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SMU Mustangs vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-69
36-28 41-41
Position#44
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game68.2
vs
Position#63
Record6-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Dayton
29 Nov 2023
SMU 63
DAYT65
08 Dec 2021
SMU 77
DAYT69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#303
W
86-62
86
62
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Oregon
#148
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
95-48
95
48
+47
H16/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H28/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H02/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-31
47-31
35-50
28-36
50-20
45-28
50-27
28-34
29-18
33-44
45-38
25-38
46-27
29-39
34-36
40-31
44-21
39-43
28-40
56-32
146.5Avg total
78.3Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.368.2146.5+10.170%
Season at home (8)80.664.5145.1+16.188%
Season away (2)69.083.0152.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)78.368.2146.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)77.269.0146.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.865.8137.5+6.050%
vs Weaker (19)77.267.0144.2+10.274%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A20/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
W
64-54
64
54
+10
H10/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
L
59-78
59
78
-19
H18/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A26/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
93-54
93
54
+39
H02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
79-41
79
41
+38
H04/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-27
0-0
32-44
0-0
25-32
0-0
39-22
0-0
21-28
0-0
37-31
0-0
28-38
0-0
31-40
0-0
46-38
0-0
35-49
0-0
36-25
0-0
40-35
0-0
35-45
0-0
39-28
0-0
31-27
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-23
0-0
57-31
0-0
41-22
0-0
38-19
134.5Avg total
70.7Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.963.0134.9+8.967%
Season at home (6)72.362.2134.5+10.250%
Season away (3)71.064.7135.7+6.3100%
Last 10 (10)70.763.8134.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)77.057.8134.8+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.767.0134.7+0.757%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.468.2140.6+4.275%
vs Weaker (10)72.264.7136.9+7.550%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +4.7+4.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.2+9.21st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +4.7+4.7
SMU MustangsDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#303
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Oregon
#148
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H16/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#149
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H19/11
NCAA
Missouri
#288
W
29-18
29
18
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H28/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#191
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H04/12
NCAA
70.8Avg total
40.0Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.565.9+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.129.868.9+9.383%-
Last 30 away (12)29.831.661.3-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.030.870.8+9.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.471.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.530.058.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.226.660.9+7.675%-
vs Weaker (19)36.231.367.5+4.968%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis
#1
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A20/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#225
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H10/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
21-28
21
28
-7
H13/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#249
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H18/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#262
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Kansas
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Belmont
#24
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H02/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H04/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
32.7Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.831.463.2+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.430.864.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)30.132.162.2-2.157%-
Last 10 (10)32.730.563.2+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.828.464.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.731.962.6-1.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.832.463.2-1.642%-
vs Weaker (10)34.230.364.5+3.970%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
05/12/20Dayton v SMU Mustangs64-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HVanderbilt84-72
02/12/21HUNLV83-64
28/11/21HLouisiana Monroe74-67
25/11/21HSam Houston St.75-66
22/11/21HLoyola Marymount70-76
22/11/21AMissouri75-80 OT
19/11/21HSE Louisiana78-61
16/11/21HNorthwestern St.95-48
13/11/21AOregon63-86
10/11/21HMcNeese State86-62
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HNorthern Illinois79-41
02/12/21HAlabama State93-54
28/11/21ABelmont63-61
26/11/21AKansas74-73
25/11/21AMiami (FL)76-60
20/11/21HAustin Peay81-87
18/11/21HLipscomb59-78
13/11/21HUMass Lowell58-59
10/11/21HIllinois (Chi.)64-54
20/03/21AMemphis60-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW70%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %70%88%0%
Points / game78.380.669.0
Allowed / game68.264.583.0
Point differential+10.1+16.1-14.0
Avg total146.5145.1152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%50%
Dayton
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game71.972.371.0
Allowed / game63.062.264.7
Point differential+8.9+10.2+6.3
Avg total134.9134.5135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest98189%81.867.0+14.8
2 Duke87188%83.165.4+17.8
3 North Carolina86275%81.273.1+8.1
4 Louisville86275%70.865.1+5.6
5 NC State86275%79.974.2+5.6
6 SMU Mustangs107370%78.368.2+10.1
7 Miami (FL)107370%73.271.4+1.8
8 Virginia Tech96367%69.256.3+12.9
9 Boston College96367%68.359.8+8.6
10 Florida State85362%72.466.8+5.6
11 Georgia Tech85362%72.968.2+4.6
12 Virginia106460%61.055.8+5.2
13 Stanford74357%69.670.1-0.6
14 Clemson95456%73.665.1+8.4
15 Syracuse95456%77.877.8+0.0
16 California94544%64.966.6-1.7
17 Notre Dame73443%69.066.7+2.3
18 Pittsburgh82625%60.266.0-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Bonaventure98189%74.966.0+8.9
2 Loyola Chicago108280%79.961.4+18.5
3 Davidson86275%74.864.1+10.6
4 St. Louis Billikens107370%83.667.4+16.2
5 Rhode Island107370%70.162.8+7.3
6 Dayton96367%71.963.0+8.9
7 Fordham106460%73.869.6+4.2
8 Richmond Spiders95456%74.872.0+2.8
9 VCU Rams95456%58.356.9+1.4
10 Saint Josephs Hawks95456%71.171.7-0.6
11 George Mason105550%72.667.4+5.2
12 La Salle84450%69.969.8+0.1
13 Duquesne103730%70.073.8-3.8
14 George Washington113827%64.970.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs364177
Dayton284169
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