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Siena vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-77
41-32 44-45
Position#78
Record12-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.1
Siena 🏆
USA
vs
Position#105
Record11-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game73.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Siena v Fairfield
13 Jan 2027
SIE v FAIR
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
SIE76
FAIR61
19 Jan 2026
SIE85
FAIR77
06 Mar 2025
SIE68
FAIR64
05 Jan 2024
SIE69
FAIR93
22 Jan 2023
SIE52
FAIR62
09 Jan 2022
SIE69
FAIR62
07 Feb 2020
SIE65
FAIR49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#351
W
83-54
83
54
+29
H06/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H07/12
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A22/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A11/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H15/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-21
37-33
41-23
33-29
27-41
42-42
20-46
40-35
36-41
36-34
40-31
34-34
22-38
37-25
29-25
38-25
38-42
42-44
42-25
32-34
138.0Avg total
71.2Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.065.1135.1+4.963%
Season at home (7)74.365.1139.4+9.157%
Season away (12)67.565.1132.6+2.467%
Last 10 (10)71.266.8138.0+4.450%
Last 5 (5)70.864.6135.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)71.271.1142.3+0.140%
vs Weaker (15)73.164.4137.5+8.773%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A07/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H14/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
84-70
84
70
+14
A19/12
NCAA
CCNY
#691
W
121-58
121
58
+63
H23/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A02/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A04/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
98-62
98
62
+36
H15/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-39
33-35
32-35
41-30
47-26
37-44
61-34
60-24
35-31
31-39
37-39
44-46
41-31
42-44
34-22
34-40
47-23
51-39
29-43
38-39
150.7Avg total
80.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.673.4151.0+4.358%
Season at home (9)81.471.6153.0+9.978%
Season away (10)74.275.0149.2-0.840%
Last 10 (10)80.470.3150.7+10.160%
Last 5 (5)79.473.2152.6+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.473.4137.9-9.022%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.474.3146.7-1.950%
vs Weaker (11)80.869.3150.1+11.573%
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +3.1+3.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +0.8+0.81st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +3.1+3.1
SienaFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#351
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H06/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H07/12
NCAA
Vermont
#85
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
20-46
20
46
-26
A22/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A04/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H10/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A17/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
34.1Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.131.465.5+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.830.567.3+6.262%-
Last 30 away (17)32.132.164.2-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)34.133.367.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.266.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.533.264.7-1.733%-
vs Weaker (15)36.729.766.4+7.173%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/12
NCAA
CCNY
#691
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H23/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A04/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H15/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A17/01
NCAA
71.6Avg total
39.3Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.933.968.8+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.132.969.0+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)33.934.868.6-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.332.371.6+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.669.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.335.865.1-6.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.234.470.6+1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)38.431.870.2+6.564%-
This opponent (Siena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Siena wins
3
Fairfield wins
DateGameScore
07/03/25Siena v Fairfield68-64
25/02/24Fairfield v Siena88-64
06/01/24Siena v Fairfield69-93
22/01/23Siena v Fairfield52-62
01/01/23Fairfield v Siena61-70
06/02/22Fairfield v Siena56-62
09/01/22Siena v Fairfield69-62
10/01/21Fairfield v Siena68-75
09/01/21Fairfield v Siena58-74
23/02/20Fairfield v Siena59-62
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AManhattan74-59
15/01/26HSacred Heart80-86
11/01/26AMount St. Mary's67-50
10/01/26HMerrimack Warriors59-63
04/01/26ARider74-65
03/01/26AIona72-75
22/12/25AIndiana60-81
18/12/25AVermont69-83
07/12/25HCanisius74-52
06/12/25HNiagara83-54
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AMarist67-82
15/01/26HManhattan98-62
10/01/26HRider68-62
04/01/26ANiagara83-75
02/01/26ACanisius81-85
30/12/25HSt. Peters66-70
23/12/25HCCNY121-58
19/12/25ACentral Connecticut State84-70
14/12/25HMonmouth73-65
07/12/25AMerrimack Warriors63-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW63%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %63%57%67%
Points / game70.074.367.5
Allowed / game65.165.165.1
Point differential+4.9+9.1+2.4
Avg total135.1139.4132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%57%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWLWW78%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%78%40%
Points / game77.681.474.2
Allowed / game73.471.675.0
Point differential+4.3+9.9-0.8
Avg total151.0153.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%22%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)75% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1712571%72.962.0+10.9
2 Siena1912763%70.065.1+4.9
3 Quinnipiac1912763%76.772.6+4.2
4 Iona1912763%75.374.4+0.9
5 St. Peters1610662%71.967.8+4.1
6 Fairfield1911858%77.673.4+4.3
7 Merrimack Warriors1911858%67.370.8-3.5
8 Canisius1981142%62.570.9-8.4
9 Manhattan2081240%75.081.0-6.0
10 Mount St. Mary's1971237%67.873.8-5.9
11 Sacred Heart1961332%74.576.9-2.4
12 Niagara1751229%63.273.4-10.2
13 Rider1721512%61.374.1-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Siena414485
Fairfield324577
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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