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South Alabama vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 68-61
34-37 34-24
Position#166
Record16-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#203
Record16-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · South Alabama v Appalachian State
04 Jan 2024
SOUT84
APPA91
02 Mar 2023
SOUT68
APPA61
11 Feb 2023
SOUT74
APPA57
06 Jan 2022
SOUT64
APPA72
16 Jan 2021
SOUT77
APPA83
15 Jan 2021
SOUT73
APPA64
19 Dec 2019
SOUT71
APPA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H11/02
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
85-54
85
54
+31
H17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
81-45
81
45
+36
H18/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-25
40-35
44-30
38-32
34-25
38-39
34-27
23-34
40-26
34-31
38-27
39-26
42-27
43-27
44-20
37-25
38-33
38-34
29-28
35-46
134.2Avg total
74.5Scored
59.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.865.3136.1+5.652%
Season at home (15)72.259.3131.5+12.967%
Season away (16)69.670.8140.4-1.238%
Last 10 (10)74.559.7134.2+14.880%
Last 5 (5)76.658.6135.2+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.271.8133.0-10.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.367.3139.6+5.040%
vs Weaker (16)70.762.8133.4+7.962%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H26/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
78-52
78
52
+26
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-27
29-32
31-25
32-26
24-31
34-35
19-30
38-33
31-19
21-26
26-40
31-34
33-31
49-44
35-32
28-42
42-25
36-27
29-29
35-44
127.7Avg total
64.5Scored
63.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.564.5135.0+6.152%
Season at home (18)73.562.2135.7+11.356%
Season away (13)66.567.7134.2-1.246%
Last 10 (10)64.563.2127.7+1.350%
Last 5 (5)68.869.6138.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.067.0127.0-7.020%
vs Similar ◀ (10)63.867.9131.7-4.120%
vs Weaker (15)73.860.7134.5+13.180%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -1.0-1.0
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: -1.0-1.0
South AlabamaAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H28/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A03/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H11/02
NCAA
Hartford
#360
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H17/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
44-20
44
20
+24
H18/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A25/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
38.0Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.829.263.0+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.226.861.0+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)33.531.264.8+2.269%-
Last 10 (10)38.026.864.8+11.2100%-
Last 5 (5)38.227.065.2+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.528.555.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.828.964.7+6.990%-
vs Weaker (16)34.429.563.9+4.962%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H26/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H28/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H02/02
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/02
NCAA
60.1Avg total
31.2Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.628.961.5+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.128.459.4+2.753%-
Last 30 away (13)34.529.764.2+4.869%-
Last 10 (10)31.228.960.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.031.464.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.830.456.2-4.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.030.261.2+0.850%-
vs Weaker (15)35.927.663.5+8.380%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23ALouisiana Lafayette64-74
23/02/23ATexas State76-67
18/02/23HLouisiana Monroe81-45
17/02/23HSouthern Miss85-54
14/02/23HHartford77-53
11/02/23HAppalachian State74-57
10/02/23ATroy57-61
04/02/23ALouisiana Monroe72-64
03/02/23AArkansas State82-62
28/01/23HTroy77-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23AGeorgia Southern64-73
23/02/23AGeorgia State78-52
18/02/23HOld Dominion63-74
16/02/23HTexas State82-75
11/02/23ASouth Alabama57-74
10/02/23ALouisiana Monroe52-45
04/02/23HJames Madison57-63
02/02/23HMarshall58-66
28/01/23HArkansas State63-51
26/01/23HGeorgia State71-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%67%38%
Points / game70.872.269.6
Allowed / game65.359.370.8
Point differential+5.6+12.9-1.2
Avg total136.1131.5140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%53%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)40% (5)0% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL52%
HomeWLLWL56%
AwayWWLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %52%56%46%
Points / game70.573.566.5
Allowed / game64.562.267.7
Point differential+6.1+11.3-1.2
Avg total135.0135.7134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss3125681%74.765.0+9.6
2 Marshall3124777%82.271.3+10.9
3 Louisiana Lafayette3023777%79.171.0+8.1
4 James Madison31211068%81.267.7+13.5
5 Old Dominion30191163%67.966.2+1.7
6 Troy31191261%73.566.8+6.7
7 Appalachian State31161552%70.564.5+6.1
8 South Alabama31161552%70.865.3+5.6
9 Georgia Southern31161552%69.167.0+2.1
10 Texas State32141844%66.167.7-1.6
11 Arkansas State32131941%65.967.8-1.8
12 Coastal Carolina31112035%73.374.0-0.7
13 Louisiana Monroe31112035%67.770.0-2.2
14 Georgia State31102132%66.769.4-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Alabama343468
Appalachian State372461
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