South Carolina faces Stetson on 3 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model favouring the Gamecocks at 62% to 38% for the Gamecocks, who are projected to win 78-74 for a total of 152.1 points, and a 5% chance of overtime. South Carolina has played 1 game so far, winning 1-0, scoring 85.0 points per game and allowing 72.0, and has a road record of 1-0 with the same averages; its last five games include 1 win and 4 losses, with a recent loss to Oklahoma 74-86, a win over Ole Miss 64-61, and a loss to Tennessee 59-78. Stetson has played 1 game, winning 1-0, scoring 85.0 points per game and allowing 72.0, and its road record is also 1-0 with the same averages; its last five games include 3 wins and 2 losses, with recent results of a win over Clemson 85-72, a loss to Austin Peay 60-69, and a win over Eastern Kentucky 92-76. The teams have met twice before, each winning once, with South Carolina's last victory 82-51 on 6 December 2025.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
South Carolina winWon
92.2%fair 1.08
Best odds1.04
Implied92.7%
Edge-0.5pp
Stetson winLost
7.8%fair 12.82
Best odds17.00
Implied7.3%
Edge+0.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 14:17 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
South Carolina total 79.5Actual: South Carolina over 79.5
Over 79.5
65.0%
@ 1.44+2.0pp
Under 79.5
35.0%
@ 2.45-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.45
South Carolina total 83.5 · main lineActual: South Carolina under 83.5
Over 83.5
49.1%
@ 1.85-0.9pp
Under 83.5
50.9%
@ 1.93+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Marathon Be
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.83
South Carolina total 87.5Actual: South Carolina under 87.5
Over 87.5
33.4%
@ 2.65-2.3pp
Under 87.5
66.6%
@ 1.50+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.37
Stetson total 61Actual: Stetson under 61
Over 61
72.5%
Under 61
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stetson total 65 · main lineActual: Stetson under 65
Over 65
57.2%
@ 1.85+7.2pp
Under 65
42.8%
@ 1.85-7.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Stetson total 69Actual: Stetson under 69
Over 69
40.8%
Under 69
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread South Carolina -20Actual: South Carolina -20
SOUT -20
36.9%
@ 2.25-10.8pp
STET +20
63.1%
@ 1.81+10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathon Be
1.96
SBO
1.96
STET
Pinnacle
1.81
SBO
1.78
Marathon Be
1.76
Bet365
1.57
Spread South Carolina -17 · main lineActual: South Carolina -17
SOUT -17
47.7%
@ 1.87-3.7pp
STET +17
52.3%
@ 1.97+3.7pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Bet365
1.87
Marathon Be
1.75
STET
Marathon Be
1.97
Bet365
1.86
Spread South Carolina -14Actual: South Carolina -14
SOUT -14
58.7%
@ 1.52-2.5pp
STET +14
41.3%
@ 2.40+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
SOUT
Bet365
1.52
STET
Bet365
2.40
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
South CarolinaStetson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: South Carolina win
SOUT win
no forecast
@ 1.19
STET win
no forecast
@ 4.85
2nd half Spread South Carolina -8.5 · main lineActual: South Carolina -8.5
SOUT -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
STET +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
2nd half Over/Under 78.5 · main lineActual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: South Carolina (regulation)
SOUT
no forecast
@ 1.21
Draw
no forecast
@ 22.00
STET
no forecast
@ 4.75
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Stetson +25
78.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Stetson over 58.5
79.6%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Lost
South Carolina under 100.5
95.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
South Carolina under 98.5
93.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Stetson +24
75.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+3.8pp
Lost
South Carolina under 90.5
76.8%
1.27
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Stetson +24.5
76.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Lost
South Carolina (regulation)
91.0%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Stetson +23
72.8%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Lost
Stetson +23.5
73.6%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Lost
South Carolina under 93.5
84.9%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Stetson +22.5
70.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Lost
South Carolina under 92.5
82.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Won
South Carolina under 96.5
90.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Stetson over 59.5
76.6%
1.25
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Lost
South Carolina +2.5
94.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Stetson over 51.5
93.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Stetson over 55.5
87.0%
1.10
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Lost
South Carolina under 94.5
87.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Stetson over 56.5
84.8%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+1.9pp
Lost
South Carolina over 74.5
81.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+1.8pp
Won
South Carolina over 73.5
83.9%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Over 124.5
94.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Won
Stetson over 53.5
90.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Stetson over 61.5
70.1%
1.37
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.32
-
-
+1.3pp
Lost
South Carolina over 72.5
86.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
South Carolina under 88.5
70.2%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Under 174.5
93.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Won
Stetson over 57.5
82.3%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Lost
South Carolina -9.5
73.1%
1.28
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
South Carolina over 76.5
75.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
South Carolina -2.5
89.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
South Carolina -10.5
70.1%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Over 129.5
89.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
South Carolina -7.5
78.7%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
South Carolina -8.5
76.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-0.2pp
Won
Stetson under 79.5
89.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
South Carolina win
92.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-0.5pp
Won
South Carolina -9
75.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Under 169.5
88.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
South Carolina -10
72.3%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Over 141.5
70.2%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Lost
Over 139.5
74.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Lost
Stetson under 77.5
85.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
Over 134.5
83.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.3pp
Won
Stetson under 76.5
83.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Stetson under 75.5
80.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Stetson under 74.5
77.8%
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Under 164.5
81.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Under 159.5
72.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
South Carolina over 75.5
78.5%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Stetson under 73.5
74.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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