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Southern Miss vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 59-75
23-34 36-41
Position#211
Record16-15
FormWLWLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game70.9
vs
Position#214
Record15-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Southern Miss v Texas State
08 Jan 2026
SOUT80
TEXA70
11 Jan 2025
SOUT92
TEXA88
07 Mar 2024
SOUT59
TEXA75
17 Feb 2024
SOUT78
TEXA74
28 Jan 2023
SOUT67
TEXA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A03/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
86-54
86
54
+32
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H16/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H17/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-36
34-42
24-31
31-29
33-34
45-39
40-33
46-21
21-33
38-35
33-38
45-36
28-36
36-47
31-29
51-42
36-36
34-37
23-39
38-38
141.5Avg total
70.4Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.270.9141.1-0.752%
Season at home (16)71.866.4138.2+5.469%
Season away (15)68.575.7144.2-7.133%
Last 10 (10)70.471.1141.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)71.075.6146.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.771.9136.6-7.244%
vs Similar ◀ (18)72.470.8143.2+1.650%
vs Weaker (3)76.078.3154.3-2.367%
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#211
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
73-55
73
55
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
H02/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
92-83 OT
92
83
+9
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
29-31
29-26
34-30
37-31
31-29
18-35
37-37
38-33
36-45
28-37
48-47
31-30
37-29
41-25
32-30
30-39
41-32
28-38
46-36
139.2Avg total
71.1Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)69.670.4140.0-0.847%
Season at home (16)74.668.1142.8+6.562%
Season away (16)64.672.6137.2-8.031%
Last 10 (10)71.168.1139.2+3.070%
Last 5 (5)78.272.0150.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)58.674.8133.4-16.220%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.268.8139.1+1.454%
vs Weaker (7)84.067.6151.6+16.471%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +2.5+2.5
Southern MissTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#186
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H08/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H16/02
NCAA
Texas State
#214
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H17/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H23/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A02/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
30.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.467.3-1.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.832.565.3+0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)33.136.369.3-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)30.634.565.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.665.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.934.764.6-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)34.034.168.1-0.133%-
vs Weaker (3)35.735.070.7+0.733%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#211
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H10/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
18-35
18
35
-17
A16/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#211
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H28/02
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H02/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H06/03
NCAA
62.9Avg total
31.1Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.532.563.0-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.631.163.6+1.556%-
Last 30 away (14)28.134.162.2-5.936%-
Last 10 (10)31.131.862.9-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.865.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)26.035.061.0-9.010%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.231.462.5-0.269%-
vs Weaker (7)35.730.966.6+4.957%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Southern Miss wins
1
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ALouisiana Lafayette61-77
29/02/24ASouth Alabama70-73
25/02/24HLouisiana Lafayette82-71
23/02/24HSouth Alabama64-83
17/02/24HTexas State78-74
16/02/24HLouisiana Monroe59-68
10/02/24HWestern Michigan86-54
08/02/24HOld Dominion78-73
03/02/24ATexas State55-60
01/02/24AArkansas State71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24HOld Dominion92-83 OT
02/03/24HTroy82-79 OT
28/02/24HLouisiana Monroe73-55
24/02/24AGeorgia State68-59
23/02/24AGeorgia Southern76-84
17/02/24ASouthern Miss74-78
16/02/24ASouth Alabama55-72
10/02/24HBall State68-60
08/02/24HAppalachian State63-56
03/02/24HSouthern Miss60-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game70.271.868.5
Allowed / game70.966.475.7
Point differential-0.7+5.4-7.1
Avg total141.1138.2144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%31%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW47%
HomeWWWWW62%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%62%31%
Points / game69.674.664.6
Allowed / game70.468.172.6
Point differential-0.8+6.5-8.0
Avg total140.0142.8137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison3128390%84.669.3+15.3
2 Appalachian State3126584%78.766.1+12.6
3 Troy31201165%79.970.5+9.4
4 Louisiana Lafayette32191359%76.371.1+5.2
5 Arkansas State31161552%79.077.6+1.5
6 Southern Miss31161552%70.270.9-0.7
7 South Alabama32161650%74.075.7-1.7
8 Texas State32151747%69.670.4-0.8
9 Georgia State30141647%76.574.4+2.1
10 Marshall31121939%73.776.6-2.9
11 Louisiana Monroe30111937%69.974.4-4.6
12 Coastal Carolina3192229%73.578.5-5.0
13 Georgia Southern3292328%73.179.1-5.9
14 Old Dominion3272522%70.977.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss233659
Texas State344175
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