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South Alabama vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 82-75
33-30 49-45
Position#212
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#205
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game83.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A04/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Mobile
#208
L
74-83
74
83
-9
H07/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A11/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
46-102
46
102
-56
A15/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
38-34
29-28
35-46
34-37
34-24
26-27
52-34
38-31
37-35
37-33
29-38
23-47
51-36
33-29
37-27
23-47
23-55
40-28
28-40
145.7Avg total
71.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.885.8157.5-14.025%
Season at home (2)85.592.5178.0-7.00%
Season away (2)58.079.0137.0-21.050%
Last 10 (10)71.474.3145.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)70.682.8153.4-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)61.376.7138.0-15.367%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.069.9143.9+4.142%
vs Weaker (15)70.961.9132.8+8.967%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
L
63-86
63
86
-23
A10/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A11/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H25/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H04/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
34-43
30-28
40-50
38-29
37-51
40-12
46-56
32-18
40-43
27-31
41-52
41-40
46-55
51-33
46-43
37-43
54-42
37-43
37-34
157.2Avg total
78.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.283.2170.5+4.050%
Season at home (1)97.076.0173.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)84.085.7169.7-1.733%
Last 10 (10)78.378.9157.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)83.483.2166.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.085.5152.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)74.876.0150.8-1.245%
vs Weaker (4)80.073.5153.5+6.575%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -4.8-4.8
South AlabamaDenver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H02/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
26-27
26
27
-1
A04/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A07/03
NCAA
Mobile
#208
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H07/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A11/11
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
23-47
23
47
-24
A15/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H17/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
32.1Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.230.264.5+4.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.328.964.3+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)33.131.564.7+1.673%-
Last 10 (10)32.134.066.1-1.960%-
Last 5 (5)31.236.868.0-5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.334.065.3-2.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.930.965.8+4.075%-
vs Weaker (15)34.328.963.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#276
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
40-12
40
12
+28
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H25/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H04/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H10/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
36.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.567.4+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.829.264.0+5.554%-
Last 30 away (17)33.236.870.1-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.068.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.076.6+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.238.871.0-6.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)33.332.465.7+0.950%-
vs Weaker (4)39.531.571.0+8.050%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
South Alabama wins
0
Denver wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HNicholls State97-102 OT
15/11/23AAlabama46-102
11/11/23ABuffalo70-56
07/11/23HMobile74-83
07/03/23ALouisiana Lafayette66-71
05/03/23AJames Madison75-66
04/03/23ASouthern Miss78-61
02/03/23HAppalachian State68-61
25/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette64-74
23/02/23ATexas State76-67
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/23ASiu Edwardsville74-77
16/11/23ANicholls State91-85
10/11/23HCal Poly97-76
07/11/23AUC San Diego87-95
04/03/23HNorth Dakota68-83
25/02/23HNebraska O.72-61
18/02/23HSouth Dakota Coyotes86-68
17/02/23HSouth Dakota St.75-80
11/02/23ANorth Dakota St70-78
10/02/23ANorth Dakota63-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game71.885.558.0
Allowed / game85.892.579.0
Point differential-14.0-7.0-21.0
Avg total157.5178.0137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Denver
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game87.297.084.0
Allowed / game83.276.085.7
Point differential+4.0+21.0-1.7
Avg total170.5173.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison330100%99.790.0+9.7
2 Louisiana Lafayette32167%85.768.3+17.3
3 Southern Miss32167%64.753.0+11.7
4 Troy42250%88.265.5+22.8
5 Marshall21150%75.569.5+6.0
6 Coastal Carolina21150%82.586.0-3.5
7 Appalachian State31233%78.773.7+5.0
8 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
9 Georgia State31233%76.076.3-0.3
10 Arkansas State31233%83.790.7-7.0
11 Texas State31233%65.076.3-11.3
12 Louisiana Monroe31233%56.073.7-17.7
13 South Alabama41325%71.885.8-14.0
14 Georgia Southern3030%63.379.7-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota Coyotes43175%82.571.2+11.2
2 UMKC32167%78.363.0+15.3
3 St. Thomas (Minn.)32167%73.359.3+14.0
4 North Dakota32167%82.080.3+1.7
5 North Dakota St53260%72.873.6-0.8
6 Denver42250%87.283.2+4.0
7 Nebraska O.42250%74.573.2+1.2
8 South Dakota St.31233%75.375.7-0.3
9 Oral Roberts31233%71.376.0-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama334982
Denver304575
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