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SMU Mustangs vs Longwood Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 98-82
45-43 53-39
Position#58
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#151
Record11-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game66.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Longwood winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
101-72
101
72
+29
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
103-77
103
77
+26
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
40-33
33-36
37-45
51-46
59-23
38-33
41-51
45-32
34-45
27-31
50-29
49-39
52-33
30-28
33-23
27-33
47-31
47-40
56-37
154.0Avg total
83.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.269.8156.1+16.483%
Season at home (8)88.267.9156.1+20.488%
Season away (4)82.273.8156.0+8.575%
Last 10 (10)83.770.3154.0+13.480%
Last 5 (5)83.664.8148.4+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)77.375.1152.4+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)82.770.8153.5+11.977%
This opponent (Longwood) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LongwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#227
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A19/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A22/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A24/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A25/11
NCAA
Regent University
#586
W
108-55
108
55
+53
H01/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#633
W
97-40
97
40
+57
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A19/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
33-25
43-43
46-38
28-37
41-47
36-44
28-36
46-33
62-22
39-40
41-36
49-16
48-24
34-34
36-43
34-20
43-35
36-27
46-40
147.7Avg total
80.2Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.966.6145.6+12.379%
Season at home (8)82.263.2145.5+19.088%
Season away (6)74.571.2145.7+3.367%
Last 10 (10)80.267.5147.7+12.770%
Last 5 (5)81.263.0144.2+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)57.585.0142.5-27.50%
vs Similar (16)76.970.9147.9+6.081%
vs Weaker (11)78.468.9147.3+9.545%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +7.8+7.8
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: +4.9+4.92nd half2nd half: +9.9+9.92nd half: +7.8+7.8
SMU MustangsLongwood
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#364
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/11
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A28/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H04/12
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H07/12
NCAA
LSU
#255
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H14/12
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NCAA
74.1Avg total
38.8Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.334.072.3+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.432.872.1+6.682%-
Last 30 away (13)36.935.672.5+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.374.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)37.435.172.6+2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)38.133.471.5+4.773%-
This opponent (Longwood) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LongwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#227
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A19/11
NCAA
UAB
#91
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#20
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A24/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Regent University
#586
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H01/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H06/12
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#633
W
49-16
49
16
+33
H08/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/12
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
34-20
34
20
+14
A19/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A21/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.8Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.434.769.1-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.132.969.0+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)32.936.269.2-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.832.970.7+4.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.427.465.8+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)22.040.062.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (16)34.933.368.2+1.656%-
vs Weaker (11)35.836.272.0-0.436%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Longwood wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24ABoston College103-77
14/12/24HLSU74-64
07/12/24HVirginia63-51
04/12/24HAlabama State101-72
28/11/24AWashington State77-60
27/11/24ACalifornia Baptist79-77
23/11/24HMississippi St.79-84
19/11/24HPrairie View A&M110-69
16/11/24AButler70-81
12/11/24HNC Greensboro81-68
Longwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AN. Carolina Central82-67
19/12/24ACampbell77-55
14/12/24HN. Carolina Central70-77
08/12/24HMary Baldwin97-40
06/12/24HMd.-East. Shore80-76
01/12/24HRegent University108-55
25/11/24AKansas State64-80
24/11/24AMcNeese State69-84
22/11/24AUAB89-81
19/11/24ABinghamton66-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %83%88%75%
Points / game86.288.282.2
Allowed / game69.867.973.8
Point differential+16.4+20.4+8.5
Avg total156.1156.1156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%88%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Longwood
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW79%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%88%67%
Points / game78.982.274.5
Allowed / game66.663.271.2
Point differential+12.3+19.0+3.3
Avg total145.6145.5145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1210283%78.958.5+20.4
2 SMU Mustangs1210283%86.269.8+16.4
3 Pittsburgh1210283%84.067.9+16.1
4 Clemson1310377%77.966.5+11.5
5 Stanford129375%78.169.9+8.2
6 Florida State139469%78.269.2+9.1
7 Wake Forest139469%67.564.9+2.6
8 NC State128467%74.465.8+8.7
9 Louisville138562%78.071.7+6.3
10 Boston College138562%71.371.7-0.4
11 Notre Dame127558%75.869.3+6.5
12 North Carolina127558%85.779.2+6.4
13 California127558%78.975.8+3.1
14 Virginia127558%61.660.3+1.2
15 Syracuse126650%77.378.8-1.4
16 Georgia Tech136746%76.173.1+3.0
17 Virginia Tech125742%70.471.3-0.9
18 Miami (FL)124833%78.774.0+4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point1412286%77.963.9+13.9
2 Longwood1411379%78.966.6+12.3
3 Winthrop1410471%86.274.1+12.1
4 Radford1510567%75.171.0+4.1
5 UNC Asheville138562%83.974.5+9.5
6 Presbyterian147750%79.469.4+10.1
7 Gardner Webb135838%74.278.2-3.9
8 USC Upstate1541127%75.581.5-6.0
9 Charleston Southern1541127%72.979.3-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs455398
Longwood433982
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