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Lithuania W vs Belgium W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-70
13-15 25-20 17-13 14-22
Position#17
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game66.4
Lithuania W
vs
Belgium W 🏆
Position#1
Record4-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game53.2
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 6· Twinsbet Arena
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lithuania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Belgium W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
56-83
56
83
-27
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
81-62
81
62
+19
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
65-56
65
56
+9
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
73avg 83
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
108-47
108
47
+61
123avg 83
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 83
H06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
11-20
15-24
13-17
23-17
14-25
29-10
15-10
20-9
14-12
14-18
17-17
17-20
23-20
11-22
24-21
12-21
30-19
8-23
15-8
22-18
24-19
30-11
23-14
15-28
17-14
20-10
14-14
15-19
20-22
14-25
21-15
23-16
30-13
24-13
31-5
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
145.3Avg total
76.6Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.866.4151.2+18.480%
Season at home (2)85.565.5151.0+20.0100%
Season away (3)84.367.0151.3+17.367%
Last 10 (10)76.668.7145.3+7.960%
Last 5 (5)84.866.4151.2+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)68.681.0149.6-12.429%
vs Similar (4)63.068.5131.5-5.525%
vs Weaker (5)89.853.4143.2+36.4100%
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nigeria W
#10
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 79
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
63avg 79
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 79
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
85-58
85
58
+27
90avg 79
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
86avg 79
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
80avg 79
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
81-85
81
85
-4
72avg 79
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
81-70
81
70
+11
72avg 79
H07/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
80-77
80
77
+3
78avg 79
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
97-24
97
24
+73
105avg 79
H06/02
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
18-18
23-13
15-19
11-25
14-21
17-14
27-23
23-23
15-23
15-14
21-27
19-7
20-16
22-16
24-19
26-26
22-11
19-12
12-17
17-14
19-17
15-17
15-18
19-20
17-17
25-23
20-25
19-15
22-20
25-14
15-21
17-17
15-24
24-16
24-20
27-5
25-7
29-4
16-8
149.1Avg total
79.9Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.253.2144.4+38.080%
Season at home (3)80.053.7133.7+26.367%
Season away (2)108.052.5160.5+55.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.969.2149.1+10.760%
Last 5 (5)82.867.4150.2+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.783.8154.5-13.20%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.756.8142.6+28.991%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +4.9+4.9Q4: -0.8-0.8
Lithuania WBelgium W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A14/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#36
W
34-21
34
21
+13
A27/11
European Championship Women
France W
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/02
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
75.6Avg total
38.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)36.736.473.1+0.344%-
Last 30 at home (8)37.433.671.0+3.850%-
Last 30 away (8)36.039.175.1-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.975.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.878.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.642.776.3-9.114%-
vs Similar (4)34.838.273.0-3.525%-
vs Weaker (5)42.626.068.6+16.6100%-
This opponent (Belgium W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Belgium WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nigeria W
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A29/07
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H01/08
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
W
39-23
39
23
+16
A04/08
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/08
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
52-12
52
12
+40
H06/02
European Championship Women
72.4Avg total
38.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.131.372.4+9.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.031.875.8+12.275%-
Last 30 away (14)37.730.868.5+6.957%-
Last 10 (10)38.733.772.4+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.270.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.841.077.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (1)36.037.073.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.428.570.9+13.978%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.0
53.8%
45.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.4
32.0%
30.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.416.4
73.2%
72.4%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Belgium Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Belgium W: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.423.9
55.1%
45.4%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.9
29.9%
30.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws13.710.4
75.9%
72.4%10.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lithuania W
WWLWWLLWWL
Belgium W
WWWLLWWLLW
#17
League position
#1
+22.2
Net rating
+13.8
103.1
Offensive rating
102.0
80.9
Defensive rating
88.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
51.5%
42.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
23.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.0%
3-point %
29.9%
78.3%
Assist %
84.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 102.0Defence80.9 · 88.2Shooting52.0% · 51.5%3-point %32.0% · 29.9%Ball care23.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds36.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Lithuania W   ■ Belgium W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lithuania W wins
1
Belgium W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Belgium W v Lithuania W81-70
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
10/11/24AAzerbaijan W108-47
07/11/24ABelgium W70-81
12/11/23APoland W75-73 OT
09/11/23HAzerbaijan W99-62
12/02/23AUkraine W65-71
09/02/23HFrance W75-83
27/11/22AFinland W65-56
24/11/22HUkraine W81-62
14/11/21AFrance W56-83
Belgium Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HAzerbaijan W97-24
10/11/24APoland W80-77
07/11/24HLithuania W81-70
11/08/24HAustralia W81-85
09/08/24AFrance W75-81 OT
07/08/24ASpain W79-66
04/08/24AJapan W85-58
01/08/24HUSA W74-87
29/07/24AGermany W69-83
11/02/24HNigeria W78-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game84.885.584.3
Allowed / game66.465.567.0
Point differential+18.4+20.0+17.3
Avg total151.2151.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Belgium W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game91.280.0108.0
Allowed / game53.253.752.5
Point differential+38.0+26.3+55.5
Avg total144.4133.7160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%94.444.8+49.6
2 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W550100%73.053.0+20.0
5 Sweden W550100%76.663.0+13.6
6 Belgium W54180%91.253.2+38.0
7 Lithuania W54180%84.866.4+18.4
8 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
9 Italy W54180%67.656.6+11.0
10 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
11 Portugal W54180%63.257.2+6.0
12 Great Britain W53260%74.655.2+19.4
13 Montenegro W53260%71.461.8+9.6
14 Croatia W53260%78.270.0+8.2
15 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
16 Germany W53260%70.266.6+3.6
17 Slovakia W53260%70.267.8+2.4
18 Switzerland W53260%60.858.8+2.0
19 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
20 Poland W52340%78.268.0+10.2
21 Israel W52340%78.476.2+2.2
22 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
23 Netherlands W52340%63.668.2-4.6
24 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
25 Denmark W51420%68.473.6-5.2
26 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
27 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
28 Ukraine W51420%62.269.6-7.4
29 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
30 Romania W51420%67.686.2-18.6
31 Estonia W51420%51.679.4-27.8
32 Austria W5050%52.275.8-23.6
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
35 Ireland W5050%48.697.4-48.8
36 Azerbaijan W5050%42.4109.0-66.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lithuania W1325171469
Belgium W1520132270
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