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Siroki Brijeg vs Sloboda Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 83-78
Projected total 161.3
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game72.4
Vs
68%
32%
■ SBR 68%■ SLOB 32%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.8/10
Above normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.0
Bosnia-and-HerzegovinaPrvenstvo BiHRound 6· Gradska sportska dvorana Pecara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Siroki Brijeg v Sloboda
07 Nov 2026
SBR v SLOB
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
SBR74
SLOB71
13 Dec 2025
SBR92
SLOB89
26 Apr 2025
SBR86
SLOB68
17 Nov 2024
SBR75
SLOB85
01 May 2024
SBR78
SLOB72
07 Oct 2023
SBR87
SLOB101
30 Nov 2022
SBR77
SLOB64
11 May 2022
SBR81
SLOB78
22 Jan 2022
SBR83
SLOB84
02 Mar 2021
SBR95
SLOB85
31 Oct 2020
SBR88
SLOB85
24 Jan 2018
SBR83
SLOB64
22 Oct 2016
SBR73
SLOB65
11 Nov 2015
SBR76
SLOB57
14 Apr 2015
SBR86
SLOB82
10 Jan 2015
SBR87
SLOB74
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Siroki Brijeg host Sloboda on 7 November 2026 in the Prvenstvo BiH, with the model favouring the home side at 68% to 32% for the visitors, projecting a 83-78 win for Siroki Brijeg and a total of 161.3 points; the 5% chance of overtime is noted. Siroki Brijeg are 4-1 this season, averaging 85.2 points and conceding 72.4, and are first in the league, while their home record is perfect at 3-0 with 80.0 points and 61.7 allowed; their last five games included a loss to Crvena zvezda 82-100 away, a win over Mrkonjic Grad 90-71 away, and a 87-57 home victory over Drina. Sloboda are 3-2 this season, 88.4 points and 78.0 allowed, positioned fourth, and are unbeaten on the road at 2-0 with 93.0 points and 74.0 allowed; their last five games feature a 112-96 win over Podgorica, a 70-72 home loss to Slavija, and a 91-66 away win over Gradina Tesanj. Historically the teams have split ten meetings, with the most recent on 13 May 2026 seeing Sloboda defeat Siroki Brijeg 84-72. The projected score of 83-78 reflects the model's assessment that Siroki Brijeg's defensive edge will hold against Sloboda's offensive output.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siroki Brijeg win
68.5%fair 1.46
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sloboda win
31.5%fair 3.17
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siroki BrijegBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrijeg
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 83
A02/10
ABA League
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 83
H05/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
70-69
70
69
+1
63avg 83
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#7
L
96-106
96
106
-10
92avg 83
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
FMP Beograd
#14
W
78-66
78
66
+12
77avg 83
A17/10
ABA League
Leotar Trebinje
#3
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 83
H19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slovan Bratislava
#8
L
91-98
91
98
-7
86avg 83
H22/10
ABA League
Drina
#12
W
87-57
87
57
+30
91avg 83
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#13
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 83
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
82-100
82
100
-18
no box
A01/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
31-18
18-28
21-22
23-18
17-21
18-13
18-17
16-19
20-18
11-16
23-16
25-21
18-24
23-29
30-32
25-22
17-18
17-10
19-16
18-14
13-23
29-10
17-12
26-27
20-23
18-22
27-26
24-13
13-19
23-16
27-9
15-16
30-19
30-9
15-27
18-28
26-27
17-22
21-23
161.0Avg total
83.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.272.4157.6+12.880%
Season at home (3)80.061.7141.7+18.3100%
Season away (2)93.088.5181.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)83.477.6161.0+5.870%
Last 5 (5)85.477.0162.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.084.5160.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)87.985.6173.5+2.262%
vs Weaker (20)83.576.7160.2+6.875%
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaBosnia-and-HerzegovinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSloboda
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
W
63-57
63
57
+6
59avg 77
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
57avg 77
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
45-88
45
88
-43
31avg 77
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#9
L
81-84
81
84
-3
59avg 77
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#2
W
95-82
95
82
+13
90avg 77
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#8
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 77
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
106-61
106
61
+45
109avg 77
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
94avg 77
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#7
L
70-72
70
72
-2
60avg 77
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
W
112-96
112
96
+16
no box
A03/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
15-13
9-7
20-15
13-18
18-14
19-24
16-17
14-22
15-23
4-22
12-21
23-19
17-12
19-25
22-28
20-19
32-15
28-20
15-28
30-20
29-25
24-20
22-21
27-12
27-14
26-20
26-15
21-21
20-18
26-13
24-14
12-18
13-18
20-15
25-21
20-25
30-27
31-21
31-23
159.9Avg total
83.4Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.478.0166.4+10.460%
Season at home (3)85.380.7166.0+4.733%
Season away (2)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.476.5159.9+6.960%
Last 5 (5)96.876.2173.0+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.880.5159.2-1.825%
vs Weaker (17)88.677.2165.8+11.476%
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 153.5
Over 153.5
67.6%
Under 153.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
56.0%
Under 158.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.5
Over 163.5
44.0%
Under 163.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Siroki Brijeg total 77.5
Over 77.5
71.8%
Under 77.5
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg total 81.5
Over 81.5
57.3%
Under 81.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg total 85.5
Over 85.5
41.6%
Under 85.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 73
Over 73
68.6%
Under 73
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 77
Over 77
53.2%
Under 77
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloboda total 81
Over 81
37.4%
Under 81
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Siroki Brijeg -3
SBR -3
60.4%
SLOB +3
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
SBR
No market prices yet.
