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Georgia State vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 91-90
50-39 41-51
Position#252
Record5-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#186
Record4-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Georgia State v Arkansas State
24 Jan 2026
GEOR82
ARKA81
30 Dec 2023
GEOR91
ARKA90
06 Mar 2021
GEOR71
ARKA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgia State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#300
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H17/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A22/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A25/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#509
W
89-57
89
57
+32
H05/12
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A09/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
54-86
54
86
-32
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
122-45
122
45
+77
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-29
37-41
34-35
30-35
40-40
48-37
37-45
46-38
37-26
20-39
32-43
45-45
35-32
54-25
31-36
29-28
26-39
28-47
59-21
63-24
149.3Avg total
78.1Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.972.8151.7+6.145%
Season at home (4)90.862.2153.0+28.575%
Season away (7)72.178.9151.0-6.729%
Last 10 (10)78.171.2149.3+6.950%
Last 5 (5)80.468.0148.4+12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.675.2136.8-13.515%
vs Similar ◀ (13)73.274.7147.9-1.523%
vs Weaker (3)87.761.7149.3+26.067%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#268
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
75-58
75
58
+17
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
65-89
65
89
-24
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-34
52-52
39-49
35-39
28-27
29-44
51-17
24-41
38-35
33-40
31-27
35-50
28-49
37-40
46-38
41-30
29-31
46-32
43-38
27-36
148.9Avg total
74.0Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.277.9152.2-3.733%
Season at home (3)86.076.3162.3+9.767%
Season away (9)70.378.4148.8-8.122%
Last 10 (10)74.074.9148.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)72.674.2146.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.274.3135.6-13.10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.772.7143.4-2.038%
vs Weaker (5)75.670.6146.2+5.060%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -4.5-4.5
Georgia StateArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Michigan
#300
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A11/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#116
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#227
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#509
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Mercer
#223
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#627
W
59-21
59
21
+38
H19/12
NCAA
71.7Avg total
37.1Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.235.467.6-3.327%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.431.665.0+1.831%-
Last 30 away (17)31.238.469.6-7.124%-
Last 10 (10)37.134.671.7+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.270.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)27.836.564.3-8.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.536.369.8-2.823%-
vs Weaker (3)44.328.372.7+16.067%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alcorn State
#268
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A18/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#178
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A25/11
NCAA
UTRGV
#359
W
51-17
51
17
+34
A26/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#253
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H29/11
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A02/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A05/12
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A21/12
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.934.166.0-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (11)32.934.467.3-1.536%-
Last 30 away (19)31.333.965.3-2.632%-
Last 10 (10)38.134.572.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.672.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)27.635.463.0-7.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.234.968.2-1.738%-
vs Weaker (5)38.828.867.6+10.080%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Georgia State wins
2
Arkansas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HToccoa Falls122-45
17/12/23ABrigham Young54-86
09/12/23AMercer60-64
05/12/23HMiddle Georgia State89-57
02/12/23AKennesaw State77-88
25/11/23ACharlotte57-65
22/11/23AUALR93-90 OT
19/11/23HUALR88-77
17/11/23HNorthern Illinois64-70
11/11/23AWestern Michigan77-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23ABelmont70-74
14/12/23ALouisville75-63
09/12/23HUAB87-68
05/12/23AAlabama65-89
02/12/23AUALR66-77
29/11/23HJackson State71-75
26/11/23AUTRGV75-58
25/11/23ASan Diego Toreros57-71
18/11/23AIowa74-88
15/11/23HAlcorn State100-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgia State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW45%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%75%29%
Points / game78.990.872.1
Allowed / game72.862.278.9
Point differential+6.1+28.5-6.7
Avg total151.7153.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1239
Win %33%67%22%
Points / game74.286.070.3
Allowed / game77.976.378.4
Point differential-3.7+9.7-8.1
Avg total152.2162.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison12120100%92.672.6+20.0
2 Appalachian State1310377%78.663.3+15.3
3 Louisiana Lafayette127558%78.471.2+7.2
4 South Alabama127558%74.474.6-0.2
5 Troy126650%83.271.2+12.1
6 Texas State126650%70.068.8+1.2
7 Southern Miss126650%70.070.0+0.0
8 Georgia State115645%78.972.8+6.1
9 Marshall135838%76.578.5-2.0
10 Louisiana Monroe114736%69.772.7-3.0
11 Arkansas State124833%74.277.9-3.7
12 Old Dominion124833%71.277.6-6.3
13 Coastal Carolina113827%80.679.5+1.2
14 Georgia Southern120120%65.679.2-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgia State504191
Arkansas State395190
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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