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South Adelaide Panthers vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 05:45
Final 59-87
13-14 12-13 21-26 13-34
Position#3
Record7-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game76.6
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2023
Meetings · South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres
12 Apr 2025
SOUT93
STUR82
16 Jun 2024
SOUT87
STUR68
14 May 2023
SOUT59
STUR87
28 May 2022
SOUT76
STUR83
14 Aug 2021
SOUT77
STUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Adelaide Panthers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South Adelaide PanthersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
72-102
72
102
-30
A11/09
NBL 1
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H25/03
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A01/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
W
110-95
110
95
+15
A07/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
97-94
97
94
+3
A15/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H22/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H06/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H13/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
13-27
23-36
15-23
24-17
22-16
26-18
22-28
21-23
25-14
9-13
21-14
30-32
20-17
38-22
22-24
28-33
20-20
24-20
25-21
11-13
21-16
19-20
17-20
30-7
26-21
14-29
23-17
19-20
21-32
25-16
19-12
25-14
28-11
22-6
22-22
27-18
9-22
22-18
15-19
165.1Avg total
86.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.076.1164.1+11.978%
Season at home (4)83.069.5152.5+13.550%
Season away (5)92.081.4173.4+10.6100%
Last 10 (10)86.478.7165.1+7.770%
Last 5 (5)83.070.6153.6+12.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)85.783.0168.7+2.758%
vs Similar (1)68.069.0137.0-1.00%
vs Weaker (17)86.275.9162.1+10.376%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A06/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
102-66
102
66
+36
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
59-99
59
99
-40
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
99-55
99
55
+44
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H06/05
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A13/05
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
12-19
28-20
36-16
23-17
35-21
27-12
17-16
23-21
14-25
13-9
14-21
23-23
20-18
22-16
9-18
24-18
14-25
25-19
18-16
11-22
16-25
22-28
10-24
11-23
19-22
30-14
28-17
27-20
19-11
16-17
37-7
18-13
13-27
33-14
25-30
21-27
29-22
21-11
19-20
160.7Avg total
83.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.976.6159.4+6.367%
Season at home (4)75.083.8158.8-8.850%
Season away (5)89.270.8160.0+18.480%
Last 10 (10)83.477.3160.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)85.078.8163.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.092.3168.3-16.333%
vs Similar (7)83.786.9170.6-3.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)86.175.5161.6+10.671%
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +7.7+7.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
South Adelaide PanthersSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A11/09
NBL 1
Eastern Mavericks
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/03
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A01/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A07/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A15/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H22/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
W
56-28
56
28
+28
A25/04
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
53-25
53
25
+28
H06/05
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H13/05
NBL1 Central
83.0Avg total
44.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.340.684.9+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.837.278.9+4.669%-
Last 30 away (17)46.243.389.5+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.138.983.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.878.2+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)44.643.287.8+1.458%-
vs Similar (1)32.029.061.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker (17)44.839.584.3+5.259%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norwood Flames
#4
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A06/08
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A26/03
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H01/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#7
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A06/04
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/04
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H20/04
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#9
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H25/04
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#8
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A29/04
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H06/05
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#10
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A13/05
NBL1 Central
81.2Avg total
38.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.786.0-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.344.585.8-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.086.3+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.479.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.846.487.2-5.744%-
vs Similar (7)44.044.488.4-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.441.684.1+0.857%-
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
South Adelaide Panthers wins
3
Sturt Sabres wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23HNorth Adelaide Rockets73-77
06/05/23HSouthern Tigers97-53
29/04/23ANorwood Flames84-80
25/04/23AWoodville Warriors93-74
22/04/23HForestville Eagles68-69
15/04/23ACentral Districts Lions97-94
07/04/23AWest Adelaide Bearcats110-95
01/04/23ASturt Sabres76-64
25/03/23HEastern Mavericks94-79
11/09/22AGold Coast Rollers72-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/23ASouthern Tigers90-80
06/05/23HWoodville Warriors89-84
29/04/23ACentral Districts Lions99-55
25/04/23HEastern Mavericks88-76
20/04/23HWest Adelaide Bearcats59-99
15/04/23AForestville Eagles81-78
06/04/23ANorth Adelaide Rockets74-75
01/04/23HSouth Adelaide Panthers64-76
26/03/23ANorwood Flames102-66
06/08/22ANorwood Flames88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Adelaide Panthers
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL78%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%50%100%
Points / game88.083.092.0
Allowed / game76.169.581.4
Point differential+11.9+13.5+10.6
Avg total164.1152.5173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%50%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%50%80%
Points / game82.975.089.2
Allowed / game76.683.870.8
Point differential+6.3-8.8+18.4
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%25%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Adelaide Bearcats97278%101.777.3+24.3
2 South Adelaide Panthers97278%88.076.1+11.9
3 Forestville Eagles97278%89.778.0+11.7
4 Sturt Sabres96367%82.976.6+6.3
5 Woodville Warriors96367%81.378.0+3.3
6 North Adelaide Rockets95456%83.485.8-2.3
7 Norwood Flames94544%82.287.2-5.0
8 Eastern Mavericks92722%83.698.4-14.9
9 Central Districts Lions91811%80.393.0-12.7
10 Southern Tigers9090%72.294.9-22.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Adelaide Panthers1312211359
Sturt Sabres1413263487
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