Sodertalje W will host Visby W on 7 November 2026 in the Basketligan W, and the Pythia model names Sodertalje W the clear favourite, giving it a 99% chance of winning largely because the team has a 4-1 record, averages 73.2 points and allows 69.0, and sits in fifth place, while Visby W is 2-3, averages 74.8 and allows 76.4, and is eighth. Sodertalje W has won 1 of 2 home games, scoring 73.5 and conceding 68.5, and has won four of its last five, including a 78-71 victory over Onsala W away on 31 October, a 67-81 loss to Alvik W at home on 24 October, and a 64-63 win over Lulea W away on 18 October. Visby W has won 1 of 3 road games, scoring 77.3 and conceding 87.0, and has won two of its last five, with a 78-50 win over Brahe W at home on 31 October, a 94-66 win over Hogsbo W away on 24 October, and a 64-90 loss to Onsala W away on 17 October. In the last ten meetings Sodertalje W has won nine, most recently defeating Visby W 96-52 on 8 March 2026. The model projects an 88-61 score, 148.3 total points, a -18.5 line with a 77% chance of covering, and a 52% probability of the over on the 147.5 total, with no chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 73.2 | 69.0 | 142.2 | +4.2 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 73.5 | 68.5 | 142.0 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 73.0 | 69.3 | 142.3 | +3.7 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.3 | 75.2 | 146.5 | -3.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.2 | 69.0 | 142.2 | +4.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 66.1 | 82.0 | 148.1 | -15.9 | 25% |
| vs Similar (14) | 80.6 | 72.1 | 152.8 | +8.5 | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 88.0 | 60.0 | 148.0 | +28.0 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 74.8 | 76.4 | 151.2 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Season at home (2) | 71.0 | 60.5 | 131.5 | +10.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 77.3 | 87.0 | 164.3 | -9.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 64.5 | 82.0 | 146.5 | -17.5 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.8 | 76.4 | 151.2 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 58.7 | 90.4 | 149.1 | -31.7 | 4% |
| vs Similar (2) | 72.5 | 66.5 | 139.0 | +6.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 86.0 | 58.0 | 144.0 | +28.0 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.5 | 35.6 | 76.1 | +4.9 | 63% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 40.6 | 35.1 | 75.7 | +5.5 | 69% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.4 | 36.0 | 76.4 | +4.4 | 59% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.4 | 36.8 | 71.2 | -2.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 34.2 | 69.2 | +0.8 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 32.8 | 40.4 | 73.1 | -7.6 | 12% | 50% |
| vs Similar (14) | 42.2 | 36.2 | 78.4 | +6.0 | 71% | 71% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 45.1 | 29.8 | 74.9 | +15.4 | 100% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 29.5 | 42.9 | 72.3 | -13.4 | 17% | 37% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 30.0 | 40.3 | 70.3 | -10.3 | 27% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 28.9 | 45.5 | 74.4 | -16.5 | 7% | 47% |
| Last 10 (10) | 29.4 | 38.8 | 68.2 | -9.4 | 30% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 34.0 | 67.8 | -0.2 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (26) | 28.3 | 45.1 | 73.4 | -16.8 | 8% | 38% |
| vs Similar (2) | 33.5 | 29.0 | 62.5 | +4.5 | 50% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 41.0 | 27.5 | 68.5 | +13.5 | 100% | 50% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodertalje W -20.5 | 71.2% | 2.04 | 2.04 | - | - | - | - | +27.9pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje W -19.5 | 74.1% | 1.88 | 1.88 | - | - | - | - | +27.2pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje W -18.5 | 76.9% | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.87 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.83 | +26.9pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje W -17.5 | 79.4% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +25.5pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W -16.5 | 81.7% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | +24.3pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W -15.5 | 83.9% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +22.9pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W -14.5 | 85.9% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W -13.5 | 87.6% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +19.8pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W over 81.5 | 73.1% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | +16.6pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje W over 80.5 | 76.3% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +16.4pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje W over 79.5 | 79.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +15.9pp | Lost |
| Sodertalje W over 78.5 | 82.1% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +15.4pp | Lost |
| Visby W under 66.5 | 72.0% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +15.0pp | Won |
| Visby W under 67.5 | 75.2% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +14.9pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W over 77.5 | 84.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Lost |
| Visby W under 68.5 | 78.3% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Won |
| Visby W under 69.5 | 81.1% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +14.1pp | Won |
| Visby W under 70.5 | 83.7% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +13.0pp | Won |
| Sodertalje W win | 98.6% | 1.03 | 1.05 | 1.03 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | +10.3pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.2 | 18.8 | 46.8% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 19.7 | 6.1 | 30.7% | 18.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.1 | 12.8 | 71.1% | 12.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.3 | 16.8 | 46.8% | 33.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 18.9 | 4.8 | 30.7% | 14.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 12.1 | 71.1% | 12.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 | Sodertalje W v Visby W | 96-52 |
| 30/11/25 | Visby W v Sodertalje W | 44-107 |
| 12/01/25 | Sodertalje W v Visby W | 100-59 |
| 05/10/24 | Visby W v Sodertalje W | 48-82 |
| 13/01/24 | Visby W v Sodertalje W | 42-87 |
| 08/10/23 | Sodertalje W v Visby W | 94-43 |
| 05/03/23 | Sodertalje W v Visby W | 99-44 |
| 09/12/22 | Visby W v Sodertalje W | 72-127 |
| 20/02/22 | Sodertalje W v Visby W | 78-69 |
| 30/10/21 | Visby W v Sodertalje W | 75-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Onsala W | 78-71 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Alvik W | 67-81 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Lulea W | 64-63 |
| 09/10/26 | H | AIK Basket W | 80-56 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Uppsala W | 77-74 |
| 26/04/26 | A | Lulea W | 64-94 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Lulea W | 64-73 |
| 21/04/26 | A | Lulea W | 57-95 |
| 16/04/26 | A | Norrkoping W | 78-76 |
| 13/04/26 | H | Norrkoping W | 84-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Brahe W | 78-50 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 94-66 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Onsala W | 64-90 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Norrkoping W | 64-71 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Lulea W | 74-105 |
| 20/03/26 | H | Brahe W | 57-81 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Sodertalje W | 52-96 |
| 01/03/26 | H | Lund W | 48-86 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Hogsbo W | 63-89 |
| 15/02/26 | A | Norrkoping W | 51-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 80% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 73.2 | 73.5 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 69.0 | 68.5 | 69.3 |
| Point differential | +4.2 | +5.0 | +3.7 |
| Avg total | 142.2 | 142.0 | 142.3 |
| Over 147.5 | 60% | 50% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 40% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 74.8 | 71.0 | 77.3 |
| Allowed / game | 76.4 | 60.5 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | -1.6 | +10.5 | -9.7 |
| Avg total | 151.2 | 131.5 | 164.3 |
| Over 147.5 | 60% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 80.2 | 63.4 | +16.8 | |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 100% | 82.4 | 67.2 | +15.2 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 99.2 | 56.2 | +43.0 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 88.0 | 63.8 | +24.2 | |
| 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 73.2 | 69.0 | +4.2 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 80.0 | 79.2 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.6 | 73.6 | +5.0 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.8 | 76.4 | -1.6 | |
| 9 | AIK Basket W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 65.6 | 83.2 | -17.6 |
| 10 | Hogsbo W | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 60.3 | 86.2 | -25.8 |
| 11 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 58.4 | 76.2 | -17.8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 57.5 | 91.8 | -34.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 12 | 20 | 18 | 72 | |
| 11 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 54 |
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