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SMU Mustangs vs Texas A&M Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-80 (OT)
41-27 36-50 16-3
Position#129
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#82
Record7-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · SMU Mustangs v Texas A&M
07 Dec 2025
SMU 93
TEXA80
14 Nov 2023
SMU 66
TEXA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas A&M winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H23/03
NIT
Tarleton
#255
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
89-72
89
72
+17
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
W
87-81 OT
87
81
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A04/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
41-40
0-0
42-45
0-0
48-38
0-0
48-38
0-0
32-28
0-0
37-30
0-0
49-42
0-0
53-49
0-0
38-43
0-0
49-42
0-0
45-26
0-0
61-34
0-0
50-30
0-0
50-39
0-0
46-38
0-0
43-34
0-0
39-43
0-0
35-31
0-0
38-48
0-0
31-40
165.3Avg total
88.8Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.475.6165.0+13.989%
Season at home (7)92.773.0165.7+19.7100%
Season away (2)78.084.5162.5-6.550%
Last 10 (10)88.876.5165.3+12.380%
Last 5 (5)90.274.0164.2+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.088.0157.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.975.4154.3+3.550%
vs Weaker (18)82.070.1152.1+11.983%
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas A&MUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
L
79-91
79
91
-12
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
98-68
98
68
+30
H04/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
104-70
104
70
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
63-87
63
87
-24
A09/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H15/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H19/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
109-68
109
68
+41
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
120-84
120
84
+36
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
95-59
95
59
+36
A28/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-35
40-56
56-35
42-33
41-36
63-34
29-43
34-44
30-30
44-56
45-31
41-50
55-27
54-41
52-35
68-49
52-24
43-35
35-33
46-40
167.6Avg total
90.9Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)92.275.1167.3+17.178%
Season at home (6)98.576.2174.7+22.383%
Season away (3)79.773.0152.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)90.976.7167.6+14.270%
Last 5 (5)98.273.0171.2+25.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.874.6148.4-0.860%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.574.5148.9+0.046%
vs Weaker (12)86.771.4158.1+15.283%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +10.5+10.52nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: +3.7+3.7
SMU MustangsTexas A&M
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma State
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/03
NIT
Tarleton
#255
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#257
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A04/12
NCAA
80.2Avg total
42.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.933.672.5+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.933.773.7+6.278%-
Last 30 away (12)37.233.570.8+3.842%-
Last 10 (10)42.637.680.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.637.080.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.048.086.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.135.872.9+1.360%-
vs Weaker (18)40.231.771.9+8.567%-
This opponent (Texas A&M) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas A&MLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan
#44
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#331
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A09/11
NCAA
UCF Knights
#92
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H15/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H26/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A28/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A03/12
NCAA
76.3Avg total
43.4Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.670.6+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.433.171.5+5.358%-
Last 30 away (11)34.634.569.1+0.245%-
Last 10 (10)43.432.976.3+10.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.830.077.8+17.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.834.671.4+2.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.934.167.0-1.238%-
vs Weaker (12)41.632.774.2+8.967%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
2
Texas A&M wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23SMU Mustangs v Texas A&M66-79
01/12/22Texas A&M v SMU Mustangs83-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AVanderbilt69-88
29/11/25AMississippi St.87-81 OT
25/11/25HRadford89-72
22/11/25HArkansas State100-69
19/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-60
15/11/25HButler87-85
12/11/25HMurray State102-91
07/11/25HTexas A&M-CC69-58
04/11/25HTarleton96-76
23/03/25HOklahoma State83-85
Texas A&Mlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25APittsburgh81-73
28/11/25AFlorida State95-59
26/11/25HMiss. Valley St.120-84
22/11/25HManhattan109-68
19/11/25HMontana86-81
15/11/25HUCF Knights74-86
09/11/25AOklahoma State63-87
07/11/25HTexas Southern104-70
04/11/25HNorthwestern St.98-68
22/03/25HMichigan79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%100%50%
Points / game89.492.778.0
Allowed / game75.673.084.5
Point differential+13.9+19.7-6.5
Avg total165.0165.7162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%86%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%50%
Texas A&M
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %78%83%67%
Points / game92.298.579.7
Allowed / game75.176.273.0
Point differential+17.1+22.3+6.7
Avg total167.3174.7152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 Louisville98189%93.867.6+26.2
3 SMU Mustangs98189%89.475.6+13.9
4 California98189%81.968.9+13.0
5 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
6 Miami (FL)108280%85.665.3+20.3
7 Virginia108280%84.172.1+12.0
8 Virginia Tech108280%82.073.6+8.4
9 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
10 Stanford97278%81.972.2+9.7
11 Wake Forest107370%84.272.7+11.5
12 Notre Dame107370%76.669.4+7.2
13 NC State96367%89.275.8+13.4
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
16 Florida State95456%84.278.4+5.8
17 Boston College105550%70.066.6+3.4
18 Pittsburgh105550%71.869.3+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt990100%96.873.0+23.8
2 Georgia98189%99.971.2+28.7
3 LSU98189%88.469.9+18.6
4 Missouri108280%87.470.1+17.3
5 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
6 Arkansas97278%87.671.0+16.6
7 Alabama97278%95.179.2+15.9
8 Tennessee107370%80.966.0+14.9
9 Auburn107370%85.976.7+9.2
10 Texas96367%88.473.7+14.8
11 South Carolina96367%81.169.7+11.4
12 Oklahoma96367%84.775.0+9.7
13 Florida85362%83.471.9+11.5
14 Kentucky95456%83.667.0+16.6
15 Ole Miss95456%75.368.0+7.3
16 Mississippi St.95456%80.176.8+3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
SMU Mustangs41361693
Texas A&M2750380
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