Sloboda vs Smederevo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Feb 2012

Tip-off: 17:30

Final 81-75

25-25 13-11 24-25 19-14

Position#10

Record8-13

FormLWWWL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game79.8

Sloboda 🏆

Smederevo

Position#7

Record12-9

FormLLWLW

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game83.1

First LeagueRound 22

Other2011-12

Meetings · Sloboda v Smederevo

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sloboda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Smederevo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sloboda

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Radnicki

70-68

H14/12

First League

OKK Beograd

70-86

-16

A17/12

First League

Mega Bemax

80-86

-6

H24/12

First League

Napredak

#12

68-72

-4

A14/01

First League

Sloga

80-70

+10

H21/01

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

71-100

100

-29

A28/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

74-66

H01/02

First League

Zeleznicar

#13

76-71

A11/02

First League

KK Metalac

#11

86-81

H22/02

First League

Radnicki Basket

68-75

-7

A25/02

First League

14-15

17-21

15-7

24-25

9-26

20-22

21-22

20-16

14-24

16-19

19-25

31-18

24-8

11-22

13-18

20-24

19-20

25-15

18-18

18-17

17-32

14-25

19-26

21-17

19-12

15-17

21-14

19-23

21-12

18-18

20-21

17-20

26-25

23-16

21-26

16-14

26-23

14-20

18-12

10-20

151.8Avg total

74.3Scored

77.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	74.4	79.8	154.2	-5.3	38%
Season at home (10)	77.4	77.6	155.0	-0.2	50%
Season away (11)	71.7	81.7	153.5	-10.0	27%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	77.5	151.8	-3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	75.0	78.6	153.6	-3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	70.9	81.6	152.4	-10.7	12%
vs Similar (12)	78.0	76.9	154.9	+1.1	67%
vs Weaker (2)	83.0	74.0	157.0	+9.0	100%

This opponent (Smederevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Smederevo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Napredak

#12

114-104

114

104

+10

H14/12

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

67-93

-26

A19/12

First League

Zeleznicar

#13

105-104 OT

105

104

A24/12

First League

Radnicki Basket

82-88

-6

H14/01

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

82-74

A21/01

First League

Radnicki

89-96

-7

H28/01

First League

Mega Bemax

69-90

-21

A01/02

First League

Sloga

84-61

+23

H11/02

First League

Borac Mozzart

56-68

-12

A22/02

First League

KK Metalac

#11

74-70

H25/02

First League

27-28

32-27

31-26

24-23

11-18

20-29

13-22

23-24

26-16

23-30

17-22

15-13

18-28

21-24

25-20

18-16

18-20

14-23

22-16

28-15

22-23

21-24

21-26

25-23

12-22

20-18

18-25

19-25

23-19

23-14

17-17

21-11

13-16

14-16

16-19

13-17

19-22

25-9

14-27

16-12

167.0Avg total

82.2Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	83.1	83.1	166.3	+0.0	57%
Season at home (11)	88.5	81.1	169.5	+7.4	82%
Season away (10)	77.3	85.4	162.7	-8.1	30%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	84.8	167.0	-2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	77.0	151.4	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	81.0	89.5	170.5	-8.5	17%
vs Similar (11)	79.5	78.5	157.9	+1.0	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	96.5	86.5	183.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Sloboda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SlobodaSmederevo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.9	20.6	39.5	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.7	38.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.1	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.8	20.8	40.5	-1.1	35%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.2	40.1	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	22.0	41.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	20.3	38.8	-1.7	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	24.3	20.3	44.7	+4.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	17.7	20.1	37.8	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.8	18.5	37.3	+0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	16.5	21.9	38.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.5	36.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	16.2	22.6	38.8	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	12.0	29.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	20.4	21.1	41.5	-0.7	35%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.8	19.2	42.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	10%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	16.2	36.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	24.0	44.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.8	19.6	39.5	+0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	22.7	20.7	43.3	+2.0	67%	-

SlobodaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Radnicki

31-36

-5

H14/12

First League

OKK Beograd

29-48

-19

A17/12

First League

Mega Bemax

30-43

-13

H24/12

First League

Napredak

#12

35-30

A14/01

First League

Sloga

44-35

H21/01

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

31-57

-26

A28/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

34-29

H01/02

First League

Zeleznicar

#13

39-30

A11/02

First League

KK Metalac

#11

49-41

H22/02

First League

Radnicki Basket

40-43

-3

A25/02

First League

75.4Avg total

36.2Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	36.5	40.9	77.4	-4.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.7	39.1	76.8	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (10)	35.2	42.9	78.1	-7.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	39.2	75.4	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.0	78.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	33.6	44.2	77.8	-10.5	9%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.8	37.8	77.6	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	39.0	33.0	72.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Smederevo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SmederevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Napredak

