Smederevo vs Napredak Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 82-86

12-24 12-22 34-23 24-17

Position#11

Record11-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game75.7

Smederevo

Napredak 🏆

Position#7

Record12-12

FormWLWWL

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game72.7

First LeagueRound 25

Other2015-16

Meetings · Smederevo v Napredak

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Smederevo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Napredak winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Smederevo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spartak Subotica

73-67

H16/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

61-69

-8

A23/01

First League

Konstantin

80-86

-6

H29/01

First League

Jagodina

#14

63-75

-12

A05/02

First League

Vrsac

#10

69-86

-17

H12/02

First League

Crvena zvezda

44-89

-45

A19/02

Korac cup

Beovuk

79-69

+10

H27/02

First League

Mladost Admiral

65-69

-4

A05/03

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

72-90

-18

H09/03

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

72-74

-2

A11/03

First League

10-8

19-20

24-19

20-20

10-23

23-15

15-13

13-18

21-16

18-22

22-26

19-22

17-20

12-15

12-22

22-18

13-21

22-26

10-21

24-18

12-30

12-17

11-14

9-28

18-23

15-19

30-15

16-12

13-21

12-14

23-15

17-19

24-17

14-23

16-27

18-23

15-11

26-22

17-24

14-17

145.2Avg total

67.8Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	75.6	75.7	151.2	-0.1	46%
Season at home (12)	80.2	76.6	156.8	+3.7	67%
Season away (12)	70.9	74.8	145.7	-3.8	25%
Last 10 (10)	67.8	77.4	145.2	-9.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	66.4	78.2	144.6	-11.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	73.2	80.8	154.0	-7.6	36%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	76.5	75.6	152.2	+0.9	46%
vs Weaker (5)	76.4	73.2	149.6	+3.2	60%

This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Napredak

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

OKK Beograd

#12

65-62

H08/01

First League

Beovuk

71-76

-5

A16/01

First League

FMP Beograd

59-94

-35

A23/01

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

#13

66-74

-8

H30/01

First League

Sloga

71-66

A06/02

First League

Spartak Subotica

68-61

H13/02

First League

Borac Mozzart

75-85

-10

A27/02

First League

Konstantin

94-86

H05/03

First League

Jagodina

#14

95-75

+20

A09/03

First League

Vrsac

#10

65-66

-1

H12/03

First League

15-22

17-14

10-15

23-11

12-21

18-14

25-17

16-24

14-22

8-27

20-26

17-19

13-18

25-14

11-24

17-18

15-21

22-15

14-12

20-18

18-17

22-16

9-19

19-9

17-25

23-19

18-23

17-18

24-16

17-14

23-29

30-27

26-18

21-20

23-24

25-13

20-9

19-14

15-30

11-13

147.4Avg total

72.9Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	72.2	72.7	144.9	-0.4	50%
Season at home (12)	74.1	67.7	141.8	+6.4	75%
Season away (12)	70.4	77.7	148.1	-7.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	74.5	147.4	-1.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	74.6	154.0	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	67.7	76.1	143.8	-8.4	25%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	70.8	69.3	140.2	+1.5	58%
vs Weaker (6)	74.8	67.7	142.5	+7.2	67%

This opponent (Smederevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SmederevoNapredak

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	20.5	37.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	19.0	34.3	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.7	20.6	37.4	-3.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.2	17.4	36.5	+1.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	18.3	34.7	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	16.6	33.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.5	20.0	35.5	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	18.9	36.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.2	16.9	33.1	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.3	17.8	34.2	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.8	36.8	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	20.9	38.7	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	18.7	34.9	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.3	36.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	19.0	34.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.0	19.3	35.3	-3.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.5	21.3	39.8	-2.8	15%	-
vs Weaker (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	20%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.0	35.1	-0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	15.7	34.4	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	17.2	37.2	+2.8	67%	-

SmederevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Spartak Subotica

29-28

H16/01

First League

Borac Mozzart

33-38

-5

A23/01

First League

Konstantin

39-38

H29/01

First League

Jagodina

#14

29-35

-6

A05/02

First League

Vrsac

#10

35-47

-12

H12/02

First League

Crvena zvezda

24-47

-23

A19/02

Korac cup

Beovuk

33-42

-9

H27/02

First League

Mladost Admiral

25-35

-10

A05/03

First League

Tamis Petrohemija

38-40

-2

H09/03

First League

OKK Beograd

#12

41-33

A11/03

First League

70.9Avg total

32.6Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	39.3	74.7	-3.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	39.3	77.1	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.0	39.2	72.2	-6.2	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	38.3	70.9	-5.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	39.4	71.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	32.7	39.9	72.6	-7.2	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.6	38.7	76.3	-1.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (5)	37.8	37.8	75.6	+0.0	40%	-

This opponent (Napredak) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NapredakLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

