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SMU Mustangs vs Radford Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 89-72
46-38 43-34
Position#129
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#176
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

SMU Mustangs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Radford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
73-53
73
53
+20
H13/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A14/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#24
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H20/03
NIT
Oklahoma State
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H23/03
NIT
Tarleton
#255
W
96-76
96
76
+20
H04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
106-60
106
60
+46
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
100-69
100
69
+31
H22/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-28
0-0
42-25
0-0
27-28
0-0
27-29
0-0
33-32
0-0
40-31
0-0
41-40
0-0
42-45
0-0
48-38
0-0
48-38
0-0
32-28
0-0
37-30
0-0
49-42
0-0
53-49
0-0
38-43
0-0
49-42
0-0
45-26
0-0
61-34
0-0
50-30
0-0
50-39
154.0Avg total
84.3Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.373.2166.5+20.2100%
Season at home (6)93.373.2166.5+20.2100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.369.7154.0+14.680%
Last 5 (5)92.872.6165.4+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.089.0151.0-27.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.875.8153.6+2.044%
vs Weaker (19)83.770.5154.2+13.284%
This opponent (Radford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H01/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
H07/03
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H04/11
NCAA
West Virginia Wesleyan
#538
W
99-61
99
61
+38
H08/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
74-89
74
89
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
92-59
92
59
+33
A15/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
58-87
58
87
-29
A19/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
36-31
37-23
28-42
34-36
39-40
36-30
44-45
51-27
48-34
31-44
43-45
35-27
57-32
49-36
33-51
25-40
33-47
27-31
46-50
152.5Avg total
78.1Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.777.0156.7+2.743%
Season at home (3)84.072.3156.3+11.767%
Season away (4)76.580.5157.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)78.174.4152.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)75.880.6156.4-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.477.8147.2-8.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.471.8147.2+3.654%
vs Weaker (11)74.670.1144.7+4.564%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: -1.0-1.0
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: -1.0-1.0
SMU MustangsRadford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H13/03
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#24
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H20/03
NIT
Oklahoma State
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/03
NIT
Tarleton
#255
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#163
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H07/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#280
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H19/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H22/11
NCAA
72.9Avg total
39.4Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.933.572.4+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.534.473.8+5.174%-
Last 30 away (11)37.931.969.8+6.055%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.572.9+5.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.876.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.041.073.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.135.671.7+0.656%-
vs Weaker (19)40.932.273.1+8.774%-
This opponent (Radford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RadfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H07/03
NCAA
High Point
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H04/11
NCAA
West Virginia Wesleyan
#538
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H08/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A12/11
NCAA
Wright State
#94
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A15/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#303
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#278
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A19/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H22/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
36.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.331.567.8+4.863%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.329.568.8+9.871%-
Last 30 away (16)33.633.266.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)36.532.368.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.435.669.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)28.635.263.8-6.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.430.566.8+5.969%-
vs Weaker (11)38.331.569.7+6.882%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
SMU Mustangs wins
0
Radford wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HArkansas State100-69
19/11/25HArkansas-Pine Bluff106-60
15/11/25HButler87-85
12/11/25HMurray State102-91
07/11/25HTexas A&M-CC69-58
04/11/25HTarleton96-76
23/03/25HOklahoma State83-85
20/03/25HNorthern Iowa73-63
14/03/25AClemson54-57
13/03/25HSyracuse73-53
Radfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HNC Wilmington73-81
19/11/25ASouth Carolina58-87
16/11/25ACleveland State82-87
15/11/25AWright State92-59
12/11/25ANorth Carolina74-89
08/11/25HWest Virginia Wesleyan99-61
04/11/25HWestern Illinois80-75
08/03/25AHigh Point73-76
07/03/25HPresbyterian74-69 OT
01/03/25HCharleston Southern76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games66-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.393.3-
Allowed / game73.273.2-
Point differential+20.2+20.2-
Avg total166.5166.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%83%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Radford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game79.784.076.5
Allowed / game77.072.380.5
Point differential+2.7+11.7-4.0
Avg total156.7156.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke770100%93.657.0+36.6
2 Louisville660100%95.565.7+29.8
3 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
4 SMU Mustangs660100%93.373.2+20.2
5 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
6 Clemson76186%84.364.9+19.4
7 Miami (FL)65183%92.264.3+27.8
8 California65183%85.269.2+16.0
9 Georgia Tech65183%72.863.5+9.3
10 NC State54180%95.472.8+22.6
11 Syracuse54180%80.058.2+21.8
12 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
13 Stanford54180%83.871.6+12.2
14 Virginia75271%81.972.9+9.0
15 Notre Dame64267%79.868.2+11.7
16 Wake Forest64267%85.775.2+10.5
17 Pittsburgh74357%72.166.6+5.6
18 Boston College73443%70.166.4+3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point76186%93.969.7+24.1
2 Charleston Southern74357%84.380.3+4.0
3 Winthrop63350%84.276.2+8.0
4 Longwood63350%79.377.5+1.8
5 USC Upstate73443%81.369.3+12.0
6 Radford73443%79.777.0+2.7
7 UNC Asheville52340%76.473.2+3.2
8 Presbyterian83538%64.671.9-7.2
9 Gardner Webb6060%68.894.3-25.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
SMU Mustangs464389
Radford383472
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