Slask Wroclaw vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Slask Wroclaw host Zielona Gora in the Energa Basket Liga on 14 November 2026, a fixture that feels almost evenly matched as both clubs finish the season with identical 4-2 records, 84.8 and 84.3 points per game for Slask and Zielona Gora respectively, and are positioned fifth and sixth in the league. Slask's home form is flawless, 2-0 with 90.5 points scored and 76.5 allowed, yet their last five games have seen two wins and three losses, including a 82-90 defeat to Neptunas away and a 84-88 loss at home to JL Bourg. Zielona Gora, meanwhile, has gone 4-1 in their most recent five outings, highlighted by a 103-66 home win over Szolnoki Olaj and a 95-93 victory at Dinamo Bucharest, though their road record sits at 2-2 with 81.0 points per game and 84.2 allowed. Historically, Slask has dominated the rivalry, winning all ten meetings and most recently 80-76 on 3 May 2026. Pythia rates Zielona Gora as the favourite with a 54% chance of triumph against Slask's 46%, projecting a close 83-84 finish and a total of 167.8 points; the home team's -3.0 line carries a 37% chance of covering, while the 166.5 total has a 52% over probability, and there is a 5% chance the game will extend into overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slask Wroclaw winWon

46.3%fair 2.16

Best odds1.64

Implied58.2%

Edge-11.9pp

Zielona Gora winLost

53.7%fair 1.86

Best odds2.29

Implied41.8%

Edge+11.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Slask Wroclaw Poland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormWroclaw

Date

Competition

Szczecin

82-69

+13

77avg 80

A10/10

Energa Basket Liga

Basket Napoli

82-86

-4

76avg 80

H14/10

Eurocup

Dabrowa Gornicza

80-97

-17

69avg 80

A18/10

Energa Basket Liga

Chemnitz

#13

67-95

-28

54avg 80

A21/10

Eurocup

Bydgoszcz

100-77

100

+23

93avg 80

H24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Tofas

74-90

-16

70avg 80

H28/10

Eurocup

GTK Gliwice

#10

96-84

+12

92avg 80

A01/11

Energa Basket Liga

JL Bourg

#24

84-88

-4

no box

H04/11

Eurocup

Torun

81-76

no box

H07/11

Energa Basket Liga

Neptunas

#26

82-90

-8

no box

A10/11

Eurocup

18-17

23-18

12-20

29-14

18-22

19-18

24-21

21-25

15-24

17-25

23-26

25-22

21-20

19-26

20-24

7-25

24-28

28-15

29-13

19-21

24-22

14-33

22-15

14-20

25-21

20-23

19-22

32-18

20-27

19-20

21-14

24-27

27-17

30-24

13-16

11-19

18-21

20-17

26-30

18-22

168.0Avg total

82.8Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.8	83.0	167.8	+1.8	67%
Season at home (2)	90.5	76.5	167.0	+14.0	100%
Season away (4)	82.0	86.2	168.2	-4.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	85.2	168.0	-2.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	85.6	169.0	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.3	89.9	167.2	-12.6	11%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	85.2	85.9	171.1	-0.6	57%
vs Weaker (7)	93.7	83.6	177.3	+10.1	71%

This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zielona Gora Poland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGora

Date

Competition

Legia

#12

104-87

104

+17

106avg 80

H09/10

Energa Basket Liga

Levice

#33

71-74

-3

69avg 80

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

GTK Gliwice

#10

84-76

86avg 80

A17/10

Energa Basket Liga

Basquet Girona

68-109

109

-41

56avg 80

A20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Anwil Wloclawek

#11

78-77

73avg 80

H24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Oostende

#21

80-77

81avg 80

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Torun

71-87

-16

64avg 80

A31/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dinamo Bucharest

#30

95-93

no box

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Ostrow Wielkopolski

#13

74-69

no box

A08/11

Energa Basket Liga

Szolnoki Olaj

#36

103-66

103

+37

no box

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

31-19

32-18

23-17

18-33

17-20

11-11

17-16

26-27

17-25

21-13

24-22

22-16

16-30

13-27

20-26

19-26

19-21

25-17

18-22

16-17

26-20

24-18

19-14

11-25

15-17

21-27

16-20

19-23

15-30

28-16

24-25

28-22

14-17

22-20

19-21

19-11

25-17

21-23

27-14

30-12

164.3Avg total

82.8Scored

81.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	84.3	83.5	167.8	+0.8	67%
Season at home (2)	91.0	82.0	173.0	+9.0	100%
Season away (4)	81.0	84.2	165.2	-3.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	81.5	164.3	+1.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	78.4	163.0	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	77.3	85.3	162.7	-8.0	44%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	84.8	79.7	164.5	+5.1	73%
vs Weaker (6)	90.8	78.5	169.3	+12.3	83%

