive rating
91.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
57.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.7%
3-point %
32.1%
54.6%
Assist %
60.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.3 · 96.7Defence104.8 · 91.6Shooting48.7% · 53.8%3-point %27.7% · 32.1%Ball care17.0% · 13.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Shumen   ■ Spartak Pleven
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Shumen wins
8
Spartak Pleven wins
Shumenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ACSKA Sofia95-89
04/11/26HYambol97-70
24/10/26ALevski90-85
16/10/26HBotev 201287-84
10/10/26AMinyor101-123
25/04/26HCherno More87-104
20/04/26AMinyor96-113
16/04/26HBalkan65-84
09/04/26ASpartak Pleven55-102
04/04/26ALevski74-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ATal Tech76-72
07/11/26HBalkan71-77
31/10/26ACherno More80-74
25/10/26HRilski Sportist86-70
21/10/26HZrinjski Mostar77-74
17/10/26APolytechnica102-71
14/10/26HAlkar93-82
11/10/26HLok. Plovdiv73-92
06/10/26HAEL61-79
30/09/26AFyllingen79-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shumen
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game94.092.095.3
Allowed / game90.277.099.0
Point differential+3.8+15.0-3.7
Avg total184.2169.0194.3
Over 170.2580%50%100%
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spartak Pleven
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game82.476.791.0
Allowed / game76.879.772.5
Point differential+5.6-3.0+18.5
Avg total159.2156.3163.5
Over 170.2520%0%50%
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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