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Aros Basket vs Ockelbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-80
15-18 14-22 23-15 19-25
Position#6
Record13-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Ockelbo 🏆
Sweden
Position#4
Record15-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game73.7
SwedenSuperettan· Kristiansborgshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aros Basket v Ockelbo
31 Oct 2025
AROS92
OCKE60
12 Apr 2025
AROS71
OCKE80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aros Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ockelbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
no box
A01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 73
H08/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
71avg 73
H15/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
L
77-87
77
87
-10
76avg 73
A01/03
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
87avg 73
A09/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
93avg 73
H19/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
79-56
79
56
+23
82avg 73
H22/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
59-85
59
85
-26
44avg 73
A29/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
77-83
77
83
-6
61avg 73
A05/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
92-60
92
60
+32
82avg 73
A06/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
25-28
18-19
17-18
28-30
16-16
17-22
18-10
19-25
22-16
28-17
14-22
24-24
22-24
11-23
20-16
27-19
22-20
23-12
16-35
18-26
31-23
20-24
25-15
26-18
13-11
16-18
24-9
14-25
16-24
16-17
13-19
17-19
13-25
18-17
29-22
28-12
14-17
26-13
24-18
162.0Avg total
82.5Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.079.1159.0+0.952%
Season at home (12)79.474.5153.9+4.967%
Season away (13)80.583.3163.8-2.838%
Last 10 (10)82.579.5162.0+3.070%
Last 5 (5)80.274.4154.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.378.3155.7-1.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.978.4156.3-0.656%
vs Weaker (10)83.480.1163.5+3.360%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
61avg 67
A26/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
62-68
62
68
-6
50avg 67
H02/02
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
71avg 67
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 67
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
65avg 67
H22/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
95-82
95
82
+13
86avg 67
H01/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
60-81
60
81
-21
44avg 67
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
72-71
72
71
+1
66avg 67
A22/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
85-59
85
59
+26
82avg 67
H29/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 67
H06/04
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-28
19-24
17-28
22-17
15-13
21-15
12-23
14-17
21-12
16-18
8-17
19-17
13-16
19-10
22-11
14-25
17-13
27-15
17-23
15-19
20-17
18-19
27-25
30-21
21-28
17-18
13-15
9-20
23-14
15-17
15-25
19-15
25-14
24-16
17-16
19-13
25-25
25-14
17-7
29-24
149.2Avg total
76.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)77.673.7151.3+3.960%
Season at home (13)79.668.0147.6+11.685%
Season away (12)75.479.9155.3-4.533%
Last 10 (10)76.073.2149.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)81.672.6154.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.580.8168.2+6.850%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.273.5148.6+1.746%
vs Weaker (13)78.573.0151.5+5.577%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Aros BasketOckelbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/02
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/03
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A09/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H19/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H22/03
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A29/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A05/04
Superettan
Malbas
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A06/04
Superettan
84.6Avg total
42.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)41.639.981.5+1.752%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.036.879.8+6.258%-
Last 30 away (13)40.342.883.1-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.739.280.8+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.139.979.0-0.856%-
vs Weaker (10)43.840.384.1+3.550%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malbas
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A26/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/02
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H22/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H01/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A16/03
Superettan
Blackeberg
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#6
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H29/03
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H06/04
Superettan
73.9Avg total
39.3Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.276.4+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.334.877.1+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)37.537.975.5-0.454%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.673.9+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.479.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.843.590.2+3.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.236.273.5+1.046%-
vs Weaker (13)41.233.875.1+7.485%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.1
54.6%
49.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.2
28.5%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.214.3
67.5%
67.1%14.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.716.2
43.0%
49.8%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.68.1
28.3%
30.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.218.5
76.4%
67.1%18.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aros Basket
WLLWWWLWWW
Ockelbo
WWWLWWWWLL
#6
League position
#4
+2.3
Net rating
+3.9
100.5
Offensive rating
94.9
98.2
Defensive rating
91.0
50.0%
Effective FG%
42.8%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
43.2%
20.6%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
28.5%
3-point %
28.3%
59.4%
Assist %
60.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 94.9Defence98.2 · 91.0Shooting50.0% · 42.8%3-point %28.5% · 28.3%Ball care20.6% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Aros Basket   ■ Ockelbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aros Basket wins
1
Ockelbo wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Ockelbo v Aros Basket85-59
Aros Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25AMalbas92-60
05/04/25AIK Eos77-83
29/03/25AOckelbo59-85
22/03/25HHuddinge79-56
19/03/25HBlackeberg94-88
09/03/25AAkersberga88-86
01/03/25ATureberg77-87
15/02/25HSloga Uppsala83-80
08/02/25HDjurgarden79-78
01/02/25AAlvik97-92 OT
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/25HSloga Uppsala96-70
29/03/25HAros Basket85-59
22/03/25ABlackeberg72-71
16/03/25AHuddinge60-81
01/03/25HAIK Basket95-82
22/02/25HIK Eos76-70
15/02/25AKFUM Fryshuset68-62
09/02/25HAkersberga76-72 OT
02/02/25HWetterbygden Stars62-68
26/01/25AMalbas70-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aros Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %52%67%38%
Points / game80.079.480.5
Allowed / game79.174.583.3
Point differential+0.9+4.9-2.8
Avg total159.0153.9163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%15%
Ockelbo
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %60%85%33%
Points / game77.679.675.4
Allowed / game73.768.079.9
Point differential+3.9+11.6-4.5
Avg total151.3147.6155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (1)33% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2622485%86.075.8+10.2
2 Wetterbygden Stars2620677%84.981.4+3.5
3 KFUM Fryshuset2619773%82.776.7+6.0
4 Malbas25151060%83.074.6+8.4
5 Ockelbo25151060%77.673.7+3.9
6 Djurgarden25131252%82.078.0+4.0
7 Aros Basket25131252%80.079.1+0.9
8 Alvik26131350%84.580.9+3.6
9 Huddinge26121446%78.381.4-3.0
10 Blackeberg2681831%75.079.4-4.4
11 IK Eos2681831%80.785.5-4.8
12 AIK Basket2681831%79.986.6-6.7
13 Akersberga2671927%78.585.3-6.9
14 Tureberg2671927%71.485.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aros Basket1514231971
Ockelbo1822152580
← all games of the day
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