This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 162.5Actual: Over 162.5

Over 162.5

61.6%

@ 1.58+2.7pp

Under 162.5

38.4%

@ 2.32-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.58

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.52

Marathon Be

1.52

Under

Betano

2.32

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

1.96

Over/Under 167.5 · main lineActual: Over 167.5

Over 167.5

49.7%

@ 1.95-0.3pp

Under 167.5

50.3%

@ 1.91+0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.91

BetVictor

1.88

1xBet

1.87

Marathon Be

1.87

Under

Pinnacle

1.91

WilliamHill

1.91

1xBet

1.86

Marathon Be

1.86

Betano

1.82

Over/Under 172.5Actual: Over 172.5

Over 172.5

37.9%

@ 2.55+0.3pp

Under 172.5

62.1%

@ 1.50-0.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.55

Betano

2.37

Under

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Slask Wroclaw total 80.5Actual: Slask Wroclaw over 80.5

Over 80.5

60.5%

@ 1.44-4.0pp

Under 80.5

39.5%

@ 2.55+4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.35

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.52

Slask Wroclaw total 84.5 · main lineActual: Slask Wroclaw over 84.5

Over 84.5

45.2%

@ 1.83-6.2pp

Under 84.5

54.8%

@ 1.91+6.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.81

BetVictor

1.80

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.66

Under

Betano

1.91

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Slask Wroclaw total 88.5Actual: Slask Wroclaw over 88.5

Over 88.5

30.8%

@ 2.37-8.0pp

Under 88.5

69.2%

@ 1.50+8.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.24

Under

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.42

Zielona Gora total 78Actual: Zielona Gora over 78

Over 78

73.8%

Under 78

26.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Zielona Gora total 82 · main lineActual: Zielona Gora over 82

Over 82

59.3%

@ 1.81+8.5pp

Under 82

40.7%

@ 1.87-8.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.70

Under

Marathon Be

1.87

1xBet

1.75

Zielona Gora total 86Actual: Zielona Gora under 86

Over 86

43.3%

Under 86

56.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Slask Wroclaw -6Push

SWR -6

26.9%

@ 2.30-13.3pp

ZGO +6

73.1%

@ 1.55+13.3pp

Best 5 market prices

SWR

Bet365

2.30

ZGO

Bet365

1.55

Marathon Be

1.53

Spread Slask Wroclaw -3 · main lineActual: Slask Wroclaw -3

SWR -3

37.2%

@ 1.88-13.4pp

ZGO +3

62.8%

@ 1.93+13.4pp

Best 5 market prices

SWR

Pinnacle

1.88

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

SBO

1.81

ZGO

Pinnacle

1.93

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.88

SBO

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Spread Slask Wroclaw 0Actual: Slask Wroclaw 0

SWR 0

46.3%

ZGO 0

53.7%

Best 5 market prices

SWR

No market prices yet.

ZGO

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Slask WroclawZielona Gora

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.6	45.7	-1.5	37%	63%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	23.2	44.3	-2.0	31%	69%
Last 30 away (17)	22.8	23.9	46.7	-1.2	41%	59%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	60%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	33%	33%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	23.0	23.1	46.1	-0.1	43%	71%
vs Weaker (7)	24.3	26.3	50.6	-2.0	29%	86%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.1	64%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	21.9	40.9	-2.8	25%	69%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.9	21.1	39.0	-3.2	44%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	40%	60%
vs Weaker (6)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.3	50%	67%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.7	41.7	+0.3	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	20.2	41.9	+1.5	62%	54%
Last 30 away (17)	20.5	21.1	41.6	-0.6	53%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	23.7	41.9	-5.4	33%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	64%	43%
vs Weaker (7)	23.1	20.0	43.1	+3.1	71%	57%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.9	43.1	+1.2	53%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	19.1	41.4	+3.1	57%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	22.1	22.5	44.6	-0.4	50%	69%
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	70%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	20.8	44.0	+2.4	60%	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	21.4	41.7	-1.2	44%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	22.9	21.5	44.4	+1.5	60%	67%
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	18.8	41.8	+4.2	50%	83%