OKK Beograd

#12

32-36

-4

H08/01

First League

Beovuk

30-35

-5

A16/01

First League

FMP Beograd

22-49

-27

A23/01

First League

Vojvodina Srbijagas

#13

38-32

H30/01

First League

Sloga

37-36

A06/02

First League

Spartak Subotica

40-33

H13/02

First League

Borac Mozzart

40-44

-4

A27/02

First League

Konstantin

41-30

+11

H05/03

First League

Jagodina

#14

47-38

A09/03

First League

Vrsac

#10

39-23

+16

H12/03

First League

72.2Avg total

36.6Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	35.9	70.3	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.3	33.8	70.1	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.5	38.0	70.5	-5.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	35.6	72.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	33.6	75.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	33.0	39.7	72.7	-6.7	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	34.9	32.6	67.5	+2.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.3	35.0	71.3	+1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Smederevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.5	41.5	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.9	20.5	41.4	+0.5	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.6	18.5	39.1	+2.2	54%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.8	17.5	35.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.5	37.5	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	21.9	38.7	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	25.0	42.6	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.1	18.2	35.3	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	19.7	36.6	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	19.5	36.7	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.8	34.6	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	19.7	38.3	-1.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.3	18.5	36.8	-0.2	31%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	16.9	34.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	15.8	33.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	18.0	35.8	-0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.0	36.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.0	36.4	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.2	16.2	33.3	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	15.8	35.2	+3.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	38.0	76.5	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	38.1	80.5	+4.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.4	38.0	72.4	-3.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	39.1	74.3	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	38.8	73.0	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.5	40.2	79.6	-0.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.9	36.9	75.8	+2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.6	35.4	74.0	+3.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	35.4	71.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	33.3	68.8	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	37.5	73.3	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	38.9	75.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	34.7	36.4	71.1	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	35.3	35.7	71.0	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	38.5	32.7	71.2	+5.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Smederevo wins

Napredak wins

Date	Game	Score
11/12/15	Napredak v Smederevo	76-63
14/03/15	Napredak v Smederevo	71-60
12/12/14	Smederevo v Napredak	64-68
01/02/14	Smederevo v Napredak	80-75
02/11/13	Napredak v Smederevo	67-51
13/03/12	Napredak v Smederevo	81-83
14/12/11	Smederevo v Napredak	114-104

Smederevolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/16	A	OKK Beograd	72-74
09/03/16	H	Tamis Petrohemija	72-90
05/03/16	A	Mladost Admiral	65-69
27/02/16	H	Beovuk	79-69
19/02/16	A	Crvena zvezda	44-89
12/02/16	H	Vrsac	69-86
05/02/16	A	Jagodina	63-75
29/01/16	H	Konstantin	80-86
23/01/16	A	Borac Mozzart	61-69
16/01/16	H	Spartak Subotica	73-67

Napredaklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/16	H	Vrsac	65-66
09/03/16	A	Jagodina	95-75
05/03/16	H	Konstantin	94-86
27/02/16	A	Borac Mozzart	75-85
13/02/16	H	Spartak Subotica	68-61
06/02/16	A	Sloga	71-66
30/01/16	H	Vojvodina Srbijagas	66-74
23/01/16	A	FMP Beograd	59-94
16/01/16	A	Beovuk	71-76
08/01/16	H	OKK Beograd	65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Smederevo

First League 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	46%
Home	WLLWL	67%
Away	LLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	46%	67%	25%
Points / game	75.6	80.2	70.9
Allowed / game	75.7	76.6	74.8
Point differential	-0.1	+3.7	-3.8
Avg total	151.2	156.8	145.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	42%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (1)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Napredak

First League 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	WLWWL	75%
Away	LLWLW	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	50%	75%	25%
Points / game	72.2	74.1	70.4
Allowed / game	72.7	67.7	77.7
Point differential	-0.4	+6.4	-7.2
Avg total	144.9	141.8	148.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	42%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	67% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FMP Beograd	24	22	2	92%	84.4	64.5	+20.0
2	Borac Mozzart	24	17	7	71%	82.6	75.5	+7.1
3	Konstantin	24	17	7	71%	81.1	78.9	+2.2
4	Tamis Petrohemija	24	13	11	54%	75.1	71.2	+3.9
5	Mladost Admiral	24	13	11	54%	77.0	74.5	+2.5
6	Napredak	24	12	12	50%	72.2	72.7	-0.4
7	Beovuk	24	12	12	50%	78.3	78.9	-0.6
8	Smederevo	24	11	13	46%	75.6	75.7	-0.1
9	Spartak Subotica	24	11	13	46%	75.2	75.3	-0.1
10	Vrsac	24	10	14	42%	78.3	77.5	+0.9
11	Sloga	24	10	14	42%	68.9	77.4	-8.5
12	OKK Beograd	24	9	15	38%	79.2	79.0	+0.1
13	Vojvodina Srbijagas	24	8	16	33%	73.6	82.4	-8.8
14	Jagodina	24	3	21	12%	72.6	90.8	-18.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Smederevo	12	12	34	24	82
Napredak	24	22	23	17	86

← all games of the day

Smederevo vs Napredak Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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