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SMU Mustangs vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 74-64
27-33 47-31
Position#58
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game69.7
vs
Position#255
Record8-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v LSU
14 Dec 2024
SMU 74
LSU64
24 Mar 2014
SMU 80
LSU67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#308
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
102-73
102
73
+29
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
51-28
45-34
51-29
51-44
41-35
40-33
33-36
37-45
51-46
59-23
38-33
41-51
45-32
34-45
27-31
50-29
49-39
52-33
30-28
33-23
155.5Avg total
85.8Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.869.7155.5+16.180%
Season at home (7)90.368.4158.7+21.986%
Season away (3)75.372.7148.0+2.767%
Last 10 (10)85.869.7155.5+16.180%
Last 5 (5)79.868.8148.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)75.073.5148.5+1.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.370.0151.3+11.376%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H19/03
NIT
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H10/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A15/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H20/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H22/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
109-102 OT
109
102
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H08/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-38
0-0
46-46
0-0
50-27
0-0
45-33
0-0
26-32
0-0
48-29
0-0
43-31
0-0
33-34
0-0
29-34
0-0
48-34
0-0
28-27
0-0
35-47
0-0
25-40
0-0
45-30
0-0
25-26
0-0
52-27
0-0
32-35
0-0
53-40
0-0
42-27
0-0
38-44
152.6Avg total
81.3Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.869.9151.7+11.989%
Season at home (8)82.570.5153.0+12.088%
Season away (1)76.065.0141.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.371.3152.6+10.080%
Last 5 (5)82.875.0157.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.789.9167.6-12.114%
vs Similar (16)76.872.2149.0+4.669%
vs Weaker (6)84.065.5149.5+18.5100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +7.9+7.9
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +7.9+7.9
SMU MustangsLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarleton
#308
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/12
NCAA
75.3Avg total
41.6Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.133.271.3+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.632.271.9+7.488%-
Last 30 away (13)36.134.470.5+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)41.633.775.3+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)37.832.670.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.233.871.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.932.670.5+5.376%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#15
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H19/03
NIT
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H10/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#329
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H20/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H22/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#153
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H08/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.1Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.468.8-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.232.066.2+2.250%-
Last 30 away (10)34.739.374.0-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)33.131.764.8+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.344.478.7-10.114%-
vs Similar (16)33.332.365.6+1.044%-
vs Weaker (6)37.827.865.7+10.067%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
SMU Mustangs wins
0
LSU wins
DateGameScore
25/03/14SMU Mustangs v LSU80-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HVirginia63-51
04/12/24HAlabama State101-72
28/11/24AWashington State77-60
27/11/24ACalifornia Baptist79-77
23/11/24HMississippi St.79-84
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69
16/11/24AButler70-81
12/11/24HNC Greensboro81-68
08/11/24HFlorida A&M102-73
05/11/24HTarleton96-62
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HFlorida Gulf Coast80-71
04/12/24HFlorida State85-75
30/11/24HNorthwestern St.77-53
24/11/24HUCF Knights109-102 OT
22/11/24HPittsburgh63-74
20/11/24HCharleston Southern77-68
15/11/24AKansas State76-65
10/11/24HAlabama State74-61
07/11/24HLouisiana Monroe95-60
19/03/24HNorth Texas77-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game85.890.375.3
Allowed / game69.768.472.7
Point differential+16.1+21.9+2.7
Avg total155.5158.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
LSU
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW89%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %89%88%100%
Points / game81.882.576.0
Allowed / game69.970.565.0
Point differential+11.9+12.0+11.0
Avg total151.7153.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh119282%81.667.0+14.6
2 Clemson119282%77.564.6+12.8
3 Duke108280%79.759.9+19.8
4 SMU Mustangs108280%85.869.7+16.1
5 Stanford108280%80.269.5+10.7
6 Wake Forest118373%67.464.8+2.5
7 Florida State107370%78.268.1+10.1
8 NC State117464%73.166.0+7.1
9 California117464%81.576.3+5.3
10 Louisville106460%76.168.7+7.4
11 Virginia106460%61.460.2+1.2
12 Boston College106460%69.969.0+0.9
13 North Carolina95456%86.180.0+6.1
14 Notre Dame116555%74.570.0+4.5
15 Syracuse105550%79.379.5-0.2
16 Georgia Tech94544%76.774.0+2.7
17 Virginia Tech104640%70.370.2+0.1
18 Miami (FL)103730%77.673.5+4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee990100%82.457.2+25.2
2 Florida10100100%86.265.1+21.1
3 Oklahoma990100%81.766.0+15.7
4 Missouri109190%89.366.2+23.1
5 Auburn109190%87.465.7+21.7
6 Kentucky109190%91.170.3+20.8
7 Vanderbilt109190%83.569.5+14.0
8 Georgia98189%82.364.4+17.9
9 Ole Miss98189%83.366.2+17.1
10 Mississippi St.98189%86.269.2+17.0
11 LSU98189%81.869.9+11.9
12 Texas A&M119282%74.665.0+9.6
13 Texas108280%80.263.4+16.8
14 Arkansas108280%80.466.5+13.9
15 Alabama97278%89.278.1+11.1
16 South Carolina107370%74.965.8+9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs274774
LSU333164
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