Slask WroclawLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Szczecin

41-35

A10/10

Energa Basket Liga

Basket Napoli

37-40

-3

H14/10

Eurocup

Dabrowa Gornicza

32-49

-17

A18/10

Energa Basket Liga

Chemnitz

#13

40-46

-6

A21/10

Eurocup

Bydgoszcz

52-43

H24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Tofas

38-55

-17

H28/10

Eurocup

GTK Gliwice

#10

45-44

A01/11

Energa Basket Liga

JL Bourg

#24

39-47

-8

H04/11

Eurocup

Torun

57-41

+16

H07/11

Energa Basket Liga

Neptunas

#26

38-38

A10/11

Eurocup

85.7Avg total

41.9Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	43.1	44.3	87.4	-1.3	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.5	38%	62%
Last 30 away (17)	43.2	45.1	88.3	-1.8	41%	71%
Last 10 (10)	41.9	43.8	85.7	-1.9	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	43.4	45.0	88.4	-1.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.1	46.0	83.1	-8.9	11%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	44.7	42.3	87.0	+2.4	50%	71%
vs Weaker (7)	47.4	46.3	93.7	+1.1	57%	86%

This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Legia

#12

63-37

+26

H09/10

Energa Basket Liga

Levice

#33

28-31

-3

H14/10

FIBA Europe Cup

GTK Gliwice

#10

38-38

A17/10

Energa Basket Liga

Basquet Girona

29-57

-28

A20/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Anwil Wloclawek

#11

44-38

H24/10

Energa Basket Liga

Oostende

#21

50-38

+12

H28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Torun

36-44

-8

A31/10

Energa Basket Liga

Dinamo Bucharest

#30

43-46

-3

H04/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Ostrow Wielkopolski

#13

36-37

-1

A08/11

Energa Basket Liga

Szolnoki Olaj

#36

46-40

H11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

81.9Avg total

41.3Scored

40.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.5	84.1	+1.1	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	44.4	38.2	82.6	+6.1	71%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	44.4	85.5	-3.2	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.6	81.9	+0.7	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.0	83.2	+1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.1	42.6	80.7	-4.4	33%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	44.3	41.6	85.9	+2.7	53%	60%
vs Weaker (6)	45.2	39.7	84.8	+5.5	67%	67%

This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Zielona Gora win

SWR win

no forecast

@ 1.67

ZGO win

no forecast

@ 2.25

1st half Spread Slask Wroclaw -1.5 · main lineActual: Zielona Gora +1.5

SWR -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

ZGO +1.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 84 · main lineActual: Over 84

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.92

Slask Wroclaw 1st half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Slask Wroclaw over 42.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

Zielona Gora 1st half total 41 · main lineActual: Zielona Gora over 41

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.88

1st half: SWR + total 83.5

SWR & over

no forecast

@ 3.35

SWR & under

no forecast

@ 3.30

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: ZGO + total 83.5

ZGO & over

no forecast

@ 4.20

ZGO & under

no forecast

@ 4.10

1st half Over/Under 82.75Actual: Over 82.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.90

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Slask Wroclaw -2.5Actual: Zielona Gora +2.5

SWR -2.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

ZGO +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.76

1st half Spread Slask Wroclaw -0.5Actual: Zielona Gora +0.5

SWR -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.74

ZGO +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.64

Under

no forecast

@ 2.20

1st half Spread Slask Wroclaw -3.5Actual: Zielona Gora +3.5

SWR -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

ZGO +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

1st half Spread Slask Wroclaw +0.5Actual: Zielona Gora -0.5

SWR +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

ZGO -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Slask Wroclaw (regulation)