#12

59-55

H14/12

First League

Vojvodina Novi Sad

31-47

-16

A19/12

First League

Zeleznicar

#13

49-46

A24/12

First League

Radnicki Basket

39-52

-13

H14/01

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

32-43

-11

A21/01

First League

Radnicki

43-47

-4

H28/01

First League

Mega Bemax

32-40

-8

A01/02

First League

Sloga

46-33

+13

H11/02

First League

Borac Mozzart

27-32

-5

A22/02

First League

KK Metalac

#11

44-31

+13

H25/02

First League

82.8Avg total

40.2Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	40.1	41.9	82.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	43.7	41.1	84.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.6	42.7	79.3	-6.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	36.6	75.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.0	46.0	86.0	-6.0	17%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.4	39.9	78.3	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	47.0	41.0	88.0	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Sloboda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	55%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.9	37.4	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.9	16.6	35.5	+2.3	64%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.6	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	22.0	46.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.8	21.2	40.0	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (10)	17.0	21.1	38.1	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.8	40.0	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	23.2	42.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.2	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	19.0	19.6	38.7	-0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	19.3	19.5	38.7	-0.2	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.4	65%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.7	18.9	42.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (10)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.6	17.9	40.5	+4.7	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	23.7	21.0	44.7	+2.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	38.1	38.1	76.2	+0.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.8	37.7	77.5	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.3	38.5	74.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	38.2	36.1	74.3	+2.1	64%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.2	40.0	77.2	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	46.0	43.0	89.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	41.3	40.4	81.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	44.3	40.3	84.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.3	40.4	78.7	-2.1	30%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.9	79.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	40.4	76.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.0	43.5	84.5	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	41.1	38.5	79.6	+2.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)	42.7	40.7	83.3	+2.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sloboda wins

Smederevo wins

Date	Game	Score
25/11/11	Smederevo v Sloboda	91-85

Slobodalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/12	A	Radnicki Basket	68-75
22/02/12	H	KK Metalac	86-81
11/02/12	A	Zeleznicar	76-71
01/02/12	H	Borac Mozzart	74-66
28/01/12	A	Vojvodina Novi Sad	71-100
21/01/12	H	Sloga	80-70
14/01/12	A	Napredak	68-72
24/12/11	H	Mega Bemax	80-86
17/12/11	A	OKK Beograd	70-86
14/12/11	H	Radnicki	70-68

Smederevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/12	H	KK Metalac	74-70
22/02/12	A	Borac Mozzart	56-68
11/02/12	H	Sloga	84-61
01/02/12	A	Mega Bemax	69-90
28/01/12	H	Radnicki	89-96
21/01/12	A	Tamis Petrohemija	82-74
14/01/12	H	Radnicki Basket	82-88
24/12/11	A	Zeleznicar	105-104 OT
19/12/11	A	Vojvodina Novi Sad	67-93
14/12/11	H	Napredak	114-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sloboda

First League 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	38%
Home	WLWWW	50%
Away	LLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	38%	50%	27%
Points / game	74.4	77.4	71.7
Allowed / game	79.8	77.6	81.7
Point differential	-5.3	-0.2	-10.0
Avg total	154.2	155.0	153.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	50% (4)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Smederevo

First League 2011-12

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	57%
Home	WLLWW	82%
Away	LWWLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	57%	82%	30%
Points / game	83.1	88.5	77.3
Allowed / game	83.1	81.1	85.4
Point differential	+0.0	+7.4	-8.1
Avg total	166.3	169.5	162.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	36%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vojvodina Novi Sad	21	18	3	86%	86.8	75.9	+10.9
2	Mega Bemax	21	16	5	76%	83.8	78.6	+5.2
3	Radnicki	22	16	6	73%	84.0	80.1	+4.0
4	Radnicki Basket	21	13	8	62%	80.2	75.8	+4.4
5	Borac Mozzart	21	12	9	57%	74.2	71.0	+3.3
6	Tamis Petrohemija	21	12	9	57%	73.0	72.6	+0.4
7	Smederevo	21	12	9	57%	83.1	83.1	+0.0
8	OKK Beograd	21	11	10	52%	76.9	73.9	+3.0
9	Sloga	21	11	10	52%	83.4	82.7	+0.7
10	Sloboda	21	8	13	38%	74.4	79.8	-5.3
11	KK Metalac	21	7	14	33%	74.6	79.5	-5.0
12	Napredak	21	5	16	24%	76.0	81.7	-5.7
13	Zeleznicar	22	5	17	23%	79.3	83.4	-4.0
14	Naftagas	21	2	19	10%	74.5	86.3	-11.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sloboda	25	13	24	19	81
Smederevo	25	11	25	14	75

← all games of the day

Sloboda vs Smederevo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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