SLOB
No market prices yet.
Spread Siroki Brijeg 0
SBR 0
68.5%
SLOB 0
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
SBR
No market prices yet.
SLOB
No market prices yet.
Spread Siroki Brijeg +3
SBR +3
76.3%
SLOB -3
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
SBR
No market prices yet.
SLOB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.0+1.0
Siroki BrijegSloboda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Siroki BrijegLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A02/10
ABA League
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H05/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/10
ABA League
Slavija
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/10
Prvenstvo BiH
FMP Beograd
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
ABA League
Leotar Trebinje
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H19/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slovan Bratislava
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H22/10
ABA League
Drina
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H25/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Mrkonjic Grad
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A01/11
ABA League
81.3Avg total
41.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.981.7-0.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.540.481.9+1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.141.581.5-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.181.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.882.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.046.086.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.144.589.6+0.638%-
vs Weaker (20)39.139.078.2+0.140%-
This opponent (Sloboda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Banja Luka
#1
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H23/05
Prvenstvo BiH
KK Bosna
#2
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A25/05
Prvenstvo BiH
Orlovik
#9
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H03/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Basket Zivinice
#2
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Igman
#8
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/10
Prvenstvo BiH
TFT Skopje
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/10
ABA League 2
Gradina Tesanj
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A24/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Slavija
#7
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/10
Prvenstvo BiH
Podgorica
#15
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A03/11
ABA League 2
79.0Avg total
41.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.780.8+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.178.8+6.773%-
Last 30 away (15)41.541.382.8+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.579.0+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.685.4+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.436.875.2+1.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.138.278.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker (17)44.139.583.6+4.671%-
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Siroki Brijegtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Siroki Brijeg: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.524.8
62.8%
53.5%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.86.8
28.6%
32.6%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
67.8%13.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Slobodatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sloboda: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
51%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.4
56.7%
53.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
32.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.8
71.8%
67.8%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Siroki Brijeg
LWWLWWLWWW
Sloboda
WLWWWWLLLW
#1
League position
#4
+8.4
Net rating
+7.4
96.9
Offensive rating
95.1
88.5
Defensive rating
87.7
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.6%
3-point %
31.2%
65.8%
Assist %
52.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 95.1Defence88.5 · 87.7Shooting55.3% · 52.5%3-point %28.6% · 31.2%Ball care16.3% · 15.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Siroki Brijeg   ■ Sloboda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Siroki Brijeg wins
5
Sloboda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26ACrvena zvezda82-100
28/10/26AMrkonjic Grad90-71
25/10/26HDrina87-57
22/10/26HSlovan Bratislava91-98
19/10/26HLeotar Trebinje77-59
17/10/26AFMP Beograd78-66
12/10/26ASlavija96-106
10/10/26HCedevita Olimpija70-69
05/10/26HGradina Tesanj76-69
02/10/26ABorac Mozzart87-81
Slobodalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26APodgorica112-96
28/10/26HSlavija70-72
24/10/26AGradina Tesanj91-66
20/10/26HTFT Skopje106-61
16/10/26HIgman105-86
09/10/26ABasket Zivinice95-82
03/10/26HOrlovik81-84
25/05/26AKK Bosna45-88
23/05/26HKK Bosna66-73
20/05/26ABorac Banja Luka63-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siroki Brijeg
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game85.280.093.0
Allowed / game72.461.788.5
Point differential+12.8+18.3+4.5
Avg total157.6141.7181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sloboda
Prvenstvo BiH 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game88.485.393.0
Allowed / game78.080.774.0
Point differential+10.4+4.7+19.0
Avg total166.4166.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siroki Brijeg54180%85.272.4+12.8
2 Basket Zivinice54180%75.470.6+4.8
3 Leotar Trebinje54180%72.671.0+1.6
4 Sloboda53260%88.478.0+10.4
5 Borac Banja Luka53260%80.474.6+5.8
6 Zrinjski Mostar53260%77.272.4+4.8
7 Slavija53260%86.883.2+3.6
8 Igman53260%88.887.6+1.2
9 Orlovik53260%82.883.2-0.4
10 Radnicki Gorazde51420%83.289.0-5.8
11 Gradina Tesanj51420%74.080.6-6.6
12 Drina51420%72.683.0-10.4
13 Mrkonjic Grad51420%72.883.2-10.4
14 Promo51420%66.077.4-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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