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SMU Mustangs vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 85-61
45-25 40-36
Position#58
Record16-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#127
Record15-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
98-82
98
82
+16
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
62-89
62
89
-27
H04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
117-74
117
74
+43
A18/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
73-98
73
98
-25
H22/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
76-65
76
65
+11
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-40
56-37
45-43
53-39
32-41
30-48
24-39
43-43
50-19
43-52
27-25
27-27
60-26
57-48
27-50
46-48
34-26
29-31
39-29
37-36
155.3Avg total
80.6Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.871.8154.6+11.076%
Season at home (13)85.272.9158.2+12.377%
Season away (8)78.870.0148.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)80.674.7155.3+5.970%
Last 5 (5)76.669.2145.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar (7)77.781.4159.1-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.170.0153.1+13.281%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H22/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A01/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
68-83
68
83
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H11/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H26/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
19-36
42-40
41-43
30-42
30-38
38-45
25-30
45-29
40-30
48-35
35-33
32-47
35-36
37-35
37-21
51-30
33-25
45-46
33-24
37-37
143.5Avg total
73.3Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.669.8146.4+6.971%
Season at home (15)78.166.4144.5+11.780%
Season away (6)73.078.2151.2-5.250%
Last 10 (10)73.370.2143.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)75.066.8141.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.975.6144.4-6.733%
vs Similar (14)75.676.6152.3-1.050%
vs Weaker (7)80.059.4139.4+20.6100%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
SMU MustangsStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NCAA
Longwood
#151
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H29/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
50-19
50
19
+31
H11/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A16/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
60-26
60
26
+34
A18/01
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H22/01
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A25/01
NCAA
California
#268
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H30/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
38.5Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.372.8+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.034.474.4+5.676%-
Last 30 away (13)36.534.270.7+2.446%-
Last 10 (10)38.533.872.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.268.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (7)35.938.374.1-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)39.232.471.6+6.871%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#52
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H22/12
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A01/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H09/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A18/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H26/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/01
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.468.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.629.464.9+6.278%-
Last 30 away (12)34.739.474.1-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)32.831.664.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.862.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.037.971.9-3.944%-
vs Similar (14)36.134.670.7+1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)34.925.360.1+9.686%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Stanford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HCalifornia76-65
25/01/25ANC State63-57
22/01/25HLouisville73-98
18/01/25AMiami (FL)117-74
16/01/25AVirginia54-52
11/01/25HGeorgia Tech93-71
08/01/25ANorth Carolina67-82
04/01/25HDuke62-89
29/12/24HLongwood98-82
21/12/24ABoston College103-77
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25HSyracuse70-61
26/01/25HFlorida State78-71
23/01/25HMiami (FL)88-51
18/01/25ANorth Carolina72-71
15/01/25AWake Forest67-80
11/01/25HVirginia88-65
09/01/25HVirginia Tech70-59
04/01/25APittsburgh68-83
01/01/25AClemson71-85
22/12/24HOregon61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW76%
HomeWLWLW77%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21138
Win %76%77%75%
Points / game82.885.278.8
Allowed / game71.872.970.0
Point differential+11.0+12.3+8.8
Avg total154.6158.2148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%77%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stanford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21156
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game76.678.173.0
Allowed / game69.866.478.2
Point differential+6.9+11.7-5.2
Avg total146.4144.5151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2018290%80.059.5+20.4
2 Clemson2218482%77.066.1+10.8
3 SMU Mustangs2116576%82.871.8+11.0
4 Louisville2216673%78.669.6+9.0
5 Wake Forest2216673%69.766.2+3.5
6 Stanford2115671%76.669.8+6.9
7 Pittsburgh2114767%79.670.9+8.7
8 Florida State2213959%77.271.4+5.8
9 North Carolina2213959%81.776.2+5.5
10 California21111052%75.775.6+0.1
11 Notre Dame20101050%74.770.4+4.2
12 Boston College21101148%71.075.3-4.3
13 Georgia Tech22101245%74.573.2+1.3
14 Virginia22101245%63.365.2-1.9
15 Virginia Tech22101245%70.072.6-2.6
16 NC State2191243%69.767.3+2.4
17 Syracuse2191243%74.277.6-3.4
18 Miami (FL)2141719%75.480.7-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs454085
Stanford253661
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