Shumen will host Spartak Pleven on 15 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names Spartak Pleven the favourite, assigning it a 79% chance of victory, a figure that reflects their 3-2 record and 82.4 points per game compared with Shumen's 4-1 record and 94.0 points per game. Shumen has been strong at home, going 2-0 with 92.0 points per game and 77.0 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 95-89 win over CSKA Sofia away on 7 November and a 97-70 home win over Yambol on 4 November. Spartak Pleven, meanwhile, has gone 2-0 on the road, scoring 91.0 points per game and allowing 72.5, and they have also won four of their last five games, most recently beating Tal Tech 76-72 away on 11 November. In their ten previous meetings Spartak Pleven has won eight, the most recent being a 102-55 victory on 9 April 2026. The Pythia projection is a 80-89 score, with a total of 169.1 points; the home team line is 9.0 and the model gives a 49% chance that Shumen will cover, while the over/under line is 170.0 with a 47% probability of the over, and there is a 4% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 94.0 | 90.2 | 184.2 | +3.8 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 92.0 | 77.0 | 169.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 95.3 | 99.0 | 194.3 | -3.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 93.5 | 178.2 | -8.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 94.0 | 90.2 | 184.2 | +3.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 82.3 | 95.4 | 177.7 | -13.2 | 9% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 77.0 | 82.0 | 159.0 | -5.0 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 92.2 | 82.0 | 174.2 | +10.2 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 82.4 | 76.8 | 159.2 | +5.6 | 60% |
| Season at home (3) | 76.7 | 79.7 | 156.3 | -3.0 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 91.0 | 72.5 | 163.5 | +18.5 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.8 | 74.5 | 154.3 | +5.3 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.0 | 73.4 | 151.4 | +4.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 78.6 | 83.5 | 162.1 | -4.9 | 38% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 74.0 | 85.0 | 159.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 86.0 | 73.2 | 159.2 | +12.8 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.3 | 44.8 | 86.1 | -3.6 | 37% | 57% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 42.2 | 43.5 | 85.7 | -1.4 | 41% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 40.1 | 46.5 | 86.6 | -6.5 | 31% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.7 | 41.8 | 85.5 | +1.9 | 70% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 47.2 | 43.6 | 90.8 | +3.6 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (23) | 40.1 | 46.6 | 86.7 | -6.5 | 22% | 65% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 42.0 | 38.0 | 80.0 | +4.0 | 67% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (4) | 47.5 | 39.8 | 87.2 | +7.8 | 100% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 84.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 39.3 | 80.3 | +1.6 | 53% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 42.5 | 38.3 | 80.8 | +4.2 | 64% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 39.6 | 40.2 | 79.9 | -0.6 | 44% | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.0 | 37.6 | 78.6 | +3.4 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.0 | 35.8 | 75.8 | +4.2 | 60% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 40.4 | 41.8 | 82.2 | -1.4 | 31% | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (2) | 37.5 | 40.0 | 77.5 | -2.5 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 42.3 | 35.9 | 78.2 | +6.4 | 83% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Pleven under 98.5 | 82.4% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +7.1pp |
| Shumen under 87.5 | 77.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp |
| Spartak Pleven win | 79.2% | 1.22 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | +4.7pp |
| Spartak Pleven (regulation) | 77.0% | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +4.6pp |
| Under 180.5 | 75.9% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.5 | 21.4 | 55.5% | 42.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.8 | 6.6 | 29.8% | 19.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.7 | 17.0 | 71.2% | 17.0 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.7 | 21.6 | 55.5% | 43.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.4 | 7.5 | 29.8% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 14.7 | 71.2% | 14.7 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 | Spartak Pleven v Shumen | 102-55 |
| 30/01/26 | Shumen v Spartak Pleven | 84-64 |
| 19/11/25 | Shumen v Spartak Pleven | 88-90 |
| 26/04/25 | Shumen v Spartak Pleven | 88-105 |
| 09/02/25 | Shumen v Spartak Pleven | 93-89 |
| 07/12/24 | Spartak Pleven v Shumen | 97-93 |
| 27/01/24 | Spartak Pleven v Shumen | 89-86 |
| 25/11/23 | Shumen v Spartak Pleven | 95-101 OT |
| 08/04/23 | Spartak Pleven v Shumen | 104-81 |
| 30/01/23 | Spartak Pleven v Shumen | 81-67 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | CSKA Sofia | 95-89 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Yambol | 97-70 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Levski | 90-85 |
| 16/10/26 | H | Botev 2012 | 87-84 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Minyor | 101-123 |
| 25/04/26 | H | Cherno More | 87-104 |
| 20/04/26 | A | Minyor | 96-113 |
| 16/04/26 | H | Balkan | 65-84 |
| 09/04/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 55-102 |
| 04/04/26 | A | Levski | 74-81 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Tal Tech | 76-72 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Balkan | 71-77 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Cherno More | 80-74 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Rilski Sportist | 86-70 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Zrinjski Mostar | 77-74 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Polytechnica | 102-71 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Alkar | 93-82 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Lok. Plovdiv | 73-92 |
| 06/10/26 | H | AEL | 61-79 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Fyllingen | 79-54 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 80% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Points / game | 94.0 | 92.0 | 95.3 |
| Allowed / game | 90.2 | 77.0 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | +3.8 | +15.0 | -3.7 |
| Avg total | 184.2 | 169.0 | 194.3 |
| Over 170.25 | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 60% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 60% | 33% | 100% |
| Points / game | 82.4 | 76.7 | 91.0 |
| Allowed / game | 76.8 | 79.7 | 72.5 |
| Point differential | +5.6 | -3.0 | +18.5 |
| Avg total | 159.2 | 156.3 | 163.5 |
| Over 170.25 | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 89.4 | 71.6 | +17.8 | |
| 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 106.7 | 90.8 | +15.8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 90.8 | 74.3 | +16.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.2 | 78.0 | +10.2 | |
| 5 | Botev Academic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 91.0 | 82.6 | +8.4 |
| 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 94.0 | 90.2 | +3.8 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 83.8 | 71.7 | +12.2 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 82.4 | 76.8 | +5.6 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 79.8 | 90.2 | -10.3 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 78.4 | 98.6 | -20.2 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 90.7 | 87.8 | +2.8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 79.2 | 92.7 | -13.5 | |
| 13 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 74.0 | 94.2 | -20.2 | |
| 14 | Polytechnica | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 70.0 | 94.7 | -24.7 |
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