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South Adelaide Panthers vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 76-83
23-24 19-20 15-14 19-25
Position#2
Record5-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game86.0
AustraliaNBL1 CentralRound 8
Other2022
Meetings · South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres
12 Apr 2025
SOUT93
STUR82
16 Jun 2024
SOUT87
STUR68
14 May 2023
SOUT59
STUR87
28 May 2022
SOUT76
STUR83
14 Aug 2021
SOUT77
STUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Adelaide Panthers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South Adelaide PanthersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#6
L
61-84
61
84
-23
A07/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A08/08
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H14/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A09/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H23/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
94-92
94
92
+2
A30/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#1
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H07/05
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A21/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A22/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
17-21
16-17
18-27
12-18
16-29
19-29
15-15
22-20
13-17
20-22
22-25
17-16
17-18
18-19
14-13
28-18
25-28
10-18
29-16
25-18
13-25
20-18
20-21
22-25
29-20
21-24
22-23
32-25
25-19
20-25
5-22
23-24
20-11
20-15
20-27
24-25
36-29
16-23
20-17
164.7Avg total
80.0Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.784.0169.7+1.771%
Season at home (2)87.085.5172.5+1.550%
Season away (5)85.283.4168.6+1.880%
Last 10 (10)80.084.7164.7-4.750%
Last 5 (5)86.687.2173.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.481.6156.9-6.231%
vs Similar (2)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.483.3174.7+8.186%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#9
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A14/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H28/08
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#3
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H04/09
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
H23/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A30/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H01/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H07/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
81-105
81
105
-24
H08/05
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
101-90
101
90
+11
H21/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
17-13
22-20
25-22
21-20
22-24
17-17
9-22
17-30
11-36
21-13
20-7
27-18
30-26
22-24
10-21
19-20
13-26
22-31
19-13
24-29
22-21
29-13
18-16
18-11
24-17
23-12
28-23
27-18
23-23
19-14
17-22
13-30
23-21
17-32
28-22
29-25
30-18
23-29
19-18
169.7Avg total
84.9Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.686.0175.6+3.671%
Season at home (5)92.286.6178.8+5.680%
Season away (2)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)84.984.8169.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)90.882.8173.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.591.0174.5-7.550%
vs Similar (5)94.690.6185.2+4.080%
vs Weaker (20)85.076.4161.4+8.570%
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.7+0.7
South Adelaide PanthersSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Districts Lions
#6
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A07/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A08/08
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A09/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H23/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A30/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#1
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H07/05
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A21/05
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A22/05
NBL1 Central
85.1Avg total
42.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)40.241.081.2-0.848%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.539.980.5+0.645%-
Last 30 away (14)39.941.981.7-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.642.585.1+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.844.294.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.540.977.4-4.438%-
vs Similar (2)42.037.079.0+5.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.042.490.4+5.671%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A14/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H28/08
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#3
L
28-66
28
66
-38
H04/09
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#7
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H23/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A30/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#10
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H01/05
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H07/05
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#3
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H08/05
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H21/05
NBL1 Central
87.8Avg total
43.0Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)43.740.584.2+3.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.239.182.4+4.175%-
Last 30 away (11)44.442.586.9+1.855%-
Last 10 (10)43.044.887.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.689.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.046.089.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (5)49.246.095.2+3.260%-
vs Weaker (20)42.438.681.0+3.870%-
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Adelaide Panthers wins
2
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22AEastern Mavericks96-94
21/05/22ASouthern Tigers83-77
07/05/22HWoodville Warriors82-91
30/04/22ACentral Districts Lions94-92
25/04/22AWest Adelaide Bearcats78-82
23/04/22HForestville Eagles92-80
09/04/22ANorwood Flames75-72 OT
14/08/21HSturt Sabres77-84
08/08/21AForestville Eagles62-91
07/08/21ACentral Districts Lions61-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/22HCentral Districts Lions101-90
08/05/22HForestville Eagles81-105
07/05/22HNorwood Flames86-77
01/05/22HEastern Mavericks93-63
30/04/22ASouthern Tigers93-79
25/04/22ANorth Adelaide Rockets73-90
23/04/22HWest Adelaide Bearcats100-98 OT
04/09/21HNorth Adelaide Rockets69-86
28/08/21HNorwood Flames69-83
14/08/21ASouth Adelaide Panthers84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Adelaide Panthers
NBL1 Central 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeWL50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%50%80%
Points / game85.787.085.2
Allowed / game84.085.583.4
Point differential+1.7+1.5+1.8
Avg total169.7172.5168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game89.692.283.0
Allowed / game86.086.684.5
Point differential+3.6+5.6-1.5
Avg total175.6178.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Woodville Warriors76186%98.679.3+19.3
2 North Adelaide Rockets65183%87.578.2+9.3
3 Sturt Sabres75271%89.686.0+3.6
4 South Adelaide Panthers75271%85.784.0+1.7
5 Norwood Flames85362%86.679.4+7.2
6 Forestville Eagles74357%93.086.6+6.4
7 West Adelaide Bearcats72529%83.685.0-1.4
8 Southern Tigers72529%76.985.3-8.4
9 Central Districts Lions71614%86.497.0-10.6
10 Eastern Mavericks7070%75.0101.9-26.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Adelaide Panthers2319151976
Sturt Sabres2420142583
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