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Utah State vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 84-81 (OT)
36-34 33-35 15-12
Position#20
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game65.0
vs
Position#144
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game67.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Utah State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
87-47
87
47
+40
H08/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H14/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A15/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
47-72
47
72
-25
A21/03
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
110-54
110
54
+56
H04/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-23
37-24
36-29
34-29
30-49
42-34
27-39
20-33
53-27
57-27
45-36
35-41
41-41
42-32
34-20
41-31
40-40
56-35
48-30
46-30
146.4Avg total
81.4Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)89.765.0154.7+24.7100%
Season at home (4)87.063.8150.8+23.2100%
Season away (2)95.067.5162.5+27.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.465.0146.4+16.480%
Last 5 (5)85.667.2152.8+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.075.0148.0-2.00%
vs Similar (12)72.278.3150.6-6.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.665.4149.9+19.294%
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#271
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
80-60
80
60
+20
A10/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
45-72
45
72
-27
A12/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A04/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#689
W
114-44
114
44
+70
H06/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H09/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A13/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H20/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
34-29
41-29
39-31
17-29
28-43
33-32
45-52
54-21
60-23
38-38
35-37
31-36
37-41
30-35
28-27
54-26
38-29
35-37
43-35
142.2Avg total
76.1Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.167.0147.1+13.143%
Season at home (3)93.058.0151.0+35.067%
Season away (4)70.573.8144.2-3.225%
Last 10 (10)76.166.1142.2+10.050%
Last 5 (5)73.868.2142.0+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)63.874.0137.8-10.220%
vs Similar (16)69.271.6140.9-2.438%
vs Weaker (9)81.064.4145.4+16.667%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +4.0+4.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +7.0+7.01st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +4.0+4.0
Utah StateMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#367
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H08/03
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A15/03
NCAA
UCLA
#66
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A21/03
NCAA
Westminster UT
#579
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H04/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Weber State
#201
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H13/11
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.4Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.333.671.9+4.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.830.771.5+10.180%-
Last 30 away (15)35.736.672.3-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.433.473.8+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.475.0+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)34.736.671.2-1.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.831.672.4+9.165%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#271
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H04/03
NCAA
Idaho State
#204
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A10/03
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
17-29
17
29
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Colorado
#183
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#689
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H06/11
NCAA
Denver
#239
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A15/11
NCAA
Nobel Knights
#532
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A22/11
NCAA
68.8Avg total
37.4Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.233.767.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.231.269.3+7.067%-
Last 30 away (18)31.635.366.9-3.828%-
Last 10 (10)37.431.468.8+6.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.472.0+3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.433.062.4-3.640%-
vs Similar (16)32.835.468.2-2.631%-
vs Weaker (9)39.331.070.3+8.367%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Utah State wins
0
Montana State wins
No previous meetings.
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
21/11/25ATulane96-75
15/11/25HUTEP75-51
13/11/25HWeber State83-73
08/11/25HVCU Rams80-77
04/11/25HWestminster UT110-54
21/03/25AUCLA47-72
15/03/25AColorado State72-83
14/03/25HUNLV70-58
08/03/25HAir Force87-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ALong Beach State78-72
20/11/25HNobel Knights92-55
15/11/25ABoise State58-62
13/11/25AStanford68-77
09/11/25HDenver73-75
06/11/25HNorthwest Indian114-44
04/11/25AColorado78-84
12/03/25ANorthern Colorado45-72
10/03/25AIdaho State80-60
04/03/25HIdaho75-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.787.095.0
Allowed / game65.063.867.5
Point differential+24.7+23.2+27.5
Avg total154.7150.8162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Montana State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game80.193.070.5
Allowed / game67.058.073.8
Point differential+13.1+35.0-3.2
Avg total147.1151.0144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State660100%89.765.0+24.7
2 Wyoming76186%87.068.9+18.1
3 Colorado State86275%84.071.4+12.6
4 Fresno State86275%78.167.4+10.8
5 New Mexico75271%77.971.9+6.0
6 Boise State85362%78.470.6+7.8
7 Nevada85362%77.474.1+3.2
8 Grand Canyon74357%74.669.6+5.0
9 San Diego State63350%81.579.2+2.3
10 San Jose State73443%73.371.7+1.6
11 UNLV83538%84.286.1-1.9
12 Air Force83538%68.073.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado76186%86.671.7+14.9
2 Portland State64267%87.074.5+12.5
3 Northern Arizona64267%81.275.7+5.5
4 Idaho74357%80.172.7+7.4
5 Montana84450%83.874.4+9.4
6 Idaho State84450%73.868.0+5.8
7 Sacramento State84450%77.875.2+2.5
8 Montana State73443%80.167.0+13.1
9 Weber State62433%87.775.2+12.5
10 East. Washington71614%75.384.3-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Utah State36331584
Montana State34351281
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