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Georgia State vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-79
34-30 37-49
Position#320
Record10-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#21
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Georgia State v Southern Miss
31 Dec 2026
GEOR v SOUT
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
GEOR69
SOUT62
04 Feb 2023
GEOR71
SOUT79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A08/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
53-65
53
65
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H14/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A20/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
65-103
65
103
-38
A29/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
39-28
27-36
31-30
26-41
44-37
27-30
26-35
46-26
54-40
25-33
33-37
16-34
36-24
27-42
32-29
29-56
36-47
25-27
39-33
134.2Avg total
64.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)66.366.0132.3+0.343%
Season at home (15)70.262.3132.5+7.967%
Season away (8)59.073.0132.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)64.769.5134.2-4.830%
Last 5 (5)59.672.4132.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.371.6135.9-7.329%
vs Similar (8)65.264.0129.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (8)76.259.4135.6+16.9100%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#203
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A14/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H20/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H27/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-33
46-37
23-37
38-38
32-31
33-29
29-37
38-52
33-33
41-24
33-37
43-35
43-36
40-34
33-27
40-30
34-27
33-31
30-23
44-42
138.9Avg total
71.6Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)75.363.4138.8+11.983%
Season at home (13)78.360.1138.4+18.2100%
Season away (11)71.867.4139.2+4.564%
Last 10 (10)71.667.3138.9+4.380%
Last 5 (5)74.664.4139.0+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.176.4143.6-9.329%
vs Similar (7)71.671.6143.1+0.071%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.959.3136.2+17.688%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.8-7.81st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
Georgia StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#166
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A08/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H14/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A20/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A21/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A26/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A29/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H03/02
NCAA
63.2Avg total
27.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.831.562.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.428.962.3+4.458%-
Last 30 away (11)26.436.062.4-9.618%-
Last 10 (10)27.735.563.2-7.810%-
Last 5 (5)24.438.462.8-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.134.163.3-5.021%-
vs Similar (8)30.530.260.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)34.028.262.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#203
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A03/02
NCAA
64.1Avg total
32.0Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.531.064.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.230.366.5+5.973%-
Last 30 away (15)30.931.762.6-0.947%-
Last 10 (10)32.032.164.1-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.064.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.733.662.3-4.929%-
vs Similar (7)30.632.362.9-1.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)36.929.366.2+7.681%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Georgia State wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HGeorgia Southern64-60
29/01/23AMarshall65-103
26/01/23AAppalachian State59-71
21/01/23AGeorgia Southern52-58
20/01/23AOld Dominion58-70
14/01/23HCoastal Carolina100-66
13/01/23HTroy53-65
08/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette70-78
06/01/23ALouisiana Monroe58-66
31/12/22HSouth Alabama68-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23ATroy74-65
28/01/23HTexas State67-58
27/01/23HArkansas State73-57
21/01/23HJames Madison83-70
20/01/23HSouth Alabama76-72
14/01/23AArkansas State74-57
13/01/23AMarshall67-89
07/01/23ALouisiana Monroe65-60
06/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette61-75
31/12/22HAppalachian State76-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW43%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %43%67%0%
Points / game66.370.259.0
Allowed / game66.062.373.0
Point differential+0.3+7.9-14.0
Avg total132.3132.5132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (6)-
Overtime %4%7%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %83%100%64%
Points / game75.378.371.8
Allowed / game63.460.167.4
Point differential+11.9+18.2+4.5
Avg total138.8138.4139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%69%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2420483%75.363.4+11.9
2 Louisiana Lafayette2319483%80.470.6+9.8
3 Marshall2419579%82.169.5+12.6
4 James Madison2416867%82.766.8+15.9
5 Old Dominion23131057%67.866.6+1.2
6 Appalachian State24131154%72.264.3+8.0
7 Troy24131154%72.865.9+6.9
8 Georgia Southern24121250%68.666.6+2.0
9 Louisiana Monroe24111346%69.769.1+0.6
10 Texas State24111346%64.565.8-1.3
11 South Alabama23101343%70.067.3+2.7
12 Coastal Carolina23101343%74.571.9+2.6
13 Georgia State23101343%66.366.0+0.3
14 Arkansas State2491538%65.067.8-2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State343771
Southern Miss304979
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