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Southern District vs Logan Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 May 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 106-64
29-23 28-12 26-16 23-13
Position#5
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game83.2
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2024
Meetings · Southern District v Logan Thunder
11 May 2024
SOUT106
LOGA64
07 May 2022
SOUT72
LOGA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H18/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
104-82
104
82
+22
A25/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A02/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
W
101-94
101
94
+7
H07/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A15/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H13/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H28/04
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H05/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
23-21
25-18
21-19
21-18
34-16
22-21
27-27
22-26
22-18
13-20
33-21
24-26
25-24
25-23
27-21
15-19
20-13
19-25
24-30
21-19
19-25
23-23
15-14
21-20
22-23
22-21
20-14
17-28
21-26
16-14
24-17
18-18
17-16
12-24
26-22
16-12
18-20
14-25
21-17
167.8Avg total
84.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.679.6156.2-3.020%
Season at home (4)74.580.0154.5-5.50%
Season away (1)85.078.0163.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)76.679.6156.2-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)89.295.6184.9-6.438%
vs Similar ◀ (14)88.686.9175.5+1.850%
vs Weaker (8)86.282.1168.4+4.162%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#10
W
97-75
97
75
+22
H02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A07/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A14/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H15/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H22/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
L
79-87
79
87
-8
H29/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
112-65
112
65
+47
H11/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
93-101
93
101
-8
A20/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A26/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
104-92
104
92
+12
H04/05
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
26-16
30-18
19-22
21-21
13-18
25-32
23-18
21-19
23-19
22-22
22-30
19-15
13-20
25-19
30-24
25-16
21-24
17-8
18-18
31-18
19-17
14-33
15-19
27-22
28-17
33-7
24-19
21-32
30-26
26-26
16-17
31-17
16-23
13-19
24-16
29-10
23-30
21-16
31-36
172.5Avg total
90.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)98.283.2181.5+15.075%
Season at home (2)108.078.5186.5+29.5100%
Season away (2)88.588.0176.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)90.781.8172.5+8.960%
Last 5 (5)94.484.0178.4+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)94.3101.7196.0-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (3)97.0100.0197.0-3.033%
vs Weaker (24)95.880.5176.2+15.383%
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +5.8+5.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Southern DistrictLogan Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rockhampton Rockets
#15
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/06
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A25/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A02/07
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H07/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/07
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H13/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/04
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H21/04
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H28/04
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H05/05
NBL1 North
83.3Avg total
41.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.644.989.4-0.345%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.244.488.6-0.144%-
Last 30 away (13)44.945.590.4-0.546%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.483.3+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)48.050.498.4-2.450%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.843.686.5-0.838%-
vs Weaker (8)43.941.485.2+2.550%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darwin Salties
#10
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H02/07
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A14/07
NBL1 North
Southern District
#7
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H15/07
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H22/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#3
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H29/07
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H11/04
NBL1 North
Darwin Salties
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A20/04
NBL1 North
North Gold Coast Seahawks
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A26/04
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H04/05
NBL1 North
85.8Avg total
45.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)49.242.291.4+7.071%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.341.892.1+8.579%-
Last 30 away (14)48.142.690.7+5.464%-
Last 10 (10)45.939.985.8+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)51.042.493.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.051.3100.3-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
vs Weaker (23)49.241.090.2+8.374%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern District wins
4
Logan Thunder wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24HBrisbane Capitals69-74
28/04/24HSunshine Coast Phoenix73-80
21/04/24HIpswich Force78-85
14/04/24ASunshine Coast Phoenix85-78
13/04/24HNorthside Wizards78-81
15/07/23ALogan Thunder78-87
07/07/23HBrisbane Capitals101-94
02/07/23ANorthside Wizards90-85
25/06/23ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks104-82
18/06/23HRockhampton Rockets92-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HNorthside Wizards104-92
26/04/24ANorth Gold Coast Seahawks84-75
20/04/24ADarwin Salties93-101
11/04/24HNorth Gold Coast Seahawks112-65
29/07/23HIpswich Force79-87
22/07/23HDarwin Salties81-66
15/07/23HSouthern District87-78
14/07/23AGold Coast Rollers88-90
07/07/23ASouth West Metro Pirates82-89
02/07/23HDarwin Salties97-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern District
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %20%0%100%
Points / game76.674.585.0
Allowed / game79.680.078.0
Point differential-3.0-5.5+7.0
Avg total156.2154.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game98.2108.088.5
Allowed / game83.278.588.0
Point differential+15.0+29.5+0.5
Avg total181.5186.5176.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mackay Meteors440100%100.887.8+13.0
2 Darwin Salties54180%101.089.0+12.0
3 Logan Thunder43175%98.283.2+15.0
4 Sunshine Coast Phoenix64267%85.783.3+2.3
5 Gold Coast Rollers53260%101.298.2+3.0
6 Ipswich Force63350%91.093.2-2.2
7 Cairns Marlins63350%86.389.2-2.8
8 South West Metro Pirates42250%94.8104.2-9.5
9 North Gold Coast Seahawks73443%85.493.9-8.4
10 Rockhampton Rockets52340%100.897.4+3.4
11 Townsville Heat62433%91.795.7-4.0
12 Brisbane Capitals62433%84.088.2-4.2
13 Northside Wizards72529%85.989.7-3.9
14 Southern District51420%76.679.6-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Southern District29282623106
Logan Thunder2312161364
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