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Texas State vs South Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 67-76
33-38 34-38
Position#236
Record13-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#166
Record15-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.9
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Texas State v South Alabama
20 Dec 2025
TEXA67
SOUT65
22 Feb 2025
TEXA93
SOUT92
01 Feb 2024
TEXA74
SOUT66
22 Feb 2023
TEXA67
SOUT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
40-48
22-27
29-33
31-36
39-31
27-34
31-33
34-38
29-44
24-45
40-23
33-30
33-32
32-37
36-33
31-33
44-49
34-34
44-41
138.0Avg total
66.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)65.466.7132.2-1.345%
Season at home (13)66.766.5133.2+0.238%
Season away (16)64.466.9131.3-2.450%
Last 10 (10)66.671.4138.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)70.271.4141.6-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.068.4132.4-4.425%
vs Similar (11)66.167.9134.0-1.855%
vs Weaker (3)60.057.0117.0+3.067%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H27/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H11/02
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-41
40-27
29-34
35-32
37-25
40-35
44-30
38-32
34-25
38-39
34-27
23-34
40-26
34-31
38-27
39-26
42-27
43-27
44-20
37-25
135.7Avg total
75.0Scored
60.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)70.964.9135.8+6.052%
Season at home (15)72.259.3131.5+12.967%
Season away (14)69.570.9140.4-1.436%
Last 10 (10)75.060.7135.7+14.370%
Last 5 (5)74.854.0128.8+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.271.8133.0-10.525%
vs Similar (9)73.266.6139.8+6.744%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)71.963.0134.9+8.959%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +5.9+5.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: +8.8+8.82nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +5.9+5.9
Texas StateSouth Alabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#38
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A03/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H11/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A16/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
30.1Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.230.360.5-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.131.262.3-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)29.529.559.1+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)30.134.764.8-4.610%-
Last 5 (5)30.835.866.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.430.960.3-1.533%-
vs Similar (11)30.631.261.8-0.545%-
vs Weaker (3)26.725.352.0+1.367%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#294
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H27/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H11/02
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H18/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
37.0Scored
28.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.429.563.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.127.862.9+7.369%-
Last 30 away (14)33.531.464.9+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)37.028.265.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)39.625.465.0+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.528.555.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (9)36.629.065.6+7.689%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.129.965.0+5.159%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Texas State wins
1
South Alabama wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ACoastal Carolina78-75
16/02/23AAppalachian State75-82
11/02/23HOld Dominion68-70
10/02/23HArkansas State66-62
05/02/23ATroy64-68
03/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette63-82
28/01/23ASouthern Miss58-67
27/01/23HGeorgia Southern70-67
21/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette51-60
20/01/23HMarshall73-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23HLouisiana Monroe81-45
17/02/23HSouthern Miss85-54
14/02/23HHartford77-53
11/02/23HAppalachian State74-57
10/02/23ATroy57-61
04/02/23ALouisiana Monroe72-64
03/02/23AArkansas State82-62
28/01/23HTroy77-60
27/01/23HOld Dominion64-66
21/01/23ACoastal Carolina81-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %45%38%50%
Points / game65.466.764.4
Allowed / game66.766.566.9
Point differential-1.3+0.2-2.4
Avg total132.2133.2131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%23%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)40% (5)62% (8)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW52%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%67%36%
Points / game70.972.269.5
Allowed / game64.959.370.9
Point differential+6.0+12.9-1.4
Avg total135.8131.5140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)40% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall3024680%82.771.3+11.4
2 Southern Miss3024680%74.564.9+9.6
3 Louisiana Lafayette2821775%79.171.2+7.9
4 James Madison30201067%80.967.7+13.2
5 Old Dominion29181162%67.866.2+1.6
6 Troy30181260%72.866.5+6.3
7 Appalachian State30161453%70.864.2+6.6
8 South Alabama29151452%70.964.9+6.0
9 Georgia Southern30151550%69.067.1+1.9
10 Texas State29131645%65.466.7-1.3
11 Coastal Carolina29111838%73.472.9+0.6
12 Arkansas State29111838%65.067.4-2.3
13 Louisiana Monroe30111937%68.070.2-2.2
14 Georgia State29101934%66.368.2-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State333467
South Alabama383876
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