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Ockelbo vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-59
25-14 24-16 17-16 19-13
Position#4
Record13-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.5
Ockelbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#6
Record12-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.5
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ockelbo v Aros Basket
17 Jan 2026
OCKE84
AROS75
29 Mar 2025
OCKE85
AROS59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Akersberga
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
92avg 66
A18/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 66
A25/01
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
61avg 66
A26/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
62-68
62
68
-6
50avg 66
H02/02
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
71avg 66
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 66
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
65avg 66
H22/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
95-82
95
82
+13
86avg 66
H01/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
44avg 66
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 66
A22/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
22-21
16-22
29-22
17-20
27-18
15-25
21-22
12-28
19-24
17-28
22-17
15-13
21-15
12-23
14-17
21-12
16-18
8-17
19-17
13-16
19-10
22-11
14-25
17-13
27-15
17-23
15-19
20-17
18-19
27-25
30-21
21-28
17-18
13-15
9-20
23-14
15-17
15-25
19-15
152.2Avg total
74.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.574.5151.0+2.057%
Season at home (11)77.668.6146.3+9.082%
Season away (12)75.479.9155.3-4.533%
Last 10 (10)74.877.4152.2-2.660%
Last 5 (5)74.273.2147.4+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.784.3169.0+0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.374.1147.4-0.943%
vs Weaker (13)78.573.0151.5+5.577%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Akersberga
#13
W
86-79
86
79
+7
85avg 74
H11/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
61avg 74
A18/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
75avg 74
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
A01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 74
H08/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 74
H15/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
76avg 74
A01/03
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
87avg 74
A09/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
93avg 74
H19/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
79-56
79
56
+23
82avg 74
H22/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
29-14
4-27
24-18
18-27
28-22
11-21
20-22
18-18
20-21
24-19
12-16
27-22
25-28
18-19
17-18
28-30
16-16
17-22
18-10
19-25
22-16
28-17
14-22
24-24
22-24
11-23
20-16
27-19
22-20
23-12
16-35
18-26
31-23
20-24
25-15
26-18
13-11
16-18
24-9
166.5Avg total
84.2Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.579.5160.0+1.055%
Season at home (12)79.474.5153.9+4.967%
Season away (10)81.885.5167.3-3.740%
Last 10 (10)84.282.3166.5+1.970%
Last 5 (5)84.279.4163.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.482.0156.4-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (8)80.277.6157.9+2.662%
vs Weaker (9)84.179.8163.9+4.367%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
OckelboAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akersberga
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A25/01
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A26/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/02
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H22/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H01/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/03
Superettan
73.9Avg total
38.2Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.175.5+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.334.976.2+6.573%-
Last 30 away (15)37.537.474.9+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.235.773.9+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.471.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.745.090.7+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.436.472.7+0.043%-
vs Weaker (13)41.233.875.1+7.485%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akersberga
#13
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H11/01
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A18/01
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/03
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A09/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H19/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/03
Superettan
88.6Avg total
46.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)42.639.882.4+2.955%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.036.879.8+6.258%-
Last 30 away (10)42.243.485.6-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.488.6+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.841.286.0+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.641.282.8+0.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.238.879.0+1.562%-
vs Weaker (9)45.339.985.2+5.456%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.716.5
42.6%
49.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.97.5
26.9%
30.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws23.718.1
76.4%
67.1%18.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.7
55.1%
49.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.2
26.4%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.414.4
70.6%
67.1%14.4
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WLWWWWLLLW
Aros Basket
WWWLWWWLLW
#4
League position
#6
-3.7
Net rating
+0.7
90.8
Offensive rating
98.6
94.5
Defensive rating
97.9
41.7%
Effective FG%
48.9%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
21.0%
Turnover %
20.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.9%
3-point %
26.4%
63.3%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 98.6Defence94.5 · 97.9Shooting41.7% · 48.9%3-point %26.9% · 26.4%Ball care21.0% · 20.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ockelbo   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ockelbo wins
0
Aros Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ABlackeberg72-71
16/03/25AHuddinge60-81
01/03/25HAIK Basket95-82
22/02/25HIK Eos76-70
15/02/25AKFUM Fryshuset68-62
09/02/25HAkersberga76-72 OT
02/02/25HWetterbygden Stars62-68
26/01/25AMalbas70-97
25/01/25AIK Eos80-85
18/01/25AAkersberga89-86
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25HHuddinge79-56
19/03/25HBlackeberg94-88
09/03/25AAkersberga88-86
01/03/25ATureberg77-87
15/02/25HSloga Uppsala83-80
08/02/25HDjurgarden79-78
01/02/25AAlvik97-92 OT
25/01/25AHuddinge82-85 OT
18/01/25AKFUM Fryshuset77-92
11/01/25HAkersberga86-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %57%82%33%
Points / game76.577.675.4
Allowed / game74.568.679.9
Point differential+2.0+9.0-4.5
Avg total151.0146.3155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%55%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game80.579.481.8
Allowed / game79.574.585.5
Point differential+1.0+4.9-3.7
Avg total160.0153.9167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2421388%86.874.8+12.0
2 Wetterbygden Stars2419579%85.381.2+4.1
3 KFUM Fryshuset2418675%82.776.3+6.4
4 Malbas2415962%83.973.9+10.0
5 Ockelbo23131057%76.574.5+2.0
6 Aros Basket22121055%80.579.5+1.0
7 Djurgarden22111150%82.078.0+4.0
8 Alvik23111248%83.181.3+1.7
9 Huddinge24101442%76.581.1-4.6
10 AIK Basket2481633%79.886.7-6.9
11 IK Eos2371630%81.285.4-4.3
12 Blackeberg2471729%74.879.5-4.7
13 Tureberg2361726%70.784.5-13.7
14 Akersberga2461825%77.484.5-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo2524171985
Aros Basket1416161359
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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