Sollentuna vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 83-70

27-17 15-20 20-18 21-15

Position#11

Record2-1

FormLWW

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game73.0

Sollentuna 🏆

Aros Basket

Position#13

Record1-1

FormLLWWL

Points / game72.5

Allowed / game86.5

Superettan· Sollentuna Sporthall

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sollentuna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Aros Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sollentuna Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSollentuna

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

#10

65-68

-3

48avg 70

H20/09

Superettan

Blackeberg

#14

80-70

+10

73avg 70

H27/09

Superettan

Djurgarden

94-81

+13

89avg 70

A04/10

Superettan

19-7

13-21

21-19

12-21

12-19

27-17

24-12

17-22

22-16

24-16

25-34

23-15

152.7Avg total

79.7Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	79.7	73.0	152.7	+6.7	67%
Season at home (2)	72.5	69.0	141.5	+3.5	50%
Season away (1)	94.0	81.0	175.0	+13.0	100%
Last 10 (3)	79.7	73.0	152.7	+6.7	67%
Last 5 (3)	79.7	73.0	152.7	+6.7	67%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	94.0	81.0	175.0	+13.0	100%
vs Similar (1)	65.0	68.0	133.0	-3.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	80.0	70.0	150.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aros Basket Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBasket

Date

Competition

Blackeberg

#10

94-88

93avg 70

H19/03

Superettan

Huddinge

79-56

+23

82avg 70

H22/03

Superettan

Ockelbo

59-85

-26

44avg 70

A29/03

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

77-83

-6

61avg 70

A05/04

Superettan

Malbas

92-60

+32

82avg 70

A06/04

Superettan

Ockelbo

71-80

-9

60avg 70

H12/04

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

70-94

-24

56avg 70

A21/04

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

79-72

72avg 70

H25/04

Superettan

Wetterbygden Stars

76-66

+10

72avg 70

A27/09

Superettan

Fryshuset Basket

69-107

107

-38

64avg 70

A05/10

Superettan

18-26

31-23

20-24

25-15

26-18

13-11

16-18

24-9

14-25

16-24

16-17

13-19

17-19

13-25

18-17

29-22

28-12

14-17

26-13

24-18

15-18

14-22

23-15

19-25

12-25

18-27

22-20

18-22

19-25

17-17

22-20

21-10

19-12

12-13

19-26

26-15

13-26

26-34

16-24

14-23

155.7Avg total

76.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	72.5	86.5	159.0	-14.0	50%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	72.5	86.5	159.0	-14.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	79.1	155.7	-2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	83.8	156.8	-10.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	75.8	82.6	158.3	-6.8	33%
vs Similar (11)	77.1	77.5	154.5	-0.4	55%
vs Weaker (10)	83.4	80.1	163.5	+3.3	60%

This opponent (Sollentuna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SollentunaAros Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	17.7	14.0	31.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	15.5	13.0	28.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	17.7	14.0	31.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	17.7	14.0	31.7	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	19.0	7.0	26.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	12.0	19.0	31.0	-7.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.5	40.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	20.2	40.9	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.8	40.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.6	38.7	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	21.2	36.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.7	22.7	40.3	-5.0	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.6	18.7	39.4	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	13.0	21.0	34.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	27.0	17.0	44.0	+10.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.0	40.0	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	22.5	41.8	-3.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	21.3	38.7	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.6	40.0	-5.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	21.8	20.6	42.3	+1.2	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	18%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	50%	-

SollentunaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trelleborg

#10

32-28

H20/09

Superettan

Blackeberg

#14

39-36

H27/09

Superettan

Djurgarden

46-32

+14

A04/10

Superettan

71.0Avg total

39.0Scored

32.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	39.0	32.0	71.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	35.5	32.0	67.5	+3.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	46.0	32.0	78.0	+14.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	39.0	32.0	71.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 5 (3)	39.0	32.0	71.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	32.0	78.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	32.0	28.0	60.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Blackeberg

#10

49-49

H19/03

Superettan

Huddinge

39-29

+10

H22/03

Superettan

Ockelbo

30-49

-19

A29/03

Superettan

IK Eos

#11

30-44

-14

A05/04

Superettan

Malbas

42-29

+13

A06/04

Superettan

Ockelbo

29-40

-11

H12/04

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

30-52

-22

A21/04

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

36-42

-6

H25/04

Superettan

Wetterbygden Stars

31-25

A27/09

Superettan

Fryshuset Basket

39-60

-21

A05/10

Superettan

77.4Avg total

35.5Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	40.5	80.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	37.4	78.9	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.0	43.3	82.3	-4.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	41.9	77.4	-6.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	43.8	76.8	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	39.4	43.2	82.7	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	40.3	84.1	+3.5	50%	-

