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East Carolina vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-72
40-32 37-40
Position#220
Record11-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#327
Record8-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.2
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · East Carolina v SMU Mustangs
13 Jan 2024
EAST64
SMU 75
04 Feb 2023
EAST77
SMU 72
12 Feb 2022
EAST66
SMU 80
08 Feb 2021
EAST56
SMU 71
11 Jan 2020
EAST71
SMU 68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#210
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H29/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A31/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H05/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
55-83
55
83
-28
A12/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H15/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
58-73
58
73
-15
A19/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H29/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-22
34-37
39-35
40-34
27-25
34-39
33-25
26-44
25-38
30-45
31-34
39-47
33-28
25-45
27-32
49-34
28-49
44-36
30-44
33-27
137.0Avg total
65.0Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.270.0139.3-0.848%
Season at home (13)72.568.5141.0+3.962%
Season away (10)65.072.0137.0-7.030%
Last 10 (10)65.072.0137.0-7.020%
Last 5 (5)67.875.2143.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)67.274.7141.9-7.518%
vs Similar ◀ (11)65.767.4133.1-1.645%
vs Weaker (8)72.564.6137.1+7.988%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H01/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
53-87
53
87
-34
A06/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
53-85
53
85
-32
A08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
88-97
88
97
-9
H12/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A19/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
84-99
84
99
-15
A27/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
82-80
82
80
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-36
49-31
23-49
30-38
25-34
28-51
33-34
55-63
27-29
25-25
28-28
36-36
29-25
40-46
32-50
52-49
45-33
37-47
28-39
24-35
149.4Avg total
70.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.274.1143.3-4.935%
Season at home (14)72.171.0143.1+1.143%
Season away (9)64.678.9143.4-14.322%
Last 10 (10)70.479.0149.4-8.630%
Last 5 (5)73.280.0153.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.878.2144.9-11.416%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.864.0135.8+7.860%
vs Weaker (5)76.663.2139.8+13.4100%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.6-3.61st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: -3.4-3.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
East CarolinaSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#210
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A31/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H05/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A12/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H15/01
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A19/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H25/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H29/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A02/02
NCAA
62.8Avg total
29.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.933.165.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.633.164.7-1.438%-
Last 30 away (14)32.133.265.4-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)29.633.262.8-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)29.837.467.2-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.535.567.0-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.930.862.7+1.145%-
vs Weaker (8)32.433.065.4-0.638%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#361
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A06/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A08/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H12/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H14/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A19/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H22/01
NCAA
Memphis
#42
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
South Florida
#249
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H29/01
NCAA
Tulane
#89
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.3Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.133.664.7-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (20)32.132.264.3-0.145%-
Last 30 away (10)28.936.565.4-7.620%-
Last 10 (10)31.335.767.0-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.067.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.535.766.2-5.232%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)30.229.259.4+1.040%-
vs Weaker (5)33.231.865.0+1.440%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
East Carolina wins
4
SMU Mustangs wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23ASouth Florida63-71
29/01/23HWichita State72-85
25/01/23HTulsa76-66
19/01/23ATemple58-73
15/01/23HSouth Florida70-81
12/01/23ACincinnati55-83
07/01/23AMemphis59-69
05/01/23HUCF Knights61-64
31/12/22AWichita State79-69
29/12/22HTemple57-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23ATulane52-74
29/01/23HSouth Florida82-80
27/01/23AMemphis84-99
22/01/23HWichita State69-71
19/01/23ATulsa79-76 OT
14/01/23HCincinnati52-54
12/01/23HTulane88-97
08/01/23AUCF Knights53-85
06/01/23AHouston53-87
01/01/23HTulsa92-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeLLLWL62%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%62%30%
Points / game69.272.565.0
Allowed / game70.068.572.0
Point differential-0.8+3.9-7.0
Avg total139.3141.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeWLLLW43%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %35%43%22%
Points / game69.272.164.6
Allowed / game74.171.078.9
Point differential-4.9+1.1-14.3
Avg total143.3143.1143.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic2321291%77.464.5+12.9
2 North Texas2318578%61.854.7+7.0
3 Memphis2317674%80.273.0+7.3
4 UAB2316770%82.270.7+11.5
5 Tulane2215768%81.474.9+6.5
6 Rice2215768%79.073.3+5.7
7 Temple2314961%69.468.1+1.3
8 Charlotte2213959%67.461.4+6.0
9 Wichita State22111150%68.066.1+1.9
10 East Carolina23111248%69.270.0-0.8
11 South Florida23101343%72.370.7+1.6
12 UTSA Roadrunners2471729%67.574.4-6.9
13 Tulsa2151624%68.676.5-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2117481%70.360.9+9.5
2 NC State2419579%79.669.5+10.0
3 Clemson2418675%73.867.1+6.7
4 Duke2216673%72.963.7+9.2
5 Pittsburgh2316770%73.968.0+5.9
6 North Carolina2215768%78.571.7+6.8
7 Wake Forest2415962%77.472.7+4.7
8 Virginia Tech2314961%73.967.5+6.4
9 Syracuse23131057%74.470.6+3.9
10 Miami (FL)46252154%76.172.8+3.3
11 Boston College23111248%65.769.1-3.3
12 Stanford22101245%68.965.5+3.4
13 Notre Dame23101343%70.472.0-1.5
14 Georgia Tech2381535%67.171.2-4.1
15 SMU Mustangs2381535%69.274.1-4.9
16 Florida State2481633%70.175.3-5.2
17 California2231914%59.668.3-8.7
18 Louisville2332013%63.474.7-11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Carolina403777
SMU Mustangs324072
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