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SMU Mustangs vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-72
49-39 52-33
Position#58
Record6-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#156
Record3-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game78.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#254
L
60-75
60
75
-15
H15/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#2
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/03
NIT
Tarleton
#308
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-32
0-0
27-43
0-0
49-40
0-0
43-61
0-0
51-28
0-0
45-34
0-0
51-29
0-0
51-44
0-0
41-35
0-0
40-33
0-0
33-36
0-0
37-45
0-0
51-46
0-0
59-23
0-0
38-33
0-0
41-51
0-0
45-32
0-0
34-45
0-0
27-31
0-0
50-29
159.6Avg total
84.6Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.871.8158.5+15.075%
Season at home (5)93.671.2164.8+22.480%
Season away (3)75.372.7148.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)84.675.0159.6+9.660%
Last 5 (5)83.074.2157.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)75.073.5148.5+1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)82.169.8151.9+12.476%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#166
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H08/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
H09/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A05/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A10/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
115-64
115
64
+51
H19/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#123
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
78-97
78
97
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-31
36-34
37-29
35-43
27-32
23-24
41-46
38-47
32-26
29-48
50-32
65-32
40-36
45-31
29-34
48-41
41-50
37-47
33-46
26-31
150.0Avg total
74.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.178.1157.3+1.043%
Season at home (2)100.065.5165.5+34.5100%
Season away (5)70.883.2154.0-12.420%
Last 10 (10)74.875.2150.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)82.876.0158.8+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.282.2149.5-15.00%
vs Similar (15)69.974.5144.4-4.527%
vs Weaker (11)68.958.7127.6+10.273%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.7+7.71st half: -1.1-1.12nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +0.4+0.4
SMU MustangsAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#254
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H15/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A20/03
NIT
Tarleton
#308
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A28/11
NCAA
76.1Avg total
41.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.171.8+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.231.671.8+8.788%-
Last 30 away (14)37.034.971.9+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.934.276.1+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.674.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.832.571.3+6.376%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Univ.
#166
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H08/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A14/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A05/11
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H19/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Lamar
#123
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/11
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A28/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.533.865.3-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.231.262.4-0.154%-
Last 30 away (17)31.835.767.5-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.271.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.678.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)33.045.878.8-12.80%-
vs Similar (15)32.034.966.9-2.933%-
vs Weaker (11)30.427.958.3+2.564%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24AWashington State77-60
27/11/24ACalifornia Baptist79-77
23/11/24HMississippi St.79-84
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69
16/11/24AButler70-81
12/11/24HNC Greensboro81-68
08/11/24HFlorida A&M102-73
05/11/24HTarleton96-62
20/03/24AIndiana State92-101
15/03/24HTemple60-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/24ACincinnati59-77
24/11/24AAkron78-97
23/11/24ALamar77-75
23/11/24HNebraska O.85-67
19/11/24HVirginia-Lynchburg115-64
10/11/24ALSU61-74
05/11/24AUNLV79-93
14/03/24AGrambling St.50-56
09/03/24HGrambling St.87-84 OT
08/03/24HSouthern Univ.57-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game86.893.675.3
Allowed / game71.871.272.7
Point differential+15.0+22.4+2.7
Avg total158.5164.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game79.1100.070.8
Allowed / game78.165.583.2
Point differential+1.0+34.5-12.4
Avg total157.3165.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh87188%85.166.5+18.6
2 Clemson87188%79.462.9+16.5
3 Florida State87188%79.164.0+15.1
4 Wake Forest97278%69.465.6+3.9
5 SMU Mustangs86275%86.871.8+15.0
6 Stanford86275%79.568.9+10.6
7 California86275%81.574.5+7.0
8 Duke75271%80.758.6+22.1
9 Louisville75271%79.464.4+15.0
10 NC State75271%76.465.4+11.0
11 Virginia75271%62.158.7+3.4
12 Boston College96367%70.368.7+1.7
13 North Carolina74357%89.780.1+9.6
14 Georgia Tech74357%80.674.6+6.0
15 Syracuse74357%79.480.9-1.4
16 Notre Dame94544%74.871.2+3.6
17 Virginia Tech73443%69.370.1-0.9
18 Miami (FL)83538%82.474.4+8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama A&M Bulldogs94544%79.777.8+1.9
2 Southern Univ.73443%85.770.4+15.3
3 Alabama State73443%79.178.1+1.0
4 Grambling St.72529%72.370.3+2.0
5 Florida A&M72529%68.484.6-16.1
6 Texas Southern82625%73.082.1-9.1
7 Bethune-Cookman82625%65.675.9-10.2
8 Miss. Valley St.92722%53.182.1-29.0
9 Prairie View A&M71614%82.199.0-16.9
10 Arkansas-Pine Bluff91811%70.895.4-24.7
11 Alcorn State9090%55.081.6-26.6
12 Jackson State8080%61.187.9-26.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs4952101
Alabama State393372
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