This opponent (Sollentuna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	22.5	15.5	38.0	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (1)	25.0	34.0	59.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	67%	-
Last 5 (3)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	34.0	59.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	24.0	12.0	36.0	+12.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.5	38.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	18.9	37.9	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.6	18.8	38.3	+0.8	56%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.9	19.2	38.1	-0.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (10)	17.0	20.5	37.5	-3.5	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	14.5	21.5	36.0	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 away (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-
Last 10 (3)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	21.0	33.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.5	17.1	36.6	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.8	39.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.0	38.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	16.8	20.6	37.3	-3.8	22%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.6	19.3	41.9	+3.3	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	37.0	37.0	74.0	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (1)	48.0	49.0	97.0	-1.0	0%	-
Last 10 (3)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	40.7	41.0	81.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	48.0	49.0	97.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (1)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	41.0	34.0	75.0	+7.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	38.8	76.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.3	37.4	74.6	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.7	40.1	78.8	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	37.2	78.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	36.3	39.3	75.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.0	37.5	75.5	+0.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.6	39.8	79.4	-0.2	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Sollentunatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sollentuna: 79.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀34%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game

50%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	18.3	47.4%	50.7%	36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.3	9.0	26.2%	30.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.3	63.9%	67.0%	15.3

They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 75.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀58%

🏀🏀🏀25%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game

50%

31%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	21.8	51.8%	50.7%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.9	6.2	25.9%	30.9%	18.6
🏀 Free throws	20.1	13.3	66.2%	67.0%	13.3

They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.0	48.7%	50.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	7.3	30.1%	30.9%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	12.3	64.9%	67.0%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.2	19.1	48.7%	50.7%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	8.8	29.9%	30.9%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.8	70.8%	67.0%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.9	21.7	53.2%	50.7%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	6.8	27.7%	30.9%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.3	69.0%	67.0%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.0	19.0	48.7%	50.7%	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	7.3	30.1%	30.9%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	12.3	64.9%	67.0%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.4	20.3	51.5%	50.7%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	7.9	27.8%	30.9%	23.6
🏀 Free throws	19.7	13.5	68.4%	67.0%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Sollentuna

WWL

Aros Basket

LWWLLWLLWW

#11

League position

#13

+8.6

Net rating

-3.7

101.6

Offensive rating

96.1

93.0

Defensive rating

99.8

43.6%

Effective FG%

47.1%

47.4%

Opp. effective FG%

47.1%

17.7%

Turnover %

19.4%

39.4%

Off. rebound %

28.9%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.30

26.2%

3-point %

25.9%

78.0%

Assist %

61.1%

67%

Form (last 3/10)

50%

Profile

■ Sollentuna ■ Aros Basket

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sollentuna wins

Aros Basket wins

No previous meetings.

Sollentunalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/10/25	A	Djurgarden	94-81
27/09/25	H	Blackeberg	80-70
20/09/25	H	Trelleborg	65-68

Aros Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/10/25	A	Fryshuset Basket	69-107
27/09/25	A	Wetterbygden Stars	76-66
25/04/25	H	KFUM Fryshuset	79-72
21/04/25	A	KFUM Fryshuset	70-94
12/04/25	H	Ockelbo	71-80
06/04/25	A	Malbas	92-60
05/04/25	A	IK Eos	77-83
29/03/25	A	Ockelbo	59-85
22/03/25	H	Huddinge	79-56
19/03/25	H	Blackeberg	94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sollentuna

Superettan 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWW	67%
Home	LW	50%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	67%	50%	100%
Points / game	79.7	72.5	94.0
Allowed / game	73.0	69.0	81.0
Point differential	+6.7	+3.5	+13.0
Avg total	152.7	141.5	175.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	50%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Aros Basket

Superettan 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WL	50%
Home	-	-
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	50%	-	50%
Points / game	72.5	-	72.5
Allowed / game	86.5	-	86.5
Point differential	-14.0	-	-14.0
Avg total	159.0	-	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	-	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fryshuset Basket	5	5	0	100%	93.2	77.6	+15.6
2	Ockelbo	4	3	1	75%	75.2	74.2	+1.0
3	Malbas	3	2	1	67%	93.0	78.7	+14.3
4	Alvik	3	2	1	67%	88.3	76.3	+12.0
5	Sollentuna	3	2	1	67%	79.7	73.0	+6.7
6	Djurgarden	5	3	2	60%	86.6	77.4	+9.2
7	IK Eos	2	1	1	50%	74.5	71.0	+3.5
8	Eskilstuna	4	2	2	50%	84.5	86.8	-2.2
9	Trelleborg	4	2	2	50%	75.5	80.0	-4.5
10	Aros Basket	2	1	1	50%	72.5	86.5	-14.0
11	Huddinge	4	1	3	25%	81.5	84.5	-3.0
12	AIK Basket	2	0	2	0%	74.0	85.5	-11.5
13	Wetterbygden Stars	3	0	3	0%	74.0	88.7	-14.7
14	Blackeberg	4	0	4	0%	68.2	93.2	-25.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sollentuna	27	15	20	21	83
Aros Basket	17	20	18	15	70

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Sollentuna vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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