Siroki Brijeg will host Radnicki Gorazde on 16 November 2026 in the Prvenstvo BiH, and the Pythia model names Siroki Brijeg the clear favourite, rating them 97% to win, a figure that reflects their 4-1 record, 85.2 points per game and 72.4 allowed, plus a league position of 1; Radnicki Gorazde sit 13th with a 1-5 record, 81.8 points per game and 87.3 allowed, and have lost all three road games. Siroki Brijeg are unbeaten at home, 3-0, scoring 80.0 and allowing 61.7, while Radnicki Gorazde have struggled on the road, 0-3, with 81.7 points and 92.3 allowed. In the last five games Siroki Brijeg won three and lost two, including a 100-79 win over KK Krka Novo mesto away, a 93-102 loss to Cibona at home and a 82-100 loss to Crvena zvezda away; Radnicki Gorazde won once, beating Gradina Tesanj 87-82 at home, and lost four, including 75-79 to Slavija away, 86-99 to Igman away and 93-102 to Cibona at home. Their head-to-head record is 4-0 in favour of Siroki Brijeg, the last meeting ending 94-71 for Siroki Brijeg on 23 January 2026. Pythia projects a 93-72 score, 165.2 total points, a 10.5-point spread with an 84% chance of covering, and a 52% chance of the over on the 164.5 line, with a 1% overtime probability. The game will hinge on Siroki Brijeg's defensive dominance, which has already forced Radnicki Gorazde to a 87.3 points allowed average this season.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Siroki Brijeg win
96.6%fair 1.04
Best odds1.22
Implied77.6%
Edge+18.9pp
Radnicki Gorazde win
3.4%fair 29.31
Best odds3.89
Implied22.4%
Edge-18.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 06:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 159.5
Over 159.5
63.7%
Under 159.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164.5 · main line
Over 164.5
51.6%
@ 1.82+1.6pp
Under 164.5
48.4%
@ 1.82-1.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Under
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Over/Under 169.5
Over 169.5
39.3%
Under 169.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
📊 3. Team Totals
Siroki Brijeg total 83.5
Over 83.5
84.3%
@ 1.40+21.8pp
Under 83.5
15.7%
@ 2.33-21.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.33
Siroki Brijeg total 87.5 · main line
Over 87.5
72.6%
@ 1.83+23.3pp
Under 87.5
27.4%
@ 1.80-23.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.69
Siroki Brijeg total 91.5
Over 91.5
57.7%
@ 2.45+22.0pp
Under 91.5
42.3%
@ 1.36-22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.45
Under
1xBet
1.36
Radnicki Gorazde total 73
Over 73
44.5%
Under 73
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnicki Gorazde total 77 · main line
Over 77
29.0%
@ 1.72-21.1pp
Under 77
71.0%
@ 1.73+21.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Under
1xBet
1.73
Radnicki Gorazde total 81
Over 81
16.8%
Under 81
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Siroki Brijeg -13.5
SBR -13.5
76.4%
@ 2.33+38.4pp
RADN +13.5
23.6%
@ 1.43-38.4pp
Best 5 market prices
SBR
1xBet
2.33
RADN
1xBet
1.43
Spread Siroki Brijeg -10.5 · main line
SBR -10.5
83.6%
@ 1.87+34.9pp
RADN +10.5
16.4%
@ 1.78-34.9pp
Best 5 market prices
SBR
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.84
RADN
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Spread Siroki Brijeg -7.5
SBR -7.5
89.2%
@ 1.50+30.2pp
RADN +7.5
10.8%
@ 2.16-30.2pp
Best 5 market prices
SBR
1xBet
1.50
RADN
1xBet
2.16
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Siroki BrijegRadnicki Gorazde
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Siroki BrijegLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
16-19
16
19
-3
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#8
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
FMP Beograd
#17
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A17/10
ABA League
Leotar Trebinje
#5
W
18-14
18
14
+4
H19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slovan Bratislava
#9
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H22/10
ABA League
Drina
#10
W
24-13
24
13
+11
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#14
L
15-16
15
16
-1
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A01/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H09/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
23-12
23
12
+11
A13/11
ABA League
41.4Avg total
21.3Scored
20.1Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)
20.7
20.2
40.9
+0.6
57%
57%
Last 30 at home (14)
20.6
21.7
42.3
-1.1
50%
71%
Last 30 away (16)
20.9
18.8
39.7
+2.1
62%
44%
Last 10 (10)
21.3
20.1
41.4
+1.2
50%
50%
Last 5 (5)
20.6
19.6
40.2
+1.0
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)
17.0
23.5
40.5
-6.5
0%
50%
vs Similar (7)
21.9
25.9
47.7
-4.0
43%
86%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)
20.7
18.0
38.7
+2.8
67%
48%
This opponent (Radnicki Gorazde) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siroki Brijegtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Siroki Brijeg: 75.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
36.0
18.1
50.3%
53.9%
36.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.4
8.7
33.0%
32.9%
26.1
🏀Free throws
19.1
13.6
71.2%
67.4%
13.6
Their opponents take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Their opponents take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Siroki Brijegtheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Siroki Brijeg: 78.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.4 points a game
51%
31%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.1
20.0
52.5%
53.9%
40.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.0
8.6
30.8%
32.9%
25.9
🏀Free throws
17.9
12.4
69.1%
67.4%
12.4
Their opponents take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Their opponents take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siroki Brijeg
WLLWWLWWLW
Radnicki Gorazde
LWLLLLWLWL
#1
League position
#13
+8.0
Net rating
-5.7
97.6
Offensive rating
90.9
89.6
Defensive rating
96.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.7%
3-point %
31.1%
66.2%
Assist %
50.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%
Profile
■ Siroki Brijeg■ Radnicki Gorazde
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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PythiaBasketballBETA
Prvenstvo BiHRound 7· Gradska sportska dvorana Pecara
Siroki Brijeg
Orlovik
Basket Zivinice
Sloboda
Leotar Trebinje
Zrinjski Mostar
Borac Banja Luka
Slavija
Promo
Mrkonjic Grad