SWR

no forecast

@ 1.72

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

ZGO

no forecast

@ 2.23

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.3	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	62%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	22.6	42.8	-2.5	24%	53%
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	40%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	21.9	42.7	-1.1	44%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.8	21%	43%
vs Weaker (7)	23.1	17.3	40.4	+5.9	71%	43%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+0.9	50%	21%
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	21.4	43.1	+0.2	50%	56%
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.9	44%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.5	19.9	39.3	-0.4	40%	33%
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	83%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	19.8	20.4	40.1	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	20.4	38.5	-2.2	31%	31%
Last 30 away (17)	21.0	20.4	41.4	+0.6	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	33%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	20.1	39.6	-0.7	36%	43%
vs Weaker (7)	20.9	18.7	39.6	+2.1	57%	14%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.4	39.7	+0.9	50%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.1	43%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	17.3	36.5	+1.9	56%	25%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.7	22%	44%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.0	18.3	39.3	+2.7	67%	33%
vs Weaker (6)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.8	50%	67%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82
Last 30 (30)	40.4	41.3	81.7	-0.9	47%	43%
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	39.1	78.6	+0.5	54%	38%
Last 30 away (17)	41.1	43.0	84.1	-1.9	41%	47%
Last 10 (10)	40.9	41.4	82.3	-0.5	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.6	80.6	-0.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.2	43.9	84.1	-3.7	33%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.8	42.3	81.1	-3.5	36%	43%
vs Weaker (7)	44.0	36.0	80.0	+8.0	86%	29%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82
Last 30 (30)	41.1	39.7	80.8	+1.5	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	40.7	82.2	+0.8	43%	57%
Last 30 away (16)	40.8	38.8	79.6	+2.1	62%	38%
Last 10 (10)	41.5	40.9	82.4	+0.6	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.4	79.8	+5.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	39.2	42.8	82.0	-3.6	33%	56%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.5	38.1	78.6	+2.3	67%	27%
vs Weaker (6)	45.7	38.8	84.5	+6.8	50%	83%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

SWR win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

ZGO win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SWR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ZGO leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (SWR:ZGO): SWR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Zielona Gora +9.5	81.9%	1.36	Betano 1.37	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora +9	81.4%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+13.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora +10.5	84.0%	1.31	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Zielona Gora +7	76.1%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Won
Zielona Gora +6.5	73.9%	1.50	Betano 1.55	Bet365 1.54	Marathon Bet 1.50	1xBet 1.43	-	+13.5pp	Won
Zielona Gora +7.5	76.8%	1.43	Betano 1.47	Bet365 1.47	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+13.3pp	Won
Zielona Gora +6	73.1%	1.54	Bet365 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.53	-	-	-	+13.3pp	Push
Zielona Gora +10	83.7%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora +8	78.9%	1.41	Bet365 1.41	-	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora +8.5	79.4%	1.37	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+13.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora +5.5	70.8%	1.59	Betano 1.62	Pinnacle 1.62	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.59	1xBet 1.52	+12.3pp	Lost
Zielona Gora +13.5	89.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 76.5	77.7%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	+9.5pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 74.5	83.1%	1.26	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 73.5	85.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+9.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 75.5	80.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 77.5	74.7%	1.40	Betano 1.44	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 78.5	71.4%	1.46	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.40	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 71.5	89.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora +18.5	95.0%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 72.5	87.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw under 90.5	75.6%	1.31	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Lost
Zielona Gora +23.5	97.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 70.5	91.1%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw under 89.5	72.5%	1.40	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+7.8pp	Lost
Slask Wroclaw under 93.5	83.5%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw under 91.5	78.4%	1.27	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw under 95.5	87.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 68.5	93.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 66.5	95.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 69.5	92.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw under 94.5	85.7%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora over 67.5	94.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw under 97.5	91.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Over 141.5	94.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw +21.5	95.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Won
Over 151.5	83.4%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Over 158.5	70.5%	1.38	Betano 1.38	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Over 146.5	89.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Over 156.5	74.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw over 69.5	91.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Under 191.5	91.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.5pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw +16.5	90.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw over 73.5	82.9%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw over 71.5	87.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Under 186.5	86.9%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw over 74.5	80.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Under 181.5	79.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 96.5	87.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.3pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 95.5	85.8%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw over 75.5	77.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-0.3pp	Won
Under 176.5	70.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 93.5	81.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-1.2pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 94.5	83.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-1.5pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw over 77.5	71.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-1.6pp	Won
Slask Wroclaw +11.5	81.9%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.9pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 92.5	78.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-2.1pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 91.5	75.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Won
Zielona Gora under 90.5	72.4%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	-3.8pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Slask Wroclawtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slask Wroclaw: 80.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀57%

🏀🏀🏀27%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 57% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	22.9	55.0%	54.3%	45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	7.3	34.6%	32.9%	21.9
🏀 Free throws	19.0	12.7	66.8%	71.3%	12.7

They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 80.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	18.2	54.7%	54.3%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.1	35.9%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.2	73.2%	71.3%	14.2

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	19.6	57.8%	54.3%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.3	36.7%	32.9%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	22.3	15.2	68.2%	71.3%	15.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.9	54.5%	54.3%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.9	35.7%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	24.4	17.2	70.5%	71.3%	17.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	22.6	57.0%	54.3%	45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	7.7	31.1%	32.9%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	21.5	15.3	71.4%	71.3%	15.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	20.2	54.2%	54.3%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	9.2	36.7%	32.9%	27.7
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.6	73.7%	71.3%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	21.5	55.0%	54.3%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.0	34.6%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	23.5	16.8	71.4%	71.3%	16.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	19.0	53.0%	54.3%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	8.7	33.5%	32.9%	26.1
🏀 Free throws	24.3	17.0	70.1%	71.3%	17.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Slask Wroclaw

