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Slovenia W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 71-77
19-27 15-15 21-16 16-19
Position#7
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game65.3
Slovenia W
vs
Lithuania W 🏆
Position#17
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 1· PalaDozza
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Slovenia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Slovenia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Poland W
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
L
62-66
62
66
-4
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
51-70
51
70
-19
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
84-62
84
62
+22
93avg 83
A07/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
74-67
74
67
+7
71avg 83
H10/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
94-83
94
83
+11
101avg 83
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
96-47
96
47
+49
105avg 83
H09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-8
16-16
15-22
14-19
23-11
15-22
18-27
15-16
17-14
13-18
15-10
17-24
14-15
25-21
12-18
17-19
19-25
9-15
9-18
14-12
14-17
21-19
27-16
16-11
18-15
18-17
25-15
23-15
19-18
20-16
13-14
22-19
23-24
23-21
23-17
25-21
21-14
18-14
33-4
24-15
140.8Avg total
73.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.565.3144.8+14.283%
Season at home (3)82.759.0141.7+23.7100%
Season away (3)76.371.7148.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)73.667.2140.8+6.450%
Last 5 (5)85.264.4149.6+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.376.3146.7-6.033%
vs Similar (7)68.177.3145.4-9.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.960.3146.2+25.587%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
73avg 75
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
108-47
108
47
+61
123avg 75
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 75
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 75
H09/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
14-25
29-10
15-10
20-9
14-12
14-18
17-17
17-20
23-20
11-22
24-21
12-21
30-19
8-23
15-8
22-18
24-19
30-11
23-14
15-28
17-14
20-10
14-14
15-19
20-22
14-25
21-15
23-16
30-13
24-13
31-5
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
145.3Avg total
77.9Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.267.0149.2+15.267%
Season at home (3)80.067.0147.0+13.067%
Season away (3)84.367.0151.3+17.367%
Last 10 (10)77.967.4145.3+10.560%
Last 5 (5)78.868.0146.8+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.679.6148.2-11.025%
vs Similar (4)63.068.5131.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (5)89.853.4143.2+36.4100%
This opponent (Slovenia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.5+4.5
Slovenia WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Slovenia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland W
#9
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#21
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A15/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H16/06
European Championship Women
France W
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A09/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H10/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A06/02
European Championship Women
Finland W
#27
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H09/02
European Championship Women
69.9Avg total
35.9Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.034.673.6+4.364%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.631.368.9+6.375%-
Last 30 away (13)40.237.777.9+2.554%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.069.9+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.074.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.738.069.7-6.333%-
vs Similar (7)35.141.676.7-6.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.230.772.9+11.580%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
75.9Avg total
39.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (17)36.836.373.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (9)37.433.871.2+3.756%-
Last 30 away (8)36.039.175.1-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.275.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.476.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)34.141.875.9-7.625%-
vs Similar (4)34.838.273.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker (5)42.626.068.6+16.6100%-
This opponent (Slovenia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Slovenia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Slovenia W: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.5
53.1%
45.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.8
37.8%
30.0%29.5
🏀 Free throws15.812.0
75.8%
72.4%12.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.5
51.9%
45.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.86.3
33.6%
30.0%19.0
🏀 Free throws22.817.2
75.2%
72.4%17.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 18 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Slovenia W
WWWWWLLLLL
Lithuania W
LWWLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#17
+19.3
Net rating
+19.2
106.7
Offensive rating
102.7
87.5
Defensive rating
83.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
41.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.3%
23.5%
Turnover %
23.4%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.8%
3-point %
33.6%
84.1%
Assist %
78.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 102.7Defence87.5 · 83.5Shooting54.7% · 51.5%3-point %37.8% · 33.6%Ball care23.5% · 23.4%Off. rebounds34.0% · 35.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Slovenia W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Slovenia W wins
0
Lithuania W wins
No previous meetings.
Slovenia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HFinland W96-47
06/02/25ABulgaria W94-83
10/11/24HHungary W74-67
07/11/24AFinland W84-62
12/11/23HBulgaria W78-63
09/11/23AHungary W51-70
18/06/23HFrance W68-73
16/06/23HGermany W62-66
15/06/23AGreat Britain W71-76
12/02/23HPoland W58-65
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
10/11/24AAzerbaijan W108-47
07/11/24ABelgium W70-81
12/11/23APoland W75-73 OT
09/11/23HAzerbaijan W99-62
12/02/23AUkraine W65-71
09/02/23HFrance W75-83
27/11/22AFinland W65-56
24/11/22HUkraine W81-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Slovenia W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game79.582.776.3
Allowed / game65.359.071.7
Point differential+14.2+23.7+4.7
Avg total144.8141.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game82.280.084.3
Allowed / game67.067.067.0
Point differential+15.2+13.0+17.3
Avg total149.2147.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W770100%91.947.4+44.4
2 Spain W660100%74.354.8+19.5
3 Sweden W660100%75.561.0+14.5
4 Turkey W76186%80.659.6+21.0
5 Belgium W65183%87.755.8+31.8
6 Serbia W65183%80.051.2+28.8
7 Slovenia W65183%79.565.3+14.2
8 Portugal W65183%62.254.3+7.8
9 Great Britain W64267%74.755.7+19.0
10 Lithuania W64267%82.267.0+15.2
11 Montenegro W64267%73.860.3+13.5
12 Switzerland W64267%65.255.5+9.7
13 Italy W64267%67.859.5+8.3
14 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
15 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
16 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
17 Germany W64267%69.766.2+3.5
18 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
19 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
20 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
21 Greece W62433%67.369.0-1.7
22 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
23 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
24 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
25 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
26 Czech Republic W62433%62.772.8-10.2
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Slovenia W1915211671
Lithuania W2715161977
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