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Southern Miss vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-73
44-35 35-38
Position#211
Record6-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#252
Record6-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H19/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
48-67
48
67
-19
A14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
72-89
72
89
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
67-88
67
88
-21
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
35-33
25-34
42-40
22-34
32-31
41-26
49-58
46-46
39-36
36-25
47-49
26-38
22-29
38-35
44-44
30-47
42-42
38-46
29-42
148.2Avg total
71.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.871.4141.2-1.646%
Season at home (6)68.261.2129.3+7.050%
Season away (7)71.180.1151.3-9.043%
Last 10 (10)71.376.9148.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)70.479.4149.8-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.570.8130.2-11.225%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.274.7147.9-1.554%
vs Weaker (11)72.766.5139.3+6.282%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H17/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#509
W
89-57
89
57
+32
H05/12
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A09/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
122-45
122
45
+77
H19/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-35
30-35
40-40
48-37
37-45
46-38
37-26
20-39
32-43
45-45
35-32
54-25
31-36
29-28
26-39
28-47
59-21
63-24
50-39
41-51
152.7Avg total
79.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.974.2154.2+5.750%
Season at home (5)90.867.8158.6+23.080%
Season away (7)72.178.9151.0-6.729%
Last 10 (10)79.573.2152.7+6.350%
Last 5 (5)83.268.4151.6+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.876.2139.0-13.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.575.8150.3-1.329%
vs Weaker (3)87.761.7149.3+26.067%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +3.5+3.5
Southern MissGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#207
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H19/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H20/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H23/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A25/11
NCAA
UAB
#77
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A02/12
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#334
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H09/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#7
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A14/12
NCAA
Lamar
#146
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A19/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A23/12
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A30/12
NCAA
69.7Avg total
33.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.133.166.2-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.229.962.1+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)33.935.969.8-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.569.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.271.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.235.064.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.534.367.8-0.838%-
vs Weaker (11)34.131.665.7+2.555%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#509
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H19/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H30/12
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.1Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.969.0-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.632.668.2+3.038%-
Last 30 away (17)31.238.469.6-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.673.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.473.6+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.437.365.8-8.917%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.636.571.1-1.929%-
vs Weaker (3)44.328.372.7+16.067%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Southern Miss wins
0
Georgia State wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Georgia State v Southern Miss71-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AGeorgia Southern67-88
23/12/23AOle Miss72-89
19/12/23ALamar82-79
14/12/23AMcNeese State48-67
09/12/23HNorthwestern St.83-74
02/12/23AUAB85-82
25/11/23AWisc. Milwaukee90-84
23/11/23HSouth Dakota St.54-65
20/11/23HCS Fullerton67-74
19/11/23HUtah Valley State65-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HArkansas State91-90
19/12/23HToccoa Falls122-45
17/12/23ABrigham Young54-86
09/12/23AMercer60-64
05/12/23HMiddle Georgia State89-57
02/12/23AKennesaw State77-88
25/11/23ACharlotte57-65
22/11/23AUALR93-90 OT
19/11/23HUALR88-77
17/11/23HNorthern Illinois64-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL46%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game69.868.271.1
Allowed / game71.461.280.1
Point differential-1.6+7.0-9.0
Avg total141.2129.3151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%80%29%
Points / game79.990.872.1
Allowed / game74.267.878.9
Point differential+5.7+23.0-6.7
Avg total154.2158.6151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison13130100%91.872.0+19.8
2 Appalachian State1310377%78.663.3+15.3
3 South Alabama138562%73.473.4+0.0
4 Troy148657%82.670.9+11.8
5 Louisiana Lafayette137654%77.171.5+5.5
6 Georgia State126650%79.974.2+5.7
7 Marshall157847%75.975.9-0.1
8 Texas State136746%69.669.8-0.2
9 Southern Miss136746%69.871.4-1.6
10 Louisiana Monroe124833%68.772.3-3.7
11 Arkansas State134931%75.578.9-3.5
12 Old Dominion1441029%70.577.0-6.5
13 Coastal Carolina123925%79.378.8+0.5
14 Georgia Southern131128%67.378.2-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss443579
Georgia State353873
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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