LWLWLWLLLW

Zielona Gora

WWWLWWLWLW

League position

-5.7

Net rating

-4.5

93.7

Offensive rating

95.9

99.4

Defensive rating

100.4

54.0%

Effective FG%

54.3%

56.5%

Opp. effective FG%

54.1%

15.9%

Turnover %

15.6%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.32

34.6%

3-point %

35.9%

64.9%

Assist %

76.0%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Slask Wroclaw ■ Zielona Gora

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Slask Wroclaw wins

Zielona Gora wins

Date	Game	Score
03/05/26	Zielona Gora v Slask Wroclaw	76-80
02/01/26	Slask Wroclaw v Zielona Gora	90-85
21/03/25	Slask Wroclaw v Zielona Gora	91-82
15/11/24	Zielona Gora v Slask Wroclaw	82-88
29/02/24	Zielona Gora v Slask Wroclaw	76-80
05/11/23	Slask Wroclaw v Zielona Gora	77-66
29/04/23	Zielona Gora v Slask Wroclaw	67-85
01/01/23	Slask Wroclaw v Zielona Gora	85-78
30/04/22	Zielona Gora v Slask Wroclaw	80-86
27/04/22	Slask Wroclaw v Zielona Gora	87-80

Slask Wroclawlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/26	A	Neptunas	82-90
07/11/26	H	Torun	81-76
04/11/26	H	JL Bourg	84-88
01/11/26	A	GTK Gliwice	96-84
28/10/26	H	Tofas	74-90
24/10/26	H	Bydgoszcz	100-77
21/10/26	A	Chemnitz	67-95
18/10/26	A	Dabrowa Gornicza	80-97
14/10/26	H	Basket Napoli	82-86
10/10/26	A	Szczecin	82-69

Zielona Goralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Szolnoki Olaj	103-66
08/11/26	A	Ostrow Wielkopolski	74-69
04/11/26	H	Dinamo Bucharest	95-93
31/10/26	A	Torun	71-87
28/10/26	H	Oostende	80-77
24/10/26	H	Anwil Wloclawek	78-77
20/10/26	A	Basquet Girona	68-109
17/10/26	A	GTK Gliwice	84-76
14/10/26	H	Levice	71-74
09/10/26	H	Legia	104-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Slask Wroclaw

Energa Basket Liga 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	84.8	90.5	82.0
Allowed / game	83.0	76.5	86.2
Point differential	+1.8	+14.0	-4.2
Avg total	167.8	167.0	168.2
Over 167.5	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Zielona Gora

Energa Basket Liga 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	84.3	91.0	81.0
Allowed / game	83.5	82.0	84.2
Point differential	+0.8	+9.0	-3.2
Avg total	167.8	173.0	165.2
Over 167.5	33%	50%	25%
Win by 10+	17%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Dabrowa Gornicza	6	6	0	100%	91.7	82.8	+8.8
2	Szczecin	7	6	1	86%	88.4	80.1	+8.3
3	Dziki Warszawa	6	5	1	83%	91.5	74.5	+17.0
4	Gdynia	7	5	2	71%	83.1	74.6	+8.6
5	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	2	67%	84.8	83.0	+1.8
6	Zielona Gora	6	4	2	67%	84.3	83.5	+0.8
7	Gornik Walbrzych	6	3	3	50%	84.7	83.3	+1.3
8	Bydgoszcz	6	3	3	50%	85.3	88.2	-2.8
9	Torun	7	3	4	43%	88.0	86.4	+1.6
10	GTK Gliwice	7	3	4	43%	81.4	82.3	-0.9
11	Anwil Wloclawek	7	3	4	43%	77.3	81.9	-4.6
12	Legia	7	3	4	43%	76.9	81.4	-4.6
13	Ostrow Wielkopolski	6	2	4	33%	76.8	80.8	-4.0
14	Lublin	7	2	5	29%	74.9	81.9	-7.0
15	Czarni Slupsk	6	0	6	0%	81.0	87.5	-6.5
16	Trefl Sopot	7	0	7	0%	78.3	93.9	-15.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Slask Wroclaw	21	29	15	26	91
Zielona Gora	29	24	13	19	85

← all games of the day

Slask Wroclaw vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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