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Southern District vs Brisbane Capitals Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 69-74
16-12 18-20 14-25 21-17
Position#5
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#4
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game92.0
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Southern District v Brisbane Capitals
10 May 2025
SOUT83
BRIS89
05 Jul 2024
SOUT83
BRIS78
05 May 2024
SOUT69
BRIS74
07 Jul 2023
SOUT101
BRIS94
05 Jun 2022
SOUT86
BRIS110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern District winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Rip City
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H11/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
104-82
104
82
+22
A25/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A02/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H07/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A15/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H13/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H28/04
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
29-15
19-30
25-17
23-26
23-21
25-18
21-19
21-18
34-16
22-21
27-27
22-26
22-18
13-20
33-21
24-26
25-24
25-23
27-21
15-19
20-13
19-25
24-30
21-19
19-25
23-23
15-14
21-20
22-23
22-21
20-14
17-28
21-26
16-14
24-17
18-18
17-16
12-24
26-22
170.4Avg total
86.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.581.0159.5-2.525%
Season at home (3)76.382.0158.3-5.70%
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.883.6170.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)78.482.2160.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.994.4183.3-5.644%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.287.8178.0+2.354%
vs Weaker (8)86.282.1168.4+4.162%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
94-114
94
114
-20
A24/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
H25/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A07/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
103-105 OT
103
105
-2
H08/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A14/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A12/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
A19/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
93-91
93
91
+2
A20/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A26/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A04/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
18-27
22-29
28-26
19-31
24-17
28-26
29-24
26-24
24-25
23-25
21-27
23-23
20-24
28-22
19-21
20-19
21-18
15-24
14-25
22-17
33-22
12-26
20-30
21-33
19-17
14-19
19-23
31-28
25-22
17-24
20-17
21-23
28-34
25-18
20-21
11-21
18-21
26-20
28-24
185.5Avg total
89.1Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.092.0178.0-6.020%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)86.092.0178.0-6.020%
Last 10 (10)89.196.4185.5-7.320%
Last 5 (5)86.092.0178.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.2102.2189.5-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)92.194.5186.6-2.535%
vs Weaker (9)94.789.2183.9+5.444%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
Southern DistrictBrisbane Capitals
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Rip City
#9
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H11/06
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A25/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H07/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H28/04
NBL1 North
84.5Avg total
43.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.045.390.3-0.245%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.945.290.1-0.340%-
Last 30 away (14)45.145.490.5-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.041.584.5+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.479.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)48.049.797.7-1.756%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.644.688.2-1.033%-
vs Weaker (8)43.941.485.2+2.550%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
44-59
44
59
-15
A24/06
NBL1 North
USC Rip City
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H25/06
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A07/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H08/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
55-39
55
39
+16
A12/04
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A19/04
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A20/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A26/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A04/05
NBL1 North
92.8Avg total
45.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)46.246.192.3+0.146%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.943.191.0+4.854%-
Last 30 away (15)44.748.793.5-4.040%-
Last 10 (10)45.047.892.8-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)45.847.693.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.352.094.3-9.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)46.146.392.4-0.247%-
vs Weaker (8)47.943.591.4+4.462%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Southern District wins
3
Brisbane Capitals wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix73-80
21/04/24HIpswich Force78-85
14/04/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix85-78
13/04/24HNorthside Wizards78-81
15/07/23ALogan Thunder78-87
07/07/23HBrisbane Capitals101-94
02/07/23ANorthside Wizards90-85
25/06/23ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks104-82
18/06/23HRockhampton Rockets92-84
11/06/23HUSC Rip City89-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks83-86
26/04/24AIpswich Force94-96
20/04/24ARockhampton Rockets93-91
19/04/24AMackay Meteors73-92
12/04/24ANorthside Wizards87-95
14/07/23ANorthside Wizards70-86
08/07/23HIpswich Force103-105 OT
07/07/23ASouthern District94-101
25/06/23HUSC Rip City100-98
24/06/23AGold Coast Rollers94-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern District
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%0%100%
Points / game78.576.385.0
Allowed / game81.082.078.0
Point differential-2.5-5.7+7.0
Avg total159.5158.3163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
Home--
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %20%-20%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total178.0-178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors330100%100.388.0+12.3
2 Darwin Salties54180%101.089.0+12.0
3 Logan Thunder43175%98.283.2+15.0
4 Sunshine Coast Phoenix43175%82.279.0+3.2
5 Gold Coast Rollers42250%102.099.2+2.8
6 Cairns Marlins42250%83.588.8-5.2
7 South West Metro Pirates42250%94.8104.2-9.5
8 Rockhampton Rockets52340%100.897.4+3.4
9 Townsville Heat52340%92.694.4-1.8
10 Northside Wizards52340%85.288.0-2.8
11 Ipswich Force52340%91.094.4-3.4
12 North Gold Coast Seahawks52340%84.296.0-11.8
13 Southern District41325%78.581.0-2.5
14 Brisbane Capitals51420%86.092.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern District1618142169
Brisbane Capitals1